Ziga Zaplotnik's Avatar

Ziga Zaplotnik

@zigazaplotnik.bsky.social

Research scientist at ECMWF. President of the Climate Council of Slovenia. Asst. Prof. of meteorology at University of Ljubljana. zaplotnik.github.io

323 Followers  |  292 Following  |  38 Posts  |  Joined: 17.10.2023  |  1.5903

Latest posts by zigazaplotnik.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Quick analysis of #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS data for the deadly #wildfires in Turkey๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท show 2025 year-to-date total estimated intensity/emissions to be the highest of the 23 years of the dataset up to 24 July ads.atmosphere.copernicus.eu/datasets/cam... @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social @ecmwf.int

25.07.2025 14:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 25    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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โ€œStaggeringโ€ Water Loss Driven by Groundwater Mining Poses Global Threat A new study finds that freshwater resources are rapidly disappearing, creating arid โ€œmegaโ€ regions and causing sea levels to rise.

This is a pretty alarming new study out today (doi.org/10.1126/scia... - read the abstract) and here are some great visuals and highlights from it by @propublica.org: www.propublica.org/article/wate...

"Since 2002, 75% of the population lives in 101 countries that have been losing freshwater water"

25.07.2025 19:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 185    ๐Ÿ” 114    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 17
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Osebni avtomobili, avtobusi, miniavtobusi in tovorna vozila konec leta (31. 12.) ter prve registracije teh vozil po: LETO, VRSTA VOZILA, VRSTA POGONA IN GORIVA, MERITVE-PxWeb

Vhodni podatki SURS:
pxweb.stat.si/SiStatData/p...

Izloceno leto 2014, ki mocno odstopa.

2/2

05.06.2025 14:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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V zadnjih 10 letih imamo v povprecju okrog 45% letno rast BEV med vsemi registriranimi osebnimi vozili.

Kdaj bomo dosegli 10% delez ?

Po trenutnih izgledih ob koncu 2028/zacetku 2029.
Podatek bo na voljo v prvih mesecih leta 2029.

1/2

05.06.2025 14:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Vlada vendarle potrdila podnebni zakon Vlada je potrdila predlog podnebnega zakona, ki ga je pred mesecem dni tik pred zdajci umaknila iz obravnave. Zakon med drugim predstavlja pravno podlago za ฤrpanje sredstev iz podnebnega in socialneg...

Odlicna novica!

www.rtvslo.si/okolje/vlada...

05.06.2025 11:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
This is not the actual cover of Nature, just shown here for illustrative purposes. We did submit this figure for consideration for their cover. Print run in two weeks, we'll know by then if it gets used.

This is not the actual cover of Nature, just shown here for illustrative purposes. We did submit this figure for consideration for their cover. Print run in two weeks, we'll know by then if it gets used.

Out today in Nature, our paper on the drivers of the record 2023 summer heating of the North Atlantic. Temperatures warmed to record levels in just a few months. The impacts on climate & ecosystems were severe. A thread on how this work came about and what we found.๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿงต www.nature.com/articles/s41...

04.06.2025 15:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 571    ๐Ÿ” 261    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8    ๐Ÿ“Œ 18
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Scale-dependent estimates of the growth of forecast uncertainties in a global prediction system We assess the scale-dependent growth of forecast errors based on a 50-member global forecast ensemble from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts. Simulated forecast errors are deco...

You're likely overestimating the transition time due to suboptimal sigmoid (or tanh) fitting, demonstrated by the large relative misfit before 2019.

Weather forecast error growth follows a similar curve; fitting methods from sections 3.1โ€“3.2 could help: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

21.05.2025 19:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Could this be the biggest climate story of the year?

For the first time on record, China's emissions are falling due to clean energy growth, not slow power demand

Full analysis + outlook by Lauri Myllyvirta:

www.carbonbrief.org/...
1/7

15.05.2025 12:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1295    ๐Ÿ” 449    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 29    ๐Ÿ“Œ 54
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Scientists have been publishing climate models since ~1970.

