Emmy Probasco

OK, counterpoint alert: I've just spent a profitable 20 minutes chatting with GPT-4.5 in Catalan, where it has corrected my errors, explained things and gave me a quiz. It's certainly not "PhD-level" but it was *great*. It's the kind of use case these things are really for.

Opinion | Anthropic C.E.O.: Don’t Let A.I. Companies off the Hook

Dario Amodei has an important op-ed in the NYT today about the proposed 10-year moratorium on states regulating AI. The moratorium sounds reasonable at first - avoiding a patchwork of state laws - but it's actually quite dangerous given how fast AI is moving.
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/05/o... 1/6

Just got this from my mom. My work here is done.

Something to consider when trying to use an LLM to summarize intel reports?

Generalization bias in large language model summarization of scientific research Artificial intelligence chatbots driven by large language models (LLMs) have the potential to increase public science literacy and support scientific research, as they can quickly summarize complex sc...

For those looking to use LLMs to summarize scientific (in this case medical) papers: "LLM summaries were twice as likely to contain generalized conclusions compared to the original abstracts, indicating an algorithmic overgeneralization tendency."

pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...

Military AI: Angel of our Better Nature or Tool of Control? - War on the Rocks March 16, 1968, is one of the darkest days in U.S. military history. On that day, the soldiers of C Company, 1st Battalion, 20th Infantry Regiment, who

warontherocks.com/2025/05/mili...

There are lots of shades of gray between a coach and enforcer, I acknowledge, but regardless we must ask: Should AI override humans in combat? Could it prevent war crimes like My Lai — or create new dangers?

Outside the U.S., enforcer-style AI may come sooner. China and Russia are exploring AI to make up for perceived weaknesses in junior leadership.

Alternatively, a leader could deploy an AI as an enforcer in a way that might prevent or stop the next My Lai. But by using AI as an enforcer, they are diminishing the agency of the operators in the field.

A leader could deploy AI as a coach to try to prevent a violation of the laws of war, but that coach could be ignored and the leader may be criticized for not taking more decisive action.

Choosing how to deploy AI: as a tool, coach, or enforcer is fundamentally a leadership issue. And leaders should think about the ethical dimensions of their choices. For example:

But AI could also be deployed as an 🚓 enforcer: preventing or overriding human decisions when they run contrary to some specified goal.

AI can also be thought of as a 🏋️ coach. Especially when it’s able to fuse information or interact with natural language to help an operator achieve a goal (for an easy comparison, think of something like an advanced nutrition or diet app on your phone).

The thought experiment makes us consider how AI can be deployed. Most of the time, AI is thought of as a 🛠tool. A relatively limited assistant that can, for example, recognize objects and bring them to the attention of an operator.

Imagine a "Thompson drone" — flying overhead, spotting civilians, and warning troops in real time using voice alerts or text messages. This idea is an emerging technological possibility.

In 1968, U.S. soldiers massacred hundreds of civilians in My Lai, Vietnam. The killing was interrupted by helicopter pilot Hugh Thompson Jr.
If pilots are to be replaced by AI, then we should ask, could AI on a drone do the same in a future war?

Wrote a thing on value-based choices when deploying AI. It's based on a military situation (a sci-fi version of the My Lai massacre) but I can't help but think this is a problem lots of leaders will face in more subtle, and less stressful, ways.

As military AI evolves, ethical dilemmas grow. Should drones merely inform soldiers, coach decisions, or enforce rules of war directly?

Read the new piece by Minji Jang & CSET's @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, out today in @warontherocks.bsky.social 👇

This patient’s Neuralink brain implant gets a boost from generative AI A patient who types with his brain thanks to a Neuralink implant is using AI chatbots to speed things up.

Bradford G. Smith’s case highlights key issues about the prospect that brain implants and AI will one day merge. www.technologyreview.com/2025/05/07/1...

America’s response to measles is eroding its ability to deter biological attacks The rising death toll for a preventable disease reveals just how ill-prepared the country is to handle a malicious bioweapon.

Great article by the one and only @stephbatalis.bsky.social

www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/0...

Opinion | Trump’s Gulag Archipelago (Gift Article) Trump is seeking to establish a truly chilling proposition: that no one can stop his administration from imprisoning anyone it wants, anywhere in the world.

Erwin Chemerinsky and @tribelaw.bsky.social: We Should All Be Very, Very Afraid
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/09/o...

I'm super excited to see our #CSET report on **AI-enabled military decision support systems** being released today!

Great work by @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, and Matthew Burtell!

AI for Military Decision-Making | Center for Security and Emerging Technology Artificial intelligence is reshaping military decision-making. This concise overview explores how AI-enabled systems can enhance situational awareness and accelerate critical operational decisions—eve...

⭐️New Report⭐️

Using AI to make military decisions?

CSET’s @emmyprobasco.bsky.social, @hlntnr.bsky.social, Matthew Burtell, and @timrudner.bsky.social analyze the advantages and risks of AI for military decisionmaking. cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...

Shaping the U.S. Space Launch Market | Center for Security and Emerging Technology The United States leads the world in space launch by nearly every measure: number of launches, total mass to orbit, satellite count, and more. SpaceX’s emergence has provided regular, reliable, and re...

You can see their launch market analysis here. They will have another paper on the advanced tech market very soon! cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...

Eyes Wide Open: Harnessing the Remote Sensing and Data Analysis Industries to Enhance National Security | Center for Security and Emerging Technology The U.S. government has an opportunity to seize strategic advantages by working with the remote sensing and data analysis industries. Both grew rapidly over the last decade alongside technology improv...

Commercial space has come a long way, thanks in large part to early government investments (DOD and NASA) as well as federal action to promote innovation and competition. All credit to Michael O'Conner and @kathleencurlee.bsky.social for this analysis: cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...

With all this new data from remote sensing, new space data analysis companies are also starting.

And new companies are also seizing the opportunities presented by new sensing modalities:

It also helps that camera tech is improving for these remote sensing providers (thanks to government R&D!)

It’s not just launch that’s different: take a look at how many remote sensing companies have popped up since 2010. Helps that these guys have cheaper launch options:

These companies are making faster and faster progress towards stable launch capabilities: