See a new and improved version in my new book Existential Politics!
25.11.2025 22:23 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0@greenprofgreen.bsky.social
Immigrant. Poli sci prof at U of Toronto. Politics of climate change, carbon markets, oceans, NGOs, enviro politics. Author of Existential Politics, out now: tinyurl.com/ybephkfb. Occasional ranter. greenprofgreen.com
See a new and improved version in my new book Existential Politics!
25.11.2025 22:23 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0This is a BIG deal and a hopeful message: countries can cooperate to avoid a race to the bottom.
25.11.2025 14:21 β π 8 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0So thrilling to see @billmckibben.bsky.social speak at @utoronto.ca AND be able to give him a copy of my book! π
25.11.2025 14:00 β π 17 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0so none of this is confirmed (yet), but it looks like Canada is about to make a bunch of stupid decisions on climate -- risky, short-sighted, and economically irresponsible. right on the heels of #COP30.
25.11.2025 03:10 β π 31 π 10 π¬ 5 π 0Of course!
22.11.2025 17:07 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. #COP30
22.11.2025 16:56 β π 10 π 1 π¬ 2 π 04/ As per my tweet yesterday, language on overshoot (bad!) and hilarious congratulations on reducing warming from 4C to 2.3-2.5C. Weβre doinβ great folks!! FIN
22.11.2025 15:06 β π 10 π 0 π¬ 1 π 23/ Climate finance. Lots of language emphasizing urgency and need. New 2yr work program on climate finance + New high level ministerial.
This amping up pressure by creating more venues where developed countries have to account for themselves and their lousy record on finance.
2/ New bodies / processes.
Global Implementation Accelerator to speed up implementation of NDCs
BelΓ©m Mission to 1.5 to ramp up ambition (in addition to ratchet req's already in the PA)
Final document for #COP30 just dropped and here are some hot takes
1/ No decisive language about FF phaseouts. This is a HUGE loss. The consolation prize is a political process toward phaseouts outside the official decisionmaking of the #ParisAgreement
ADDENDUM: Obvi forgot to note that there is ZERO REFERENCE TO FOSSIL FUELS in the doc. Good coverage here:
21.11.2025 14:05 β π 2 π 2 π¬ 0 π 06/ Finally, chapeau language again invokes βlimited overshootβ. This language should not be normalized. FIN
21.11.2025 13:55 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 05/ Plans to consult with other trade IOs including #WTO. Many have said (including me) that trade is the new frontier of climate policy. This draft further cements this new political reality.
21.11.2025 13:54 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 04/ Trade takes center stage. Unilateral trade measures shouldnβt be a source of trade discrimination (para 55). Iβm not at #COP30 so not sure how this actually played out, but looks like EU CBAM really pissed off a lot of Parties, who successfully pushed back in the draft.
21.11.2025 13:54 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 03/ Mushy language on funding. Looks like same old same old: more funding is urgently needed and developed countries should lead the way (paras 47-49). There is a plan however for a high level ministerial meeting to talk funding for 1.3T goal. That keeps the issue high on the agenda.
21.11.2025 13:54 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 02/ More ambition. Creates BelΓ©m Mission to 1.5β to ratchet up ambition (though thatβs already, by definition in the #ParisAgreement). Seems like yet another workstream to enhance reporting & transparency as a way to ramp up action. That logic has not proven v robust thus far. (para 42)
21.11.2025 13:54 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 01/ Focus on implementation. Lula has been saying this for the last 10 days. Plan to create a Global Implementation Accelerator to βto accelerate implementation, enhance international cooperation across allactors to keep 1.5 Β°C within reach, and support countries in implementing their NDCs and NAPs"
21.11.2025 13:53 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0New draft cover decision dropped from #COP30 last night. Here are some highlights. THREAD. Draft here:
unfccc.int/sites/defaul...
New Episode!
@greenprofgreen.bsky.social on the new book EXISTENTIAL POLITICS and why so many have misdiagnosed the fundamental problem at the heart of the climate fight
iOS: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/w...
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/7lHK...
What??
20.11.2025 17:34 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Laurence Tubiana calls for more efforts to measure embodied carbon to facilitate climate-friendly trade. I explain in my book Existential Politics why this won't work. Measuring carbon is difficult, prone to opportunism and outright regulatory capture. It's gonna be a mess, folks.
19.11.2025 19:24 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0It's definitely changed the tenor of the discussion. But we will see what the policy effect is. And I'm surprised to hear that there is agreement behind closed doors but not publicly. Often with reporting, it's the opposite.
19.11.2025 19:17 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0You say that the CBAM is working in your post. I would think that the strong objections suggest that it will not create the climate club that the Eu wants.
19.11.2025 12:42 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0I float some other ideas of how to fix climate multilateralism here:
18.11.2025 20:10 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0This is how it starts...
www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/alber...
ICYMI, I was on @cnn.com yesterday talking climate politics, China and #COP30 with Fareed Zakaria:
17.11.2025 14:14 β π 6 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0As week 2 of #COP30 begins, @greenprofgreen.bsky.social talks to us about her new book and why we need more confrontation at COPs. drilled.media/news/drillin...
17.11.2025 12:38 β π 20 π 9 π¬ 3 π 1Not sure. You mean, re CBAM? EU will go forward with this for sure. But it remains to be seen how opposing states will respond.
16.11.2025 15:49 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0yet again, carbon pricing (in the form of the EU CBAM) is proving to be a poison pill -- this time in the COP30 negotiations.
as I explain in Existential Politics, the politics of carbon pricing are generally terrible -- limited emissions reductions but a lot of pissed off people.