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Instinctive

@fplinstinctive.bsky.social

instinctive.substack.com | FPL — Brighton Predictor, Threads, and Analytics | Writer — Economics and Psychology | Football and Tactics | UCL and F1 Fantasy

2,030 Followers  |  93 Following  |  1,257 Posts  |  Joined: 13.11.2024  |  1.6247

Latest posts by fplinstinctive.bsky.social on Bluesky

Jan Paul van Hecke missed out vs. Palace with a “small” hamstring issue as a “precautionary” decision. Hürzeler hopes he’ll be back for Villa.

[The Argus]

09.02.2026 07:24 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Alternatively, we could see:

06.02.2026 15:42 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Brighton vs. Palace | Predicted Lineup:

06.02.2026 15:42 — 👍 5    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Scouting Jérémy Jacquet A Lesson in Ground Defending

SCOUTING JEREMY JACQUET

— Skillset and profiling
— Angling runs and getting goal-side
— The art of ground defending 🎨
— Passing range and floaty (weak) lobs

OUT NOW: instinctive.substack.com/p/scouting-j... 👈

03.02.2026 14:26 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Brighton 2025/26 — Squad Depth (post January transfer window) with players [only] in their preferred positions:

02.02.2026 15:23 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Brighton 2025/26 — Squad Depth (post January transfer window):

02.02.2026 15:23 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Scouting João Pedro Analysing a Positionless Footballer

SCOUTING João Pedro

In June last year, I wrote thousands of words profiling JP as a CF, covering historical influences, shooting, box movement, link-up play, dribbling, movement, channel running, and even character analysis/profiling.

It’s aged well: instinctive.substack.com/p/scouting-j... 👈

30.01.2026 15:39 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Brighton vs. Everton | Predicted Lineup:

30.01.2026 15:38 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Scouting Josh Acheampong The Next Big Thing?

SCOUTING JOSH ACHEAMPONG

— Profiling: a generational CB?
— Defending wide areas as a fullback
— Retentive headers?
— Passing and ball carrying

OUT NOW: instinctive.substack.com/p/scouting-j... 👈

27.01.2026 15:56 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Fulham vs. Brighton | Predicted Lineup:

23.01.2026 15:30 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
19.01.2026 18:55 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Brighton vs. Bournemouth | Predicted Lineup:

16.01.2026 15:17 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
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Ferdi Kadioğlu: All Actions FA Cup Third Round - 11th January, 2026

FERDI KADIOĞLU - ALL ACTIONS

I rewatched Brighton’s FA Cup tie vs Manchester United and analysed the good and the bad of Ferdi Kadioğlu:

— Proactive vs. reactive defending
— Set-pieces and two-footedness
— Systemic implications
— Attacking play

OUT NOW: instinctive.substack.com/p/ferdi-kadi... 👈

16.01.2026 09:24 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Ferdi Kadioğlu: All Actions FA Cup Third Round - 11th January, 2026

FERDI KADIOĞLU - ALL ACTIONS

I rewatched Brighton’s FA Cup tie vs Manchester United and analysed the good and the bad of Ferdi Kadioğlu:

— Proactive vs. reactive defending
— Set-pieces and two-footedness
— Systemic implications
— Attacking play

OUT NOW: instinctive.substack.com/p/ferdi-kadi... 👈

16.01.2026 09:24 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Scouting Antoine Semenyo Momentum = Mass (Antoine) * Velocity (Semenyo)

SCOUTING ANTOINE SEMENYO

In this framework led-analysis, I look at what makes Semenyo so threatening:

— Profiling and optimal use
— Shooting and finishing zones + ambipedality
— Deceleration and shooting in stride
— Managing contact; physicality

OUT NOW: instinctive.substack.com/p/scouting-a... 👈

12.01.2026 08:26 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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Manchester United vs. Brighton | Starting XI:

11.01.2026 15:35 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

bring on Milner + Groß near the 70th minute.

Gómez could also start as the RW, but Gruda seemingly has preference here. I’d be surprised to see Kostoulas start a fixture of this intensity

06.01.2026 16:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Firstly, I think there’s a very decent chance Brighton line up in a back three here, especially if Mitoma’s not 100%.

Assuming he is, though, Milner *could* start, but given Hürzeler’s view on connections, I feel like he may go with a similar midfield to the one he used vs. Burnley and…

06.01.2026 16:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Manchester City vs Brighton | Predicted Lineup:

06.01.2026 16:48 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Hürzeler on Mats Wieffer and Yankuba Minteh:

“Yeah Mats Wieffer won’t be available, he still has an issue with his toe. (And) regards Minteh, we need to have a look. So it’s still not perfect, but there’s a minor chance he will be available tomorrow.”

06.01.2026 16:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I don’t think you can overstate van Hecke’s ZOI.

Brighton can build up in a 2-1, knowing that if they ever get pressured, they can simply play through the middle (where they’ve baited the opposition into) or switch play into a winger with an excellent first touch (Mitoma).

03.01.2026 15:19 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Brighton vs. Burnley | Starting XIs:

03.01.2026 13:51 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Brighton vs. Burnley | Predicted Lineup:

02.01.2026 16:30 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 1

I like Rosenior and think he’s a good coach. I don’t expect much to come out of a stint at Chelsea (relative to the expectations of a Chelsea manager), given the [work] constraints he’ll undoubtedly face, but I’ll be more than happy to have him at Brighton someday.

02.01.2026 16:13 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Thinking Rosenior can’t command respect because of one video, yet believing Maresca could because of success with City’s U21 side, even whilst he publicly sold his players down the river, is… interesting.

02.01.2026 15:54 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

via The Argus: Was a dead leg. Will train today. "Then we will see if he can start or not."

02.01.2026 09:35 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

He has an issue with his toe

02.01.2026 09:23 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Yankuba Minteh’s will train today. Mats Wieffer won’t be available.

[The Argus]

02.01.2026 09:07 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

Fabian Hürzeler was asked about Minteh’s injury: “We need to have a scan and then we will see.”

30.12.2025 22:30 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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West Ham vs. Brighton | Predicted Lineup:

30.12.2025 15:47 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

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