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Elizabeth Cooper

@drlizcooper.bsky.social

mathematical models | earth system | climate change | data assimilation | she/her

289 Followers  |  227 Following  |  13 Posts  |  Joined: 16.11.2024  |  2.428

Latest posts by drlizcooper.bsky.social on Bluesky

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At #COP30 today - Wildfires: Science, Stories, and Strategies for Resilience in Amazonia

UKCEH with Fundacion Avina, Instituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amazรดnia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro and University of East Anglia

UK Pavilion or livestream: https://www.youtube.com/live/VNg-QCfYbvQ

17.11.2025 13:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

A List of Things Said to Have Been Ruined by Women

๐Ÿงต

06.11.2025 20:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6298    ๐Ÿ” 2877    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 239    ๐Ÿ“Œ 622
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Parameter Estimation in Land Surface Models: Challenges and Opportunities With Data Assimilation and Machine Learning Data assimilation (DA) has been shown to be a powerful tool for reducing land surface model (LSM) parametric uncertainty Machine learning can facilitate parameter estimation by enhancing computat...

Out today in JAMES!! Parameter Estimation in Land Surface Models: Challenges and Opportunities With Data Assimilation and Machine Learning doi.org/10.1029/2024... led by Nina Raoult, Natalie Douglas, @janasknits.bsky.social, @tquaife.bsky.social, me, and an awesome team of folks in the community 1/2

29.10.2025 14:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Farming Futures: comparing regenerative and conventional practices on soil, chemical use, and ecosystems in a changing climate at UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology - Lancaster on FindAPhD.com PhD Project - Farming Futures: comparing regenerative and conventional practices on soil, chemical use, and ecosystems in a changing climate at UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology - Lancaster, listed ...

๐Ÿ“ข PhD opportunity! ๐Ÿ“ข

Are you interested in studying how different farming practices influence soils, including chemical levels and bioavailability, functional soil outcomes and other ecosystem endpoints? Check out this ECOSOLUTIONS PhD!

@ukceh.bsky.social

www.findaphd.com/phds/project...

01.11.2025 22:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Block letter print on notebook paper, pinned to wall

YOU LOOK GREAT.
YOUR TEETH ARE SHARP.
YOUR EYES ARE LUMINOUS.
THE TOWN FOLK WHISPER YOUR NAME IN HUSHED
TONES

Block letter print on notebook paper, pinned to wall YOU LOOK GREAT. YOUR TEETH ARE SHARP. YOUR EYES ARE LUMINOUS. THE TOWN FOLK WHISPER YOUR NAME IN HUSHED TONES

#MondayMotivation

20.10.2025 17:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3854    ๐Ÿ” 1361    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 60
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A team from UKCEH, @metoffice.gov.uk, @uniofeastanglia.bsky.social and @ecmwf.int used satellite observations & advanced modelling to identify and investigate the causes of wildfires from Mar24-Feb25 fire season and the role played by climate & land use change.

๐ŸŽฅ Co-lead Dr Doug Kelley

2/

16.10.2025 11:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Image of a large building on fire at night, with bright flames engulfing multiple sections. Emergency response vehicles are visible at the scene.

Image of a large building on fire at night, with bright flames engulfing multiple sections. Emergency response vehicles are visible at the scene.

Co-led by the UEA, @ukceh.bsky.social, @metoffice.gov.uk and @ecmwf.int the second annual State of Wildfires report has found that human-driven climate change made wildfires many times larger and more destructive.

Read more ๐Ÿ‘‰ bit.ly/47sZNhC

#Research #Wildfires #ClimateChange #NewReport

16.10.2025 14:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Introducing UKCEH. Our Planet. Decoded.
YouTube video by UKCEH Introducing UKCEH. Our Planet. Decoded.

Our Planet. Decoded.

UKCEH makes sense of environmental complexity to power decisions that shape a better future.

We donโ€™t just examine our planet, we decode it โ€“ working out how to build a better tomorrow.

๐ŸŽž๏ธ youtu.be/s9fBwN5-kxM

#UKCEH #EnvironmentalScience ๐Ÿงช

15.10.2025 17:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 16    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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A request for weather interested volunteers!