A good way to evaluate their skill is to compare what they expected to happen in the years after the model was published to observed climate changes.

It turns out most models were pretty spot-on:

14.05.2025 23:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 420    ๐Ÿ” 187    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14    ๐Ÿ“Œ 15

"dnevno samo kakih 20%"

Ta podatek me je presentil. Zanima me le, kako se to meri, kako se izvaja anketiranje.

13.05.2025 22:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Emisijski podatki za Slovenijo do vkljucno leta 2023.
Padec emisij v 2023 predvsem na racun zmanjsanja CO2 na enoto proizvedene energije.

Priporocam!

robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...

25.04.2025 10:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Teaching the political economy of the green transition this term, I used, and learned from, some amazing ๐œ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐จ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ค๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ. A ๐Ÿงต on some of the best. Further suggestions are very welcome, I'll add them below.

28.03.2025 10:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 280    ๐Ÿ” 104    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 24    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8
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Just your regular reminder of where global CO2 emissions are tracking compared to scenarios that keep warming to below 1.5C in 2100, with "no or low overshoot" (maximum temperature around 1.6C).

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

C1/

16.04.2025 11:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 452    ๐Ÿ” 256    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14    ๐Ÿ“Œ 33

Baterijski hranilniki v Kaliforniji zagotavljajo vedno vecji delez energije v nocnem casu in pocasi a vztrajno odzirajo delez plinu...

22.04.2025 15:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Red mediterranean sea!
The last year the #Mediterranean recorded its highest temperature, according to #Copernicus #ECMWF Data.
The last August surpassed the record of July 2023. The image shows the annual anomaly of sea surface temperature in 2024. #ClimateEmergency #esotc2024

16.04.2025 12:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 132    ๐Ÿ” 72    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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NEW DATA: 46.9% of EU electricity in 2024 came from renewables says @eu-eurostat.extwitter.link

๐Ÿ† Top performers:
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark โ€“ 88.4% (mostly wind)
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal โ€“ 87.5% (wind + hydro)
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Croatia โ€“ 73.7% (mostly hydro)

โฌ‡ Lowest shares:
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ Luxembourg โ€“ 5.1%
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น Malta โ€“ 15.1%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czechia โ€“ 15.9%

15.04.2025 10:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 109    ๐Ÿ” 43    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6
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Norway Is Uprooting Its Fuel Pumps as Electric Cars Take Over

โ€œWe are looking to build a bridge from traditional gas & diesel bizz,โ€ Ole J Tonnessen, Uno-X Mobility Norwayโ€™s COO, said during a recent visit to Furuset. โ€œWe have gone from the traditional, to targeting the future.โ€

#alwaysbecharging

28.03.2025 13:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 75    ๐Ÿ” 12    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Hvala! :)

28.03.2025 11:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Modifikacije nekaterih oblakov z injektiranjem delcev, na katerih pride do kondenzacije, sicer dokazano delujejo. Ni pa nikakrsnih dokazov glede potencialno toconosnih kumulonimbusov in toce same.

Vec o tem lahko pove @blazgaspa.bsky.social, pozna podrocje bolje od mene.

28.03.2025 11:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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3 charts based on #CopernicusAtmosphere data you shouldnโ€™t miss this month:

๐Ÿ“‰ Very low total ozone over the Arctic through Jan-March โ€“ CAMS
๐Ÿ“‰ Surface PM concentration caused by the #Saharandust over Italy โ€“ @adamplatform.bsky.social
๐Ÿ“‰ Dust concentration forecast for Greece โ€“ AtmoHub

28.03.2025 09:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 38    ๐Ÿ” 14    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Kanadski gozdovi so v zadnjih letih nenadoma postali izjemen vir emisij CO2, skoraj izkljucno zaradi obseznih pozarov. Te so v letu 2023 predstavljale skoraj 3% svetovnih emisij.

