Ziga Zaplotnik's Avatar

Ziga Zaplotnik

@zigazaplotnik.bsky.social

Research scientist at ECMWF. President of the Climate Council of Slovenia. Asst. Prof. of meteorology at University of Ljubljana. zaplotnik.github.io

378 Followers  |  322 Following  |  50 Posts  |  Joined: 17.10.2023  |  1.8104

Latest posts by zigazaplotnik.bsky.social on Bluesky

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NEW: UK's "AR7" renewable auction was the biggest everย โ€“ย more than 50% larger than 2024's record

AR7 = enough electricity to offset 3/4 of UK LNG imports
Labour's AR6+AR7, combined, contracted more GW than all other rounds put together

More: www.carbonbrief.org/...

11.02.2026 15:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 50    ๐Ÿ” 23    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

Primer Svedske kaze, da je za nadaljnjo rast deleza EV med novimi registriranimi vozili kljucno ohranjati subvencijo.

Svedska jo je ukinila novembra 2022 ("Klimatbonus") in delez EV med novoprodanimi avtomobili je kar 3 leta stagniral.

Kljucno je, da subvencije ostanejo - visje za cenejse avte.

08.02.2026 17:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Poznam nekaj takih. Brez sole, brez znanja, izkusenj. Par let delovne dobe pri starosti 35-40 let. Oddajajo podedovano stanovanje, jasno na normiranca, hodijo naokoli, ker zakaj bi delal, vrtec zastonj.

Po vrhu vsega pa so zanje "paraziti" migranti.

07.02.2026 21:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ja! Mocno priviligiran. Da te anomalije niso odpravili, poleg tega, da niso uvedli premozenjskega davka, tej vladi precej zamerim.

V teh casih lahko delas celo zivljenje z dobro placo pa ne prides do kapitala nekoga, ki ne dela nic, pa podeduje vecje stanovanje/hiso v Ljubljani.

07.02.2026 20:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Dajmo malo veฤ optimizma vloลพit v te volitve. Poklapanost ลพe pred volitvami ne koristi nikomur. Mene ne zanima, kaj nekdo ni naredil v tem mandatu, ampak kaj je kdo naredil. To naj bo vodilo.
Koristi pa tole:

25.01.2026 09:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 27    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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๐Ÿ’ง Vodnatost slovenskih rek je bila januarja za dobrih 10% manjลกa od obiฤajne januarske vodnatosti primerjalnega obdobja 1991โ€“2020. Najmanj vodnati sta bili povirji Soฤe in Save. Podpovpreฤno vodnati sta bili tudi Sava in Soฤa vzdolลพ celotnega toka ter Savinja, Drava in Mura.

06.02.2026 09:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ja, povstal je nevzdrzen. Prisel sem zaradi znanstvenih clankov in komunikacije z avtorji. Trenutno je cel feed le se propaganda o slabi EU, visokih davkih itn.

06.02.2026 22:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Poplave 2023

29.01.2026 16:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Ja!

29.01.2026 16:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Izjemno zanimiv, a tudi nepresenetljiv rezultat. Deleลพ gospodinjstev, ki menijo, da je problem podnebnih sprememb zelo resen.
Le zakaj je ta najviลกji na Koroลกkem in Savinjskem?

Vir: kazalci.arso.gov.si/sl/content/o...

29.01.2026 12:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Na LinkedInu je ekspert za vse: politika, okolje, transport, solstvo, energetika, AI, gospodarstvo, davcno politiko, ...

20.01.2026 11:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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In 2025, global sea ice extent saw a record low:

In February, combined Arctic + Antarctic sea ice extents fell to the lowest level in the satellite records.

@ecmwf.int
โฌ‡๏ธ

16.01.2026 09:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 57    ๐Ÿ” 23    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Accounting for ocean impacts nearly doubles the social cost of carbon - Nature Climate Change Oceans provide essential ecosystem services to human society, yet the climate impacts on blue capital have long been ignored. Incorporating the latest works on ocean science and economics, researchers...

The Social Cost of Carbon for the Oceans is out today in Nature Climate Change.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Until now, ocean damages have been largely missing from SCC estimates used in climate policy.

15.01.2026 12:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 32    ๐Ÿ” 18    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Excellent article. Did you perform a comparable analysis for the EU or for individual member states?

16.01.2026 19:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Kaj pa soncnice? Nekoc sem poslusal eno predavanje, kjer so poudarili, da je v tem primeru treba rastline izruvati s koreninami (in seveda uniciti, kot sta ze rekla).

16.01.2026 18:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In the spirit of brotherly love, could I gently enquire why the almighty **** are government departments, government ministers and Labour MPs *STILL* using X?

12.01.2026 10:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2694    ๐Ÿ” 573    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 143    ๐Ÿ“Œ 43
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Tole, serija Svet podnebnih sprememb, je precej legit zadeva. Iz razliฤnih kotov, what it takes in zakaj ni ฤrno belo.

