Duncan O’Brien's Avatar

Duncan O’Brien

@duncanobrien.bsky.social

Research associate at the University of Bristol and NINA. Critical transitions, dynamics, and conservation action in aquatic ecosystems. #Rstats, ecology, tipping points Website: http://duncanobrien.github.io

116 Followers  |  179 Following  |  5 Posts  |  Joined: 11.11.2024  |  1.8216

Latest posts by duncanobrien.bsky.social on Bluesky

Preview
National Environmental Monitoring Conference - British Ecological Society The NEMC returns for its second year focusing on: From insight to impact: building the UK environmental monitoring community

Join a UK-wide environmental monitoring community at #NEMC2025 to help shape the future of evidence-based environmental action.

Session proposals welcome on habitat condition, plastics, forever chemicals, impacts on people & wellbeing & urban monitoring.

Find out more:🔗 tinyurl.com/5369kwhf

31.07.2025 14:06 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Image of a Puffin by Sarah Kelman/BTO alongside wording over the image that reads: We're hiring. Senior Research Ecologist. Bioacoustics Support Officer. Seabird Monitoring Support Officer. www.bto.org/jobs

Image of a Puffin by Sarah Kelman/BTO alongside wording over the image that reads: We're hiring. Senior Research Ecologist. Bioacoustics Support Officer. Seabird Monitoring Support Officer. www.bto.org/jobs

Join us at BTO! Discover jobs and apply at www.bto.org/jobs

13.07.2025 17:00 — 👍 70    🔁 41    💬 0    📌 0

Interested in doing a PhD? We have a paid opportunity to join us for a Research Experience Placement - a ~2 month project with some fun data collection and analysis on Manx shearwaters. You need to be a registered undergraduate to apply. Deadline 25th June, starts in July. Get in touch, link below!

14.06.2025 11:03 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
Data Analyst - Ecological Modelling | 02 April, 2025 | Jobs and careers with West of England Combined Authority Jobs and careers with West of England Combined Authority - The West of England Mayoral Combined Authority (MCA) is seeking to appoint on a fixed term basis (until September 2026) a data analyst/scient...

🚨 We're hiring!🚨

Looking for someone interested in modelling biodiversity trends to work on the interface between academia and policy.

careersearch.westofengland-ca.gov.uk/jobs/job/Dat...

26.03.2025 10:14 — 👍 2    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
EcologicalNetworksDynamics.jl: A Julia package to simulate the temporal dynamics of complex ecological networks Species interactions play a crucial role in shaping biodiversity, species coexistence, population dynamics, community stability and ecosystem functioning. Our understanding of the role of the dive...

Get simulating! #Biodiversity / #foodweb dynamics with #julialang. Classic bioenergetic model, consolidation of lots of add-ons & super fast.

Very happy to share this, a result of amazing collaborators and a rich history of model development.

besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

31.01.2025 10:53 — 👍 30    🔁 12    💬 1    📌 0

@theseabirdgroup.bsky.social

06.01.2025 18:09 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Poster of PhD advert about role gulls play in spreading disease and antimicrobial resistance. More info: https://www.findaphd.com/phds/project/what-role-do-gulls-play-in-spreading-disease-and-anti-microbial-resistance-nerc-gw4-dtp-phd-studentship-for-september-2025-entry-ref-5431/?p178297

Poster of PhD advert about role gulls play in spreading disease and antimicrobial resistance. More info: https://www.findaphd.com/phds/project/what-role-do-gulls-play-in-spreading-disease-and-anti-microbial-resistance-nerc-gw4-dtp-phd-studentship-for-september-2025-entry-ref-5431/?p178297

Exciting PhD opportunity with @neeltjeboogert.bsky.social , @padpadpadpad.bsky.social (Exeter) and myself (Bristol) on gulls, their microbiomes, and role in transmitting disease.

Details below - deadline 13 January!

06.01.2025 17:43 — 👍 45    🔁 47    💬 2    📌 0
Preview
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference for Multivariate Longitudinal Data Easy-to-use and efficient interface for Bayesian inference of complex panel (time series) data using dynamic multivariate panel models by Helske and Tikka (2024) <doi:10.1016/j.alcr.2024.100617>. The ...

Would dynamite (docs.ropensci.org/dynamite/) help with this or is it too far removed from the SEM framework?

17.12.2024 17:51 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Stage introducing the time lag session

Stage introducing the time lag session

Looking forward to what is (in my opinion) the most under appreciated component in ecosystem management/conservation - time lags #BES2024

12.12.2024 15:35 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Heading up to #BES2024 today in Liverpool. Hopefully see lots of you there, and if you are going to be around why not drop in and see some of the group's talks (on #resilience, #seabirds, and #rewilding)

@britishecolsoc.bsky.social

10.12.2024 09:20 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 2    📌 0

I highlighted this in the paper for ordered beta regression, but I think many don't know this:

you can estimate ordbetareg *just fine* without obs at the bounds (0 or 1).

Maybe your current sample doesn't have 0/1s... but future samples could! Ordbetareg works fine for *any* bounded data.

#rstats

08.12.2024 18:33 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Feature 1 would be my new feature preference. Very excited to hear that it’s (potentially) coming.

03.12.2024 15:57 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Planktonic functional diversity changes in synchrony with lake ecosystem state Using species-level plankton trait and abundance data from five highly monitored lakes, we determined the timing of functional diversity change relative to ecosystem state/functioning. Simple cross-c....

Completely agree, and it’s likely the challenge of empirically estimating them. I’ve had a few ideas on how to do so (doi.org/10.1111/gcb....), but think many methods are inappropriate for most ecological time series.

Do you have any opinions about the best approaches for identifying time lags?

24.11.2024 22:50 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
Mixture Modeling

<Trying to decide between two data generating processes>

¿Porqué no los dos?

<celebration>

It’s time for mixture models.

HTML: betanalpha.github.io/assets/chapt...
PDF: betanalpha.github.io/assets/chapt...

11.11.2024 14:26 — 👍 5    🔁 4    💬 2    📌 1

@duncanobrien is following 20 prominent accounts