Met Eireann would like to rescue millions of weather observations taken in Ireland over many decades that are still stuck on paper. #WeatherRescue

Anyone can help: www.zooniverse.org/projects/met...

16.10.2025 07:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 109    ๐Ÿ” 105    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6
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Coming soon on Counting the Earth...

๐Ÿ”ฅ We discuss the changing nature of wildfires with UKCEH fire scientist Dr Doug Kelley. And we're at Holt Heath in Dorset, scene of a devastating wildfire in August, to talk to Dorset & Wiltshire Fire Service.

๐ŸŽง๐Ÿงช Subscribe on your favourite #podcast provider!

10.10.2025 09:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Q: What do you get if you cross a mood ring with a pronoun pin?

A: My latest design at canopyrobin.etsy.com/listing/4376...

Please share!

26.09.2025 20:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 121    ๐Ÿ” 53    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 15
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Heading to IAHS 2025 in Roorkee ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ? ๐ŸŒ

Iโ€™m co-hosting a side event + giving a talk with the ROBIN Network!

Letโ€™s talk reference hydrological networks, drought indicators & climate change detection!

๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡

01.10.2025 08:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Cutting down the Amazon will bring extreme rain, wind and heat We used to think that deforestation in the Amazon would dry out the local climate, but the effects may be even more extreme and varied

We used to think that deforestation in the Amazon would dry out the local climate, but the effects may be even more extreme and varied

22.09.2025 11:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
The Telegraph

Rayner tax scandal - ยฃ40k tax dodge - Statement

Angela Rayner dodges ยฃ40,000 stamp duty

Deputy Prime Minister reduces tax bill for Hove flat by declaring it as her main residence

[Photo: Angela Rayner pictured at the weekend in Hove, where she has just bought a flat Credit: Dan Charity/The Sun on Sunday]

Robert Mendick Chief Reporter. Amy Gibbons Political Correspondent

29 August 2025 8:57am BST

The Telegraph Rayner tax scandal - ยฃ40k tax dodge - Statement Angela Rayner dodges ยฃ40,000 stamp duty Deputy Prime Minister reduces tax bill for Hove flat by declaring it as her main residence [Photo: Angela Rayner pictured at the weekend in Hove, where she has just bought a flat Credit: Dan Charity/The Sun on Sunday] Robert Mendick Chief Reporter. Amy Gibbons Political Correspondent 29 August 2025 8:57am BST

The Telegraph

Money > Property > Second homes

How to avoid tax on your second home

From stamp duty to council tax, shield your wealth from Labour's tightening net

[Photo of houses around a bay - Areas such as Cornwall have added a premium to council tax bills for second homes Credit: iStockphoto]

Fran Ivens Senior Money Writer

29 August 2025 1:21pm BST

The Telegraph Money > Property > Second homes How to avoid tax on your second home From stamp duty to council tax, shield your wealth from Labour's tightening net [Photo of houses around a bay - Areas such as Cornwall have added a premium to council tax bills for second homes Credit: iStockphoto] Fran Ivens Senior Money Writer 29 August 2025 1:21pm BST

On the same day in the Telegraph:

05.09.2025 07:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6505    ๐Ÿ” 3218    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 128    ๐Ÿ“Œ 180

curly hair is an adventure because sometimes you wake up and it looks great and sometimes you wake up and it looks incomprehensibly bad and there is no way to know what kind of day today is going to be until, like Perseus, you tiptoe to take a fateful look into the mirror

03.09.2025 13:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 196    ๐Ÿ” 19    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6
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We may have 10 times less carbon storage capacity than we thought Storing carbon dioxide underground is seen as a way to mitigate climate change, but the world could run out of safe storage space within 200 years if we keep on burning fossil fuels

Much less CO2 can be safely stored underground than we thought, scientists warn

If we simply dump ongoing fossil fuel emissions underground, we may run out of spaceโ€ฆ

www.newscientist.com/article/2494...