Sedmega od skupaj desetih delov smo ravno objavili metinalista.si/tag/serija-s...

11.01.2026 07:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

The mass of COโ‚‚ humans put into the atmosphere in 2025 is 4x the mass of all plastic humans have ever produced.

03.01.2026 00:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 175    ๐Ÿ” 83    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

2033 bomo blizu 100 :)

08.11.2025 21:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Vizualizacijo podatkov, ki kazejo, kako zelo so se zmanjsali ponori evrospkih gozdov, lahko najdete na strani:
robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...

Pripenjam primere Nemcijo, Finsko in Svedsko, tudi na ravni EU je trend slab.

www.rtvslo.si/evropska-uni...

08.11.2025 11:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Quick analysis of #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS data for the deadly #wildfires in Turkey๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท show 2025 year-to-date total estimated intensity/emissions to be the highest of the 23 years of the dataset up to 24 July ads.atmosphere.copernicus.eu/datasets/cam... @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social @ecmwf.int

25.07.2025 14:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 24    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โ€œStaggeringโ€ Water Loss Driven by Groundwater Mining Poses Global Threat A new study finds that freshwater resources are rapidly disappearing, creating arid โ€œmegaโ€ regions and causing sea levels to rise.

This is a pretty alarming new study out today (doi.org/10.1126/scia... - read the abstract) and here are some great visuals and highlights from it by @propublica.org: www.propublica.org/article/wate...

"Since 2002, 75% of the population lives in 101 countries that have been losing freshwater water"

25.07.2025 19:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 183    ๐Ÿ” 112    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 16
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Osebni avtomobili, avtobusi, miniavtobusi in tovorna vozila konec leta (31. 12.) ter prve registracije teh vozil po: LETO, VRSTA VOZILA, VRSTA POGONA IN GORIVA, MERITVE-PxWeb

Vhodni podatki SURS:
pxweb.stat.si/SiStatData/p...

Izloceno leto 2014, ki mocno odstopa.

2/2

05.06.2025 14:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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V zadnjih 10 letih imamo v povprecju okrog 45% letno rast BEV med vsemi registriranimi osebnimi vozili.

Kdaj bomo dosegli 10% delez ?

Po trenutnih izgledih ob koncu 2028/zacetku 2029.
Podatek bo na voljo v prvih mesecih leta 2029.

1/2

05.06.2025 14:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Vlada vendarle potrdila podnebni zakon Vlada je potrdila predlog podnebnega zakona, ki ga je pred mesecem dni tik pred zdajci umaknila iz obravnave. Zakon med drugim predstavlja pravno podlago za ฤrpanje sredstev iz podnebnega in socialneg...

Odlicna novica!

www.rtvslo.si/okolje/vlada...

05.06.2025 11:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
This is not the actual cover of Nature, just shown here for illustrative purposes. We did submit this figure for consideration for their cover. Print run in two weeks, we'll know by then if it gets used.

This is not the actual cover of Nature, just shown here for illustrative purposes. We did submit this figure for consideration for their cover. Print run in two weeks, we'll know by then if it gets used.

Out today in Nature, our paper on the drivers of the record 2023 summer heating of the North Atlantic. Temperatures warmed to record levels in just a few months. The impacts on climate & ecosystems were severe. A thread on how this work came about and what we found.๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿงต www.nature.com/articles/s41...

04.06.2025 15:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 570    ๐Ÿ” 256    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 19
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Scale-dependent estimates of the growth of forecast uncertainties in a global prediction system We assess the scale-dependent growth of forecast errors based on a 50-member global forecast ensemble from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts. Simulated forecast errors are deco...

You're likely overestimating the transition time due to suboptimal sigmoid (or tanh) fitting, demonstrated by the large relative misfit before 2019.

Weather forecast error growth follows a similar curve; fitting methods from sections 3.1โ€“3.2 could help: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

21.05.2025 19:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Could this be the biggest climate story of the year?

For the first time on record, China's emissions are falling due to clean energy growth, not slow power demand

Full analysis + outlook by Lauri Myllyvirta:

www.carbonbrief.org/...
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15.05.2025 12:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1287    ๐Ÿ” 445    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 29    ๐Ÿ“Œ 53
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Scientists have been publishing climate models since ~1970.

A good way to evaluate their skill is to compare what they expected to happen in the years after the model was published to observed climate changes.

It turns out most models were pretty spot-on:

14.05.2025 23:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 418    ๐Ÿ” 187    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14    ๐Ÿ“Œ 15

"dnevno samo kakih 20%"

Ta podatek me je presentil. Zanima me le, kako se to meri, kako se izvaja anketiranje.

13.05.2025 22:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@zigazaplotnik is following 20 prominent accounts