Javier Enrique Aguilar

What about trains?

don’t give up on quarto :) adapt, evolve, survive

Javier Enrique Aguilar, David Kohns, Aki Vehtari, Paul-Christian B\"urkner
R2 priors for Grouped Variance Decomposition in High-dimensional Regression
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.11833

Finite mixture models are useful when data comes from multiple latent processes.

BayesFlow allows:
• Approximating the joint posterior of model parameters and mixture indicators
• Inferences for independent and dependent mixtures
• Amortization for fast and accurate estimation

📄 Preprint
💻 Code

I was at an event last week and someone said that there should be a social network where you could only join if you have an institutional email from a university 🤣.

Orange cats are the nicest

unsolved millennium prize problems are just evidence that the problems are wrongly priced. if they gradually raise the reward money, eventually the supply and demand will match and a solution will arise. its just economics

as my final act of love i'll recommend rejection

Javier Enrique Aguilar, Paul-Christian B\"urkner
Dependency-Aware Shrinkage Priors for High Dimensional Regression
https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.10715

StanBio Connect 2025 – StanBio Advancing Biomedical Research with Stan

StanBio Connect 2025 free online conference May 30 stanbio.org

... Stan in biomedicine including drug discovery and development, bioinformatics, medical devices, health economics, real-world evidence, and decision-making under uncertainty

2) The next two days will be focused on a topic of current interest in Bayesian analysis. The topic of this edition is "Bayesian modelling with brms". This 12-hour course is provided by Javier Enrique Aguilar (TU Dortmund University, Germany).

The València International #Bayesian Summer School (#VIBASS 8), a four-day summer school designed to provide an introduction to Bayesian learning, will take place7-10 July 2025 in València, Spain.

Info and registration can be found at vabar.es

hasn’t happened and perhaps won’t ever happen to me
condolences

"CALL FOR PAPERS"

Beautiful ♥️

journals when you ask about the status of your manuscript

I already advertised for this document when I posted it on arXiv, and later when it was published.

This week, with the agreement of the publisher, I uploaded the published version on arXiv.

Less typos, more references and additional sections including PAC-Bayes Bernstein.

arxiv.org/abs/2110.11216

During World War 1, fighting temporarily ceased in the trenches for Christmas and some German troops put up a sign meaning God with us – GOTT MIT UNS. The British troops then crawled across no-man’s land and wrote their own message on the German sign – WE GOT MITTENS TOO

The below statement by Elon Musk is authentic.

The AfD demands a “reversal” of Holocaust remembrance in Germany and states that the Nazi Schutzstaffel were “not criminals”. More here—> amp.dw.com/en/how-much-... …and here—> www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/10...

Evangelion colors I see. Man of knowledge.

@sohamm98.bsky.social hey Soham, welcome to Bluesky :)

@larskue.bsky.social hey Lars :) welcome to Bluesky

Beautiful skies and mountains. The cat is also very nice. Hope the area recovers soon!

Underoath :D cool

Very useful resource for ML phd starter like me:

users.aalto.fi/~heinom10/ad...

I’d be very happy if we were to have sum zero sum normal, zero sum matrix normal lpdf, multi_logit_normal (I guess this is the logistic normal) and the Pochhammer distribution :D

A Dark-eyed Junco wearing a snowflake on his cheek ❄️

I'm teaching a grad seminar this winter on Prediction for Decision-making. We'll look at what it means to make good predictions for decision-making from various angles, with a focus on decisions for & about people.

Reading list: statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/06/n...

Suggestions welcome!