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Ian Sinclair

@imsinclair.bsky.social

appellate counsel || democracy, inequality, segregation, baked goods || former city planner and low-level bureaucrat || imsinclair.substack.com/

953 Followers  |  908 Following  |  99 Posts  |  Joined: 03.11.2023  |  2.3469

Latest posts by imsinclair.bsky.social on Bluesky


I once told a friend that congress is the writer, Supreme Court is the editor and the President is the Publisher/reader depending on the situation and order of events now congress doesn't write and the the Supreme Court uses an AI summary based on facebook memes to make their decision

24.02.2026 15:34 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Smartphones, Online Music Streaming, and Traffic Fatalities
Vishal R. Patel, Christopher M. Worsham, Michael Liu & Anupam B. Jena
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Working Paper 34866
DOI 10.3386/w34866
Issue Date February 2026
Modern smartphones present new threats to road safety beyond talking and texting, but the real-world effects are difficult to study. One way to causally assess the impact of smartphones on road safety is to identify arbitrarily timed events during which smartphone-related distraction may exogenously increase – i.e., a situation that relies not on plausibly random variation in who uses smartphones while driving, but when smartphones are used. We investigated the impact of smartphones on road safety by examining traffic fatalities on days when smartphone use likely surges: the release of major music albums. Using event study analysis, we show that music streaming – an indicator for smartphone use, where streaming most often occurs – sharply increases, by nearly 40%, on dates of major music album releases, while U.S. traffic fatalities increase by nearly 15% on those same days. Mobile device use while driving is a known safety issue, but today’s smartphones present new and greater opportunities for driver distraction. Our study indicates how features of these phones may have important impacts on distracted driving and traffic fatalities.

Smartphones, Online Music Streaming, and Traffic Fatalities Vishal R. Patel, Christopher M. Worsham, Michael Liu & Anupam B. Jena X LinkedIn Facebook Bluesky Threads Email Link Working Paper 34866 DOI 10.3386/w34866 Issue Date February 2026 Modern smartphones present new threats to road safety beyond talking and texting, but the real-world effects are difficult to study. One way to causally assess the impact of smartphones on road safety is to identify arbitrarily timed events during which smartphone-related distraction may exogenously increase – i.e., a situation that relies not on plausibly random variation in who uses smartphones while driving, but when smartphones are used. We investigated the impact of smartphones on road safety by examining traffic fatalities on days when smartphone use likely surges: the release of major music albums. Using event study analysis, we show that music streaming – an indicator for smartphone use, where streaming most often occurs – sharply increases, by nearly 40%, on dates of major music album releases, while U.S. traffic fatalities increase by nearly 15% on those same days. Mobile device use while driving is a known safety issue, but today’s smartphones present new and greater opportunities for driver distraction. Our study indicates how features of these phones may have important impacts on distracted driving and traffic fatalities.

On days when major albums are released, people use music streaming services on their smartphone 40% more, and U.S. traffic fatalities increase by 15% www.nber.org/papers/w3486...

24.02.2026 23:55 β€” πŸ‘ 119    πŸ” 53    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 1

Biden had a trifecta and got a shitload of legislation passed, that not resulting in any political rewards is a different conversation

22.02.2026 23:40 β€” πŸ‘ 182    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0

You’ll really should read Schlesinger’s trilogy because he very clearly lays out why the new deal coalition came together, not because FDR was like:

22.02.2026 23:38 β€” πŸ‘ 132    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

The New Deal did not happen via executive fiat

22.02.2026 23:35 β€” πŸ‘ 640    πŸ” 66    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 0
Karen has no criminal record. She is a grandmother who spent eight years working as an admin assistant at a primary school before her retirement. β€œI don’t even have parking tickets in the background anywhere,” she says. β€œI am not a dangerous criminal. I didn’t enter the country illegally and I had everything I needed to be there.”

