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@chrispps.bsky.social

midwest academic, political science + psychology / inveterate fan of The Fall / cat enthusiast / boring social democrat / photographer

7,820 Followers  |  1,297 Following  |  3,584 Posts  |  Joined: 01.07.2023  |  1.9046

Latest posts by chrispps.bsky.social on Bluesky

13.02.2026 04:18 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
13.02.2026 04:09 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Will Fox be updating their story on this and giving it the same amount of airtime as they did initial arrest?

13.02.2026 00:41 β€” πŸ‘ 11229    πŸ” 3774    πŸ’¬ 465    πŸ“Œ 133
It appears that in planning for Operation Metro Surge, the government failed to
plan for the constitutional rights of its civil detainees. The government suggests β€” with minimal explanation and even less evidence β€” that doing so would result in "chaos." The Constitution does not permit the government to arrest thousands of individuals and then disregard their constitutional rights because it would be too challenging to honor those rights. 14
At this preliminary stage, Plaintiffs have made a clear showing of likelihood of
success on their Fifth Amendment claim.

It appears that in planning for Operation Metro Surge, the government failed to plan for the constitutional rights of its civil detainees. The government suggests β€” with minimal explanation and even less evidence β€” that doing so would result in "chaos." The Constitution does not permit the government to arrest thousands of individuals and then disregard their constitutional rights because it would be too challenging to honor those rights. 14 At this preliminary stage, Plaintiffs have made a clear showing of likelihood of success on their Fifth Amendment claim.

BREAKING: Judge Nancy Brasel, a Trump appointee, has issued a TRO in the Minnesota access-to-counsel case about treatment at Whipple.

"It appears that in planning for Operation Metro Surge, the government failed to plan for the constitutional rights of its civil detainees."

13.02.2026 00:14 β€” πŸ‘ 3405    πŸ” 1054    πŸ’¬ 23    πŸ“Œ 62

the next Dem admin needs to take a real big swing at reform immediately because the window is going to be limited and while there's a chance voters will punish you for it you know for a stone cold fact that they will punish you for going small

12.02.2026 20:52 β€” πŸ‘ 678    πŸ” 88    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 4

man, even spineless mike

12.02.2026 18:48 β€” πŸ‘ 81    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
β€˜They put me on there to die’: Conservatives unload on GOP’s failures to carry out DOGE cost-cutting | CNN Politics The budget-slashing Department of Government Efficiency that upended the federal government at the start of President Donald Trump’s second term has stalled out on Capitol Hill, a reality that’s left ...

Significant- CNN on DOGE: "Inside the White House, the cost-cutting crusade marked by mass firings and blanket funding eliminations is largely seen as over"

The White House is signaling no more RIFs and no more rescissions, with Trump trying to distance himself from DOGE
www.cnn.com/2026/02/12/p...

12.02.2026 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 87    πŸ” 33    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 13
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Why do Republican presidents always oversee a spike in abortions across the US?

12.02.2026 18:13 β€” πŸ‘ 416    πŸ” 129    πŸ’¬ 27    πŸ“Œ 9

It's important to point out in the sea of horrible news we see all the time: They keep losing! And seemingly at greater frequency every week.

12.02.2026 18:29 β€” πŸ‘ 595    πŸ” 136    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
Map showing tens of thousands of protests across the US between Trump's inauguration last year and January 31, 2026.

Map showing tens of thousands of protests across the US between Trump's inauguration last year and January 31, 2026.

The volume & geographic distribution of protest nationwide during year 1 of Trump's second term was extraordinary.

12.02.2026 18:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1957    πŸ” 758    πŸ’¬ 33    πŸ“Œ 83

If we believe DHS’s numbers, ICE spent three months in Minnesota and arrested just over one person per agent in that time.

The Minneapolis resistance worked. And let the momentum lead to abolishing ICE altogether.

