Patrick Bayer

Venezuela is an important oil producer (~top15 in global ranking), with some of the world's largest proven oil reserves. Supply chocked last year but export to 🇨🇳 was picking up.

The current uncertainty will be profitable to other fossil giants (🇷🇺)

Unless, just an idea: we take renewables seriously

And remember to highlight in particular the *benefits* that a healthy EV market can have for the economy *at home* (the abroad scenario has less of an effect).

@patrickbayer.bsky.social and I have the evidence for that:

direct.mit.edu/glep/article...

BJPolS abstract discussing the influence of international climate concerns on public sentiments and policy in regions with costly adjustments, highlighting the need for regional cooperation and sympathetic reactions based on geographical contexts.

From October 2025 -

Climate Policy Costs, Regional Politics, and Backlash against International Co-operation - https://cup.org/47BYSeS

- @patrickbayer.bsky.social & @fgenovese.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

Climate cooperation, devolution, and the difficulties for left-behind places around climate policy - UK in a changing Europe Patrick Bayer and Federica Genovese argue that while communities exposed to climate mitigation are afraid of net zero, some might be more interested in international climate cooperation than you think...

"It is important to understand whether people in left-behind regions– such as former coal communities – feel that the transition is something done with them rather than to them."

@patrickbayer.bsky.social & @fgenovese.bsky.social
on climate cooperation and devolution

ukandeu.ac.uk/climate-coop...

A wrote a piece on what the UK budget means for climate change for our @uofgpolicy.bsky.social

Check it out!

Climate cooperation, devolution, and the difficulties for left-behind places around climate policy - UK in a changing Europe Patrick Bayer and Federica Genovese argue that while communities exposed to climate mitigation are afraid of net zero, some might be more interested in international climate cooperation than you think...

"The legitimacy of climate cooperation hinges not only on economic support packages or technological solutions, but also on institutional trust and regional political voice."

@patrickbayer.bsky.social & @fgenovese.bsky.social on place-based politics and climate policy

ukandeu.ac.uk/climate-coop...

Great to see this paper with @patrickbayer.bsky.social and @fgenovese.bsky.social in First View at @psrm.bsky.social!

Re-upping the paper thread for the occasion: bsky.app/profile/fgen...

Oil price jumps and FTSE 100 hits new high after Trump puts sanctions on Russian firms Assets in US belonging to Rosneft and Lukoil frozen as shares in Shell and BP rise by 3%

Stock returns of oil majors (and oil price) jumped after Trump's latest sanctions on Russian oil firms.

That was predictable: in a new (conditionally accepted) paper at @psrm.bsky.social, @patrickbayer.bsky.social, @fgenovese.bsky.social, and I show exactly that.

Paper: tinyurl.com/49t7z5ap 1/3

Feels like yesterday...

Really looking forward to this talk at @hertiesustain.bsky.social in a few weeks.

Thanks for having me!

The European Political Science Society is now accepting paper & panel proposals for its annual conference!

📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast

🗓️ June 18–20, 2026

📍 ICC Belfast

📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025

🧵

Also more stuff in the works on backlash against different types of renewables with evidence from 🇬🇧, 🇩🇪, 🇫🇷, and 🇳🇴, so stay tuned...

😂😂😂

Good news for European political science! Thanks for everyone involved who made this happen.

Became an EPSS member today, and so can you!

Very competitive fees that will go a long way to fund next year's conference and not just a reception ticket (some may say).

Climate Policy Costs, Regional Politics and Backlashagainst International Cooperation by Patrick Bayer and Federica Genovese. This paper investigates the conditions under which subnational concerns shape public assessments of international climate governance. In line with existing literature, we maintain that costly policy adjustments fuel negative views of international cooperation in policy exposed regions. At the same time, we argue that the more resentful relations are with the national center of politics, the more sympathetic these regions areto international institutions and global governance. Based on geographically targeted survey data from theUnited Kingdom, we find that fossil fuel-intensive regions with strong, institutionalized regional politics have more positive assessments of international climate cooperation than structurally similar regions where regional political institutions are less pronounced. The findings show that regional politics characteristics are key for understanding climate policy beliefs among citizens that bear the brunt of adjustments to international climate agreements

🚨Global public action (climate!) is most effective when countries do it together yet we're in a period of IO backlash rooted in left-behind places

Does it mean all left-behind regions hate IOs the same?

@patrickbayer.bsky.social & I have a paper accepted @bjpols.bsky.social abt this🧵

osf.io/rtymv

Getting a paper accepted is always nice, getting it accepted after almost two years in peer review feels super special! 🎉🎉🎉

Postdoctoral Researcher / Research Associate - Climate Politics (gn) full-time (40 hours/week)

🚨Climate politics job alert🚨

Interested in the opportunity to focus on your own climate politics research project for 1 year in a stimulating and supportive environment at a leading university in Berlin?

Open to postdocs & graduates.

hertie-school.dvinci-easy.com/en/p/en/jobs...

Looking forward to an exciting trip with colleagues to our long-standing partner, Nankai University, for a joint workshop on "New Trends of International Political Economy in Turbulent Times."

@uofglasgow.bsky.social @uofgsps.bsky.social

Four big lessons for Scotland and UK from Australian Labor party's surprise landslide With Reform UK benefiting from low election turnouts, more needs to be done to make it easier for people to vote – like elections on Saturdays, a new voting system and sausage sizzles

"A new voting system and sausage sizzles" - excellent advice from @ariadnevromen.bsky.social in @scotsman.com on what the UK and Scotland can learn from Australia's recent election - and how to turn around the low voting turn outs that have benefitted Reform UK.

www.scotsman.com/news/opinion...

I hate academic FOMO! Enough said...

May I present the social science "double helix" of country engagement across topics...

Not all plots are useful...🙃

Happy St Patrick's Day, I guess.

Scoop: U.S. delegation pulled from key U.N. climate science meeting The IPCC meeting in China is slated to determine the content in the group's next series of reports.

‼️The US-based @ipcc.bsky.social technical support unit (TSU) for Working Group 3 Co-Chairs has been terminated, and the US won’t be attending next week’s IPCC meeting where the AR7 chapter outlines will be approved.

More by @afreedma.bsky.social here:

Good conversation tonight with the President of the Bundesbank, Dr Nagel, about transition finance @uofgasbs.bsky.social @uofglasgow.bsky.social

Please nominate for awards for the Int'l Collaboration section of APSA! Best article, dissertation, book, and mentor awards!

Deadline is March 3, 2025. Submissions should be sent by email to daniela.donno@ou.edu. You can find the award criteria and info here: apsanet.org/membership/o...

Also, come and join our Section 48! 😀

It's a great community and THE section for anyone working on international collaboration, IOs, IPE, global governance!

Serving on this year's "Best Dissertation Award" committee for @apsa.bsky.social @intlcollaboration.bsky.social Section.

Send your students' best dissertation work to our section chair @danieladonno.bsky.social by 3 March! Self-nominations welcome!

Details here: apsanet.org/membership/o...

PS: I'm fully aware that I'm very privileged here in that my career does not depend on the immediate publication of this paper which we're very proud of.

Proud to have pulled a basically accepted paper (with full consent of co-authors) from peer review today in response to questionable editorial practice to "force" us to add citations to five substantively unrelated papers that the editor was a co-author of. 🤯

#researchintegrity

Rise in carbon dioxide off track for limiting global warming to 1.5°C The increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂) is now incompatible with IPCC pathways which remain below 1.5°C, a Met Office study finds.

More evidence that everyone who believes we still have time is a fool.

www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/new...