So why did ICE detain her, and keep her locked up for so long? A possible answer began to emerge over the weeks she was incarcerated. As Karen got to know the guards at the Northwest ICE Processing Center where she was held, she kept hearing the same thing from them: that ICE officers are paid a bonus every time they detain someone. β€œIndividual ICE agents get money per head that they detain – the guards told me that,” Karen says.

Karen has no criminal record. She is a grandmother who spent eight years working as an admin assistant at a primary school before her retirement. β€œI don’t even have parking tickets in the background anywhere,” she says. β€œI am not a dangerous criminal. I didn’t enter the country illegally and I had everything I needed to be there.” So why did ICE detain her, and keep her locked up for so long? A possible answer began to emerge over the weeks she was incarcerated. As Karen got to know the guards at the Northwest ICE Processing Center where she was held, she kept hearing the same thing from them: that ICE officers are paid a bonus every time they detain someone. β€œIndividual ICE agents get money per head that they detain – the guards told me that,” Karen says.

Border Patrol is operating as bounty hunters.

Agents are apparently getting paid for each person they put in detention. Even if those people are grandmothers traveling on valid tourist visas.

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

22.02.2026 01:40 β€” πŸ‘ 687    πŸ” 320    πŸ’¬ 27    πŸ“Œ 18

Not used to a world in which Newsweek breaks anything

21.02.2026 09:21 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Next para: "A regime of secret policing has no place in our society. Here, the Government’s power is derived by the People, and the People must be able to identify the Government when it acts to infringe on their liberty."

21.02.2026 00:56 β€” πŸ‘ 2126    πŸ” 380    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 15

Page 34: "An anonymous government is no government at all. It cannot be held accountable. A masked agent freely uses force without justifying his actions, and the public cannot name him to challenge his conduct."

21.02.2026 00:55 β€” πŸ‘ 2652    πŸ” 495    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 15

Page 29: "Absent genuine, particularized necessity, the Fourth Amendment’s reasonableness requirement prohibits government officers from executing a civil arrest while systematically concealing their identities in a manner that eliminates contemporaneous and subsequent accountability."

21.02.2026 00:52 β€” πŸ‘ 2201    πŸ” 294    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 8

Incredible opinion. It holds that the common ICE tactic of jumping out of an unidentified rental vehicle and seizing suspected noncitizens while masked violates the Fourth Amendment because the *manner* of the seizure is incompatible with a free society governed by the rule of law.

21.02.2026 00:51 β€” πŸ‘ 11801    πŸ” 3925    πŸ’¬ 107    πŸ“Œ 128

The thing about the press conference is that Trump didn't say he would ask Congress to override the Court's decision, which is what a strong president whose party controlled both houses of Congress would do.

20.02.2026 19:44 β€” πŸ‘ 93    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 1

So SCOTUS, with its fabricated-out-of-thin-air immunity doctrine, has actually made American presidents less accountable than LITERAL royalty.

19.02.2026 10:50 β€” πŸ‘ 11212    πŸ” 3142    πŸ’¬ 30    πŸ“Œ 139

In the concentration camp universe, this is what's known as a filtration camp. A government preemptively takes a whole class of people to interrogate and detain extrajudicially in order to inflict duress on them while arbitrarily assessing their (supposed) culpability.

19.02.2026 02:20 β€” πŸ‘ 5535    πŸ” 3038    πŸ’¬ 61    πŸ“Œ 55

We fought a revolution over this stuff, supposedly.

16.02.2026 20:05 β€” πŸ‘ 217    πŸ” 39    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Lincoln 1851

"I am not a Know-Nothing. As a nation, we began by declaring "all men are created equal." We now practically read it "all men are created equal, except negroes." When the Know-Nothings get control, it will read "all men are created equal, except negroes, and foreigners, and catholics."

16.02.2026 04:47 β€” πŸ‘ 279    πŸ” 87    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
No, ICE isn’t β€˜retreating.’ It’s loading up to invade your town. | Will Bunch A much-hyped ICE pullback from Minneapolis is a blip in a looming nationwide surge of arrests, concentration camps.

