Linda Bomm

Excitement, tension, bingo and great insights from my fellow PolComm colleagues - think that describes our election event in CREA quite well. Great way to count down to the exitpolls! @markboukes.bsky.social @favstats.eu @ulrikeklinger.bsky.social @lindabomm.bsky.social @corinnaoschatz.bsky.social

Preregistration is not a ceiling: but it can become one - Synthese Preregistration is designed as a solution to questionable research practices, safeguarding the epistemic integrity of scientific work. Despite its benefits, concerns remain that it might inadvertently...

New modeling paper that examines the effect of mandating preregistration, finds that "universally mandatory preregistration, compared to mere incentivization, promotes a more balanced coexistence of research methodologies" contingent upon thhe incentive system.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Just so we're clear was it not a crisis when it was the other way around?

Und als wäre es nicht schlimm genug, dass eine rechtsextreme Partei 20,8 % der Zweitstimmen und 15 % der Wahlkreise gewinnt, verzerrt diese Karte den Anteil der von der AfD gewonnenen Wahlkreise deutlich.

15 % der Wahlkreise stehen 30 % der Fläche gegenüber - also das Doppelte.

Land does not vote.

Eine Karte wie zu Beginn der Animation ist seit der Bundestagswahl oft zu sehen gewesen. Sie zeigt die Parteizugehörigkeit der Wahlkreissieger nach Erststimmen.

Wir sehen: ziemlich viel AfD-Blau.

🧵

#Bundestagswahl 📊

With many lazy takes on the Linke around, this is a very good comparison. The new Linke is much more like a progressive left party than traditional populist left. I would add to the list an emphasis on keeping movement ties rather than relying primarily on professionalized party infrastructure.

X under Musk’s leadership: Substantial hate and no reduction in inauthentic activity Numerous studies have reported an increase in hate speech on X (formerly Twitter) in the months immediately following Elon Musk’s acquisition of the platform on October 27th, 2022; relatedly, despite ...

The 'feeling' that X under Musk is a different place than before is quantified in this new study titled 'Substantial Hate'

1️⃣ hate speech up to 50% higher;
2️⃣ hate speech increase persistent;
3️⃣ no reduction in inauthentic accounts

#commsky @polcomm.bsky.social

journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...

What drives candidates' use of negative campaigning?

We suggest and empirically test a comprehensive theoretical model in 12 German state elections.

Now out in EPSR 👇

The Impact of Media Framing in Complex Information Environments To what extent do news frames influence public opinion? While a large body of experimental research suggests sizable effects, it is unclear how these findings translate to authentically complex inf...

Now available Open Access:

📰 Does (immigration) framing influence public opinion?

🧵

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

We originally wrote this article in Word, but then we converted it to Latex to make it look more like science.

I am very late to this thread, but want to note this old paper from Andrew Gelman in which he explains a good reason to use LaTeX (like to PDF www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/rese...)

In Germany 62% of voters named the protection of democracy and the fight against right wing extremism as the most important problem. There is hope people!

#Etmaal25 in the books! Was very happy to present and get input on our first insights on how citizens cope with societal threats.
Already looking forward to next year!

Loneliness is positively associated with populist radical right support The mental and physical health consequences of loneliness are well documented. However, loneliness's socio-political ramifications have been largely u…

Does loneliness correlate with support for the populist radical right? In the Netherlands, yes-lonelier individuals were more likely to support the PRR across 15 years of data (2008-2023), with effect sizes comparable to health correlates of loneliness. (1/9)

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

The Fleeting Allure of Dark Campaigns: Backlash from Negative and Uncivil Campaigning in the Presence of (Better) Alternatives More aggressive campaigning styles focusing on criticizing opponents (negativity) or using inappropriate language to vilify opponents (incivility) tend to be disliked by voters, and remain thus ris...

Why do voters often not mind negative or uncivil campaigns—is it for a lack of better electoral alternatives? 🧵

In my PhD study “The Fleeting Allure of Dark Campaigns” (w/ @lindabos.bsky.social & @alessandronai.bsky.social) we test this idea:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
#polcom #commsky

Immigratie: belangrijk, maar minder bedreigend en zorgwekkend dan andere issues - StukRoodVlees Een van de meest polariserende en belangrijke onderwerpen in de Nederlandse politiek is immigratie. Rutte IV viel erover. Menig debat gaat erover. En veel politici praten erover. Kiezers geven ook vaa...

Kiezers vinden immigratie ongeveer net zo belangrijk als energiekosten en klimaat. Ze zijn er alleen minder bezorgd over en ervaren immigratie als minder bedreigend dan energiekosten en klimaat.
- @bnbakker.bsky.social, @gijsschumacher.bsky.social en ik op Stuk Rood Vlees.
shorturl.at/dKRXZ