28.03.2025 08:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Tragikomicno je, da "don Kihotski" boj s toco bijejo ljudje, ki nastanka toce ne razumejo, so jim pa seveda v interesu ure letenja.

Se bolj zalosten je novinarski prispevek.

#idiocracy

27.03.2025 23:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Ministrstvo objavilo razpis za obrambo proti toฤi

Zaenkrat niti ni jasno, ali obramba proti toci deluje (dokazov ni nikakrsnih), se manj, kako obsezna bi morala biti.

Jasno pa je, da temperaturna razlika med jutrom in popoldnevom ne doloca vertikalnih gibanj in ni glavni faktor za nastanek toce.

www.rtvslo.si/rtv365/arhiv...

27.03.2025 23:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Niลพje omejitve na slovenskih cestah: kakลกni bi bili pozitivni uฤinki? | 24ur.com V zadnjih letih so ลกtevilna evropska mesta zaฤela zniลพevati omejitve hitrosti, pri ฤemer postajajo cone s hitrostjo 30 km/h vse bolj pravilo kot izjema. Takลกni ukrepi so del ลกirลกih prizadevanj za veฤj...

Bistroumen argument predstavnika AMZS: "Znizanje omejitve hitrosti ne bi bistveno vplivalo na doseganje okoljskih ciljev... nenazadnje imajo tovornjaki ze sedaj imajo nizjo omejitev hitrosti, pa so izpusti visji kot pri avtomobilih."

www.24ur.com/novice/slove...

24.03.2025 19:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
a chart showing the proportion of electric distance in norway

a chart showing the proportion of electric distance in norway

a chart showing the proportion of electric energy in norway

a chart showing the proportion of electric energy in norway

Here's something funny:

- By distance travelled, pure-electric cars make up ~22% of total in 2023 in Norway

- By *amount of energy consumed*, it's like, maybe 5% ish

This is bc electricity is ridiculously more efficient than fossil or bio :)

robbieandrew.github.io/EV/

16.03.2025 19:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 226    ๐Ÿ” 72    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Temni ฤasi. Observatorij izvaja najdaljลกe kontinuirane meritve koncentracije CO2 v ozraฤju.

16.03.2025 19:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ali vec elektrike iz sonca in vetra pomeni drazjo elektriko?

Teza, ki jo vztrajno ponavljajo energetski x-perti z navajanjem Kalifornije kot vzorcnega primera, torej vsaj za ZDA ne drzi.

www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com/p/us-states-...

11.03.2025 16:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Latest @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social data shows

One of the consequences of a warmer world is melting sea ice.

๐Ÿ“‰ Daily global sea ice extent reached a new all-time minimum

๐ŸŒก๏ธ February 2025 was 3rd warmest February globally, 1.59ยฐC above the 1850-1900 average

๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ๐ŸŒก๏ธโš’๏ธ๐Ÿงช๐ŸŒŠ #ClimateAction

06.03.2025 08:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 85    ๐Ÿ” 32    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
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Powerful words from the American Geophysical Union.

04.03.2025 00:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 92    ๐Ÿ” 40    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
Line graph time series of 2025's daily global sea ice extent in red shading compared to each year from 1979 to 2024 using shades of purple to white for each line. There is substantial interannual and daily variability. Seasonal cycles are visible. Note: the poles are affected by very different Earth system processes/seasonality. I am using 5-day running mean data.

Line graph time series of 2025's daily global sea ice extent in red shading compared to each year from 1979 to 2024 using shades of purple to white for each line. There is substantial interannual and daily variability. Seasonal cycles are visible. Note: the poles are affected by very different Earth system processes/seasonality. I am using 5-day running mean data.

While all of this is happening to our scientific agencies, the current extent of sea ice globally remains at record low levels...

More visuals at zacklabe.com/global-sea-i...

03.03.2025 16:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 542    ๐Ÿ” 216    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 16    ๐Ÿ“Œ 15

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