Guohui Jiang

Could you pls include me? Thanks!

10.11.2024 13:01 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

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10.11.2024 09:36 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

No Fairness, No Cooperation: Draft Dodging by the Rich and Voluntary Enlistment in World War II Conscription in the US during World War II favored the rich. This paper first documents this fact and then examines its effects on voluntary enlistment through

Full paper: ssrn.com/abstract=5007109

Want a quick overview? Check out this 12-min AI-generated podcast!
podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/guo...

See more on my website: gjiang-economics.github.io

#EconJobMarket

10.11.2024 09:36 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Ukraine's prosecutor general resigns amid draft-dodging scandal Andriy Kostin took responsibility for a scandal in which dozens of officials are alleged to have abused their position to receive disability status and avoid military service.

🚨 Why this matters: 🚨

When govts ask citizens to contribute, perceived fairness is essential - not optional. See a recent example in Ukraine (www.reuters.com/world/europe...)

This is why inclusive institutions that treat everyone fairly are crucial (as the 2024 econ Nobel laureates argue)

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How large is the impact?

If the draft had been fair (no poorer-richer draft gap), volunteering would've jumped approximate 1/3!!

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10.11.2024 09:36 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

Endogeneity?

Instrumental var: lottery number gaps between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors 🎲 🎲

(Random lottery nums, lower = higher draft chance)

Higher nums for richer neighbors (in B's circle) ➡️ fewer richer drafted ➡️ bigger poorer-richer draft rate gap

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10.11.2024 09:36 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

2️⃣ Did the lower drafting of higher-income neighbors affect volunteering?

Main spec:

▶️ Dependent var: binary indicator for individual volunteering
▶️ Independent var: draft rate gap between individuals' poorer vs richer neighbors

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For example:

▶️ Doctor connections ➡️ 11% higher health exemptions
▶️ The richer had more doctor connections

If lower drafting of the rich was observed, esp. among neighbors, it was perceived as unfair

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10.11.2024 09:36 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

1️⃣ These fairness concerns in Gallup polls were well-founded:

▶️ Highest income group's draft rate = *half* that of lowest income group
▶️ Rich more likely to get exemptions

Their exemptions? More questionable...

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10.11.2024 09:36 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Key context:

▶️ 12 million draftees and 6 million volunteers during WW2
▶️ 20% of Gallup respondents perceived the draft as unfair
▶️ Main complaints: ‘favoritism’, ‘money talks’, and ‘some use pull to get out of draft’

Based on newly digitized military records, I show 🧵

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10.11.2024 09:36 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

🚨 Job Market Paper 🚨

If 6 million individuals *voluntarily* put themself in a life-and-death situation, what drove them to make that choice?

My job market paper examines how perceived fairness affected the decision to voluntarily enlist in the US during WW2 #EconJMP #EconJMC #EconTwitter

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