Some reflections on how extraordinary the US dollar declines are today. Tariffs are supposed to strengthen the US dollar, not weaken it.
But that is not what is happening here so far.
1/
@lparb.bsky.social
work in progress. lifelong learner. interested in law. financial markets. risk parity. tech.
Some reflections on how extraordinary the US dollar declines are today. Tariffs are supposed to strengthen the US dollar, not weaken it.
But that is not what is happening here so far.
1/
I just did the numbers and this assumption looks to be completely right.
Letβs pause for a minute and consider how INSANE this is. π§΅
A quick check-up on the state of private equity. www.ft.com/content/77b8...
11.03.2025 10:28 β π 125 π 26 π¬ 8 π 3"More nuclear power has to be part of the U.S. energy mix, Alphabet President and Chief Investment Officer Ruth Porat said."
Alphabet aims to slash cost of new nuclear with small reactor deployments, CIO says
www.cnbc.com/2025/03/10/a...
what is happening...
"Are we indeed in the last days of NATO? What would replace it, if anything?...
This would be terra incognita: No nation has ever fully withdrawn from NATO."
Great overview of the absurd state of the #TADPF and EU-US data transfers. We expect a collaps any time - with 90% of EU companies having to change par of their IT systems.
https://www.euractiv.com/section/tech/news/deafening-commission-silence-with-no-credible-eu-us-data-oversight-left/
Goth charts.
on.ft.com/3D3zFhh
A New Paradigm in Active Equity
"In 2024..Nvidia alone delivering one fifth of the market return."
www.aqr.com/Insights/Res... via AQRCapital
Analysts Making Larger Cuts Than Average to EPS Estimates for S&P 500 Companies for Q1
@factset.bsky.social
FactSet Earnings Insight, John Butters, 28 February 2025
advantage.factset.com/hubfs/Websit...
Distributional Financial Accounts Overview https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/dataviz/dfa/index.html
Distributional Financial Accounts Overview https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/dataviz/dfa/index.html
Distributional Financial Accounts Overview https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/dataviz/dfa/index.html
Distributional Financial Accounts Overview https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/dataviz/dfa/index.html
While the decline in U.S. net household liabilities appears positive at first glance, it coincides with a period of rising wealth concentration.
1/n
Precisely this.
"The wealth effect can also turn negative if, say, the stock market stumbles."
14/n
bsky.app/profile/mark...
this is a very high risk & gets no attention...
"Letting so many of the countryβs economic resources accrue to so few people..risks a lot more than just the economy - it eats away at social cohesion in ways that have leaked into other areas.." @markzandi.bsky.social
13/n
bsky.app/profile/aman...
People sometimes make fun of science that sounds stupid and random.
Meanwhile, a study of lizard saliva turned into a peptide medication, which was turned into a diabetes medication, which was turned into a GLP1 weight loss drug, that just became the first therapy every approved for β¦ sleep apnea
"The US...has very strong mass surveillance laws (e.g. FISA702 or EO 12.333), that allow the US government to access any data stored with Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Google and any other US Big Tech firm without probable cause or individual judicial approval. " bsky.app/profile/noyb...
25.02.2025 10:54 β π 5 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0The New York Times reports that Trump is making the Privacy and Civil Liberties Oversight Board de facto inoperable. This punches the first major hole in EU-US data transfers agreement (TADPF).
Using US Cloud providers could quickly violate the GDPR.
Jim Simons: Life and Philanthropy
www.youtube.com/watch?v=RvjG...
Fitch Revises Austria's Outlook to Negative; Affirms at 'AA+'
www.fitchratings.com/research/sov...
Iβm having a conversation with my mom about something I want for Christmas and a week later Santa gives it to me.
When will we pass privacy regulations
"What about Warren Buffett?"
If itβs possible to beat the market, as Buffett has for decades, why would anyone settle for market returns from low-cost index funds?
Itβs a valid question
On 11 December, NATO published a list of 12 defence-critical raw materials essential for the Allied defence industry. These materials are integral to the manufacture of advanced defence systems and equipment. www.nato.int/cps/en/natoh...
17.12.2024 16:46 β π 9 π 4 π¬ 1 π 0Canada is examining the use of export taxes on major commodities it exports to the US β including uranium and oil β if TrumpΒ carries out his threat to impose broad tariffs. The move would drive up costs for American consumers. Story by @brianplatt.bsky.social
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
a well-researched article about the European natural gas and electricity market by Alexander Stahel @burggraben.bsky.social
www.thecommoditycompass.com/p/european-n...
"Iβve found that when a sectorβs market-capitalization share and/or earnings share rises close to 30%, thatβs a sign of possible trouble ahead for the sector as well as the market..." - Dr. Ed Yardeni
www.yardenibook.com/excerpts/#st...
π¨New, fun piece from me todayπ¨
How a large language model can help parse central bank speeches
on.ft.com/41sGX7V
must be an error...have you tried turning it on and off again?
09.12.2024 09:14 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Posts, barbed wire fences and the main gate of the former Auschwitz II-Birkenau camp.
Help us commemorate victims, preserve memory & educate the world. Amplify our voice.
Your interaction here is more than just a click. It is an act of remembrance against forgetting. Like, share, or quote our posts.
Let people know that @auschwitzmemorial.bsky.social is present here.
Charts From the Vault: Pictures to Ponder
www.morganstanley.com/im/en-us/ins...
And itβs official. Iβm immensely grateful to the worldβs greatest news organization for giving me a platform all these years, and greatly appreciate the moving sendoff 1/
www.nytco.com/press/paul-k...
Germany - Beauty and home care industry grows despite adversity
-Sales revenues increase to EUR 34.6 billion in 2024
-Strongest growth in decorative cosmetics, oral & dental care, detergents
Source: Industrieverband KΓΆrperpflege- und Waschmittel e. V. www.ikw.org/en/market-data