03.09.2025 16:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Infographic shows a spread of days that are sunny and windy in Britain. It shows that most days are either windy or sunny, and that only 2% of days typically have both low wind and low sun.

Infographic shows a spread of days that are sunny and windy in Britain. It shows that most days are either windy or sunny, and that only 2% of days typically have both low wind and low sun.

Really wonderful visualisation by my old colleague @laorso.bsky.social, showing that we usually get either sun or wind in Britain.

Days where there's little sun or wind do happen and are difficult, but they're not that common...

ember-energy.org/latest-insig...

28.08.2025 17:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 29    ๐Ÿ” 13    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

With exceptionally dry conditions in many parts of the UK this year, hydrologists at UKCEH address the question of whether #globalwarming is increasing severity of #droughts in a guest post for @carbonbrief.org

27.08.2025 12:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Numerical models outperform AI weather forecasts of record-breaking extremes Artificial intelligence (AI)-based models are revolutionizing weather forecasting and have surpassed leading numerical weather prediction systems on various benchmark tasks. However, their ability to ...

Numerical weather prediction models (ECMWF IFS) still outperform AI weather models in forecasting record-breaking hot and cold extremes and unseen wind extremes

Preprint
arxiv.org/abs/2508.15724

with Zhongwei Zhang @erichfischer.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social and Sebastian Engelke

22.08.2025 05:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 85    ๐Ÿ” 37    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Image of Dr Glenn Watts beside text Keynote speaker Dr Glenn Watts UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Climate change and water resources: seeking certainty in an uncertain world 24 Sep 2025 Royal Society, London

Image of Dr Glenn Watts beside text Keynote speaker Dr Glenn Watts UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Climate change and water resources: seeking certainty in an uncertain world 24 Sep 2025 Royal Society, London

๐ŸŒŸ We're excited to have our water science director Dr Glenn Watts as a keynote speaker at next month's Hydro-JULES conference, Land and water in a changing climate, at the Royal Society.

๐Ÿ–ฑ๏ธ Book your place! enterprise.mitingu.com/ceh-events/l... ๐Ÿงช

15.08.2025 08:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Dr Sรฉgolรจne Berthou @metoffice.gov.uk is a keynote speaker at the Hydro-JULES 'Land and Water in a Changing Climate' event on 24 September. Dr Berthou currently leads activities on the Regional Environmental Prediction collaboration...

Register here: buff.ly/UVhq3K4 ๐Ÿงช

05.08.2025 07:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Historical model biases in monthly high temperature anomalies indicate under-estimation of future temperature extremes - Communications Earth & Environment Models tend to underestimate mean monthly maximum temperature anomalies by 2-3% and extreme anomalies by 11-12% over the period 1980 and 2023, which could lead to temperatures 3โ€‰ยฐC to 5โ€‰ยฐC higher than...

Climate models have underestimated the departure of high temperature extremes from monthly means.

If we assume these model biases persist in future projections, then the climate models are also likely underestimating the magnitude of future high temperature extremes.

www.nature.com/articles/s43...

31.07.2025 22:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 267    ๐Ÿ” 117    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10    ๐Ÿ“Œ 10
Low water levels at Pontsticill reservoir, south Wales, in July 2025.

Low water levels at Pontsticill reservoir, south Wales, in July 2025.

Graph showing unprecedented low summer rainfall found in one example realisation of the ECMWF hindcast archive (in red) compared to observed summer rainfall (in black). The light grey shading indicates the highest and lowest rainfall in the observations over this period.

Graph showing unprecedented low summer rainfall found in one example realisation of the ECMWF hindcast archive (in red) compared to observed summer rainfall (in black). The light grey shading indicates the highest and lowest rainfall in the observations over this period.

Series of maps of UK illustrating four storylines of river flows given a dry or wet July combined with sustained settled or unsettled conditions as a result of a shifted jet stream to the north or south of the UK.

Series of maps of UK illustrating four storylines of river flows given a dry or wet July combined with sustained settled or unsettled conditions as a result of a shifted jet stream to the north or south of the UK.

๐Ÿ’ง How can we plan for future droughts when past observations are limited?