12.02.2026 16:30 β€” πŸ‘ 417    πŸ” 122    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 1
UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
MARK KELLY,
Plaintiff,
Civil Case No. 26-81 (RJL)
V.
PETE HEGSETH, et al.,
Defendants.
MEMORANDUM OPINION
February 12, 2026 [Dkt. #2]
United States Senator Mark Kelly, a retired naval officer, has been censured by
Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth for voicing certain opinions on military actions and
policy. In addition, he has been subjected to proceedings to possibly reduce his retirement
rank and pay and threatened with criminal prosecution if he continues to speak out on these
issues.
Secretary Hegseth relies on the well-established doctrine that military
servicemembers enjoy less vigorous First Amendment protections given the fundamental
obligation for obedience and discipline in the armed forces. Unfortunately for Secretary
Hegseth, no court has ever extended those principles to retired servicemembers, much less a retired servicemember serving in Congress and exercising oversight responsibility over
the military. This Court will not be the first to do so!

UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA MARK KELLY, Plaintiff, Civil Case No. 26-81 (RJL) V. PETE HEGSETH, et al., Defendants. MEMORANDUM OPINION February 12, 2026 [Dkt. #2] United States Senator Mark Kelly, a retired naval officer, has been censured by Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth for voicing certain opinions on military actions and policy. In addition, he has been subjected to proceedings to possibly reduce his retirement rank and pay and threatened with criminal prosecution if he continues to speak out on these issues. Secretary Hegseth relies on the well-established doctrine that military servicemembers enjoy less vigorous First Amendment protections given the fundamental obligation for obedience and discipline in the armed forces. Unfortunately for Secretary Hegseth, no court has ever extended those principles to retired servicemembers, much less a retired servicemember serving in Congress and exercising oversight responsibility over the military. This Court will not be the first to do so!

Worse still, Secretary Hegseth contends that this Court is not yet competent to
decide the issues in this case. He and his fellow Defendants argue that military personnel
1
Case 1:26-cv-00081-RJL
Document 37 Filed 02/12/26
Page 2 of 29
decisions are exempt from judicial review and, in any event, that Senator Kelly should first
be required to go through the military appeals process so the military can have the first
crack at adjudicating his First Amendment rights. I disagree. This Court has all it needs
to conclude that Defendants have trampled on Senator Kelly's First Amendment freedoms
and threatened the constitutional liberties of millions of military retirees. After all, as Bob Dylan famously said, "You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows." To say the least, our retired veterans deserve more respect from their Government, and our
Constitution demands they receive it!
Senator Kelly's First Amendment claim is not only justiciable; he is likely to
succeed on the merits. He has also shown irreparable harm, and the balance of the equities
fall decidedly in his favor. As such, his motion for a preliminary injunction on his First
Amendment claim is hereby GRANTED.

Worse still, Secretary Hegseth contends that this Court is not yet competent to decide the issues in this case. He and his fellow Defendants argue that military personnel 1 Case 1:26-cv-00081-RJL Document 37 Filed 02/12/26 Page 2 of 29 decisions are exempt from judicial review and, in any event, that Senator Kelly should first be required to go through the military appeals process so the military can have the first crack at adjudicating his First Amendment rights. I disagree. This Court has all it needs to conclude that Defendants have trampled on Senator Kelly's First Amendment freedoms and threatened the constitutional liberties of millions of military retirees. After all, as Bob Dylan famously said, "You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows." To say the least, our retired veterans deserve more respect from their Government, and our Constitution demands they receive it! Senator Kelly's First Amendment claim is not only justiciable; he is likely to succeed on the merits. He has also shown irreparable harm, and the balance of the equities fall decidedly in his favor. As such, his motion for a preliminary injunction on his First Amendment claim is hereby GRANTED.

BREAKING: Judge blocks Hegseth effort to punish Sen. Kelly.

"This Court has all it needs to conclude that Defendants have trampled on Senator Kelly's First Amendment freedoms and threatened the constitutional liberties of millions of military retirees."

Background: www.lawdork.com/p/breaking-k...

12.02.2026 17:41 β€” πŸ‘ 5961    πŸ” 1691    πŸ’¬ 44    πŸ“Œ 139

A very nasty bit of slight-of-hand is that they now completely ignore the actual question of "security" or "enforcement" and have adopted fully the Trump/Vance grievances about TPS and asylum. The narrative isn't about the border anymore or "legality", it's about undesirable racial populations.

12.02.2026 16:37 β€” πŸ‘ 462    πŸ” 83    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

Boot off the neck: Homan announces end of Minnesota surge. Hugely welcome news, and shows the vital importance of pushback from government and citizens; but when you tally up the overall cost to Minnesotans, and subtract the public value if any, it’s an insanely huge bill they’re leaving unpaid.