Gift article. Philadelphia Inquirer is well worth subscribing to.

share.inquirer.com/wjEzal

15.02.2026 18:38 β€” πŸ‘ 95    πŸ” 47    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 4
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Yes it’s Valentine’s Day. But it’s also the chosen birthday of Frederick Douglass who was born in 1818 on a plantation in Talbot County, Maryland. He escaped from slavery & rose to become the most eloquent and forceful voice for the abolition of slavery & for Black voting rights in the U.S.

14.02.2026 18:45 β€” πŸ‘ 13924    πŸ” 3719    πŸ’¬ 232    πŸ“Œ 133

"White people are becoming second class citizens in America because of the radical left agenda." Is it Jeremy Carl in 2026, or an Oregonian's white supremacist screed written in 1959 in opposition to a proposed Civil Rights bill?

15.02.2026 00:31 β€” πŸ‘ 412    πŸ” 160    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 9

I've repeatedly used the Roosevelt HS case because it's so unexplainable.

Like, imagine the MPD was chasing a suspect and the chase took them through a high school at dismissal...

And then somehow they ended up getting into multiple scrums with students and arresting two teachers? What???

14.02.2026 08:03 β€” πŸ‘ 314    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Some people automatically go into this β€œWell, what’s the other side of the story?” pose. But the answer is that there is no other side. They’re 100% doing the things we accuse them of, and then lying, despite voluminous evidence.

14.02.2026 08:00 β€” πŸ‘ 678    πŸ” 66    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

One of the terrible things about the ICE occupation of Minneapolis is that they’ve been doing stuff that is so crazy that people assume it’s some kind of exaggeration, despite being widely documented on video. Following observers home! Lurking outside elementary schools! Black-bagging citizens!

14.02.2026 07:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1135    πŸ” 222    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 6
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Glad this is getting covered, but also… Completely surreal to read the NYT report on this as recently disclosed info, and just an allegation. This happened to every observer I know! It happened to me twice! I have it on video both times! www.nytimes.com/2026/02/13/u...

14.02.2026 07:48 β€” πŸ‘ 2955    πŸ” 850    πŸ’¬ 49    πŸ“Œ 34

Yes by raising issues of systemic, chronic inequality & oppression, we, er, made them do the racist things we were asking them to stop?

14.02.2026 13:21 β€” πŸ‘ 34    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The American right does not defend slavery because progressives say it was bad. They defend slavery because racial hierarchy has been an important and increasingly explicit component of their ideology for 70 years. Read a fucking book.

14.02.2026 13:16 β€” πŸ‘ 6406    πŸ” 776    πŸ’¬ 67    πŸ“Œ 19

Not only did they murder hundreds of thousands of people. They also stole the money.

13.02.2026 14:09 β€” πŸ‘ 2228    πŸ” 801    πŸ’¬ 47    πŸ“Œ 30

β€œmy β€˜we’re not out scouring the streets to disappear people or deny people their civil rights or due process’ shirt is raising a lot of questions that are answered by the shirt”

12.02.2026 14:44 β€” πŸ‘ 6246    πŸ” 1066    πŸ’¬ 135    πŸ“Œ 16

For those who don't know, this is a finding from 2009 by the EPA which stated greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane are heating the Earth and that warming threatens public health and welfare

12.02.2026 18:46 β€” πŸ‘ 743    πŸ” 299    πŸ’¬ 39    πŸ“Œ 14
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This is the aftermath of an ICE kidnapping a few blocks from my home in St. Paulβ€”an hour ago. A quiet street full of broken glass and at least three wrecked cars. The target of the kidnapping was taken away by ambulance. He was on a stretcher and covered by a sheet, though a cop said he was alive.

11.02.2026 16:46 β€” πŸ‘ 11388    πŸ” 6569    πŸ’¬ 275    πŸ“Œ 628
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We have received numerous credible reports of torture, killing, and inhumane treatment of detained individuals at the Camp East Montana migrant detention facility, located within Fort Bliss. #txlege

10.02.2026 18:46 β€” πŸ‘ 5502    πŸ” 2929    πŸ’¬ 101    πŸ“Œ 292

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