UKCEH hydroclimatologist @wilsonchan.bsky.social explains how โ€˜hindcastsโ€™ and the UNSEEN method can help us explore rare but plausible scenarios, filling gaps in observations.

New blog post: www.ceh.ac.uk/news-and-med... ๐Ÿงช

30.07.2025 15:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ“ฐ Groundbreaking new partnership to deliver a world class public weather service announced

Read our news release ๐Ÿ‘‡

www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/new...

30.07.2025 11:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 76    ๐Ÿ” 12    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 12

1) is #NERC seeking to limit the number of proposals it receives?

2) why is #NERC prohibiting the resubmission of rejected proposals; and

3) is 1) related to 2)?

21.07.2025 19:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Bar chart showing heat-related deaths in several European cities from 23 June to 2 July 2025, distinguishing between numbers due to human-caused climate change and those due to natural variability
Milan: 317 from human caused climate change, 182 natural
Barcelona: 286, 54
Paris: 235, 138
London: 171, 92
Rome: 164, 118
Madrid: 108, (then some relatively small number not given)
Athens: 96, 79
Budapest: 47, 24
Zagreb: 31, 25
Lisbon: 21, 71
Frankfurt: 21 (then some relatively small number not given)

Added text says two-thirds of heat deaths in London were attributable to climate change

Guardian graphic, source: World Weather Attribution, Grantham Institute, Imperial College London

Bar chart showing heat-related deaths in several European cities from 23 June to 2 July 2025, distinguishing between numbers due to human-caused climate change and those due to natural variability Milan: 317 from human caused climate change, 182 natural Barcelona: 286, 54 Paris: 235, 138 London: 171, 92 Rome: 164, 118 Madrid: 108, (then some relatively small number not given) Athens: 96, 79 Budapest: 47, 24 Zagreb: 31, 25 Lisbon: 21, 71 Frankfurt: 21 (then some relatively small number not given) Added text says two-thirds of heat deaths in London were attributable to climate change Guardian graphic, source: World Weather Attribution, Grantham Institute, Imperial College London

Yes climate change is already killing people

www.imperial.ac.uk/grantham/pub...

20.07.2025 10:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 237    ๐Ÿ” 143    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 13    ๐Ÿ“Œ 14
Screenshot:

No room for wokeness!
@Wokenessisevil
Notice how no one, not a single soul, has ever complained about the female gaze in entertainment.

[photos show Hugh Jackman (Wolverine) and Alan Ritchson (Reacher) with ripped muscles]

Screenshot: No room for wokeness! @Wokenessisevil Notice how no one, not a single soul, has ever complained about the female gaze in entertainment. [photos show Hugh Jackman (Wolverine) and Alan Ritchson (Reacher) with ripped muscles]

This isnโ€™t the female gaze. This is the male gaze. Itโ€™s men who are obsessed with the physicality of other men. Women, in the main, would much rather see a man who looks like heโ€™d make himself a stack of buttered toast and let you steal a slice

19.07.2025 19:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 25380    ๐Ÿ” 3572    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1358    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1325

Okay, I'm having trouble finding reviewers for an article on river morphology and its impacts. Lots declined and 1 late 21 days. Can anybody suggest a reviewer or volunteer to review? #AcademicSky #GeoSky

17.07.2025 03:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 18    ๐Ÿ” 18    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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What is the hydrological outlook for the UK in the weeks and months ahead? Steve Turner talks us through the likely situation for river flows and groundwater levels.

See the full outlook: hydoutuk.net/latest-outlook

๐Ÿงต๐Ÿงช 1/ #WaterResources @steveturner.bsky.social

09.07.2025 15:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 19    ๐Ÿ” 13    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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BBC Radio 4's The Infinite Monkey Cage is celebrating its 201st birthday episode on Thursday at 11am.

Questions include: 'so, climate change, are we screwed?' from Nish Kumar

Also featuring Brian Cox, @robinince.bsky.social, @deborahmeaden.bsky.social & Mel Giedroyc

www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m...

09.07.2025 19:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 133    ๐Ÿ” 24    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@drlizcooper is following 20 prominent accounts