12.02.2026 15:18 β€” πŸ‘ 774    πŸ” 189    πŸ’¬ 67    πŸ“Œ 6

in some sense I think this is right; the nihilism of the present moment is overpowering -- just so many different sectors of politics, religion, culture, etc coming up with ways to check out of basic forms of moral virtue

12.02.2026 15:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

there is kind of a point to the scriptural story about Satan tempting the starving Christ with a promise of all the kingdoms of the world and Christ adroitly telling him to fuck off

12.02.2026 15:09 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
A Theory of Political Backlash: Assessing the Religious Right’s Effects on the Religious Field Abstract. A growing body of evidence suggests that the rise in religious disaffiliation can be partly attributed to a political backlash against the Religi

...and Braustein (2022)

(5/5)

academic.oup.com/socrel/artic...

12.02.2026 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
HOME HOME β€œThis is a big, multifaceted work….intellectually powerful.” β€”Robert […]

and Putnam and Campbell (2012):

(4/n)

americangrace.org

12.02.2026 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Are the Politics of the Christian Right Linked to State Rates of the Nonreligious? The Importance of Salient Controversy - Paul A. Djupe, Jacob R. Neiheisel, Kimberly H. Conger, 2018 Hout and Fischer have made the repeated, controversial claim that the dramatic rise of β€œreligious nones” in the United States is due to the prominence of the po...

... and Djupe et al (2018):

(3/n)

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

12.02.2026 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library Nearly all research on the political impact of Americans’ religious and secular orientations assumes that such orientations are exogenous to politics. Using multiwave panel and experimental data, we ...

see also Campbell et al (2018):

(2/n)

12.02.2026 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

🧡; politicized religion produces a backlash against religion and ultimately delegitimizes the latter more broadly.

This is a pattern we see in the present day United States with respect to politicized Christianity, e.g.,

(1/n)

12.02.2026 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Repealing Right to Work, reinstating prevailing wage, and raising the minimum wage and pegging it to inflation.

We did that here in Michigan.

We showed how to build power, fight alongside labor – and win. We need that same attitude from our next U.S. Senator.

12.02.2026 14:25 β€” πŸ‘ 275    πŸ” 41    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 3

It ain’t over til Minnesota has ICE’s battle flag

12.02.2026 14:18 β€” πŸ‘ 3453    πŸ” 644    πŸ’¬ 48    πŸ“Œ 36

the median voter

12.02.2026 14:26 β€” πŸ‘ 541    πŸ” 107    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 1
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JUST IN: Judge Kelly has barred the Trump administration from transfering 20 former death row inmates (commuted to life sentences by Biden) to the notorious ADX supermax prison, saying they were given "sham" due process after decision was made. ecf.dcd.uscourts.gov/cgi-bin/show...

12.02.2026 02:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1300    πŸ” 385    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 12

It’s very easy to go β€œhurr hurr woke nonsense” but it’s actually much harder to create something that’s more enjoyable than the woke nonsense, which is why fascists end up trying to silence everyone who points this out, or hating on everyone who enjoys Bad Bunny.

12.02.2026 12:36 β€” πŸ‘ 136    πŸ” 26    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1
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Folding Flow 19 (2021)

#rstats and #ggplot2

12.02.2026 09:40 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸš¨πŸ“„ New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social):

We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.

Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.

w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social

URL: osf.io/preprints/os...

12.02.2026 13:06 β€” πŸ‘ 149    πŸ” 51    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 6

the US coal mining industry employees ~50k people. For some perspective, The Gap has about 82,000 employees

12.02.2026 00:01 β€” πŸ‘ 786    πŸ” 187    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 12
Preview
GOP-Led House Rejects Trump’s Tariffs on Canada The vote in the chamber is a significant but largely symbolic repudiation of the president’s signature economic policy.

"The GOP-led House...voted 219–211 to approve a Democratic resolution that would invalidate the emergency declaration that underpins Trump’s tariffs on Canada. Six Republicans broke ranks with their party in voting for the measure."

www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

12.02.2026 03:08 β€” πŸ‘ 154    πŸ” 30    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

@chrispps is following 20 prominent accounts