Måns Magnusson's Avatar

Måns Magnusson

@mansmag.bsky.social

Associate professor in Statistics at Uppsala University. https://mansmeg.github.io/

224 Followers  |  307 Following  |  25 Posts  |  Joined: 24.11.2024  |  1.8465

Latest posts by mansmag.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Huge congratulations to @eliscl.bsky.social, who successfully defended his PhD thesis "Contagious Secularization: Social Influence and Membership Dynamics in Religious Organizations”!

Excellent work, Dr. Carlberg Larsson 🥂

28.01.2026 13:17 — 👍 12    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1
HalluCitation Matters: Revealing the Impact of Hallucinated References with 300 Hallucinated Papers in ACL Conferences Recently, we have often observed hallucinated citations or references that do not correspond to any existing work in papers under review, preprints, or published papers. Such hallucinated citations pose a serious concern to scientific reliability. When they appear in accepted papers, they may also negatively affect the credibility of conferences. In this study, we refer to hallucinated citations as "HalluCitation" and systematically investigate their prevalence and impact. We analyze all papers published at ACL, NAACL, and EMNLP in 2024 and 2025, including main conference, Findings, and workshop papers. Our analysis reveals that nearly 300 papers contain at least one HalluCitation, most of which were published in 2025. Notably, half of these papers were identified at EMNLP 2025, the most recent conference, indicating that this issue is rapidly increasing. Moreover, more than 100 such papers were accepted as main conference and Findings papers at EMNLP 2025, affecting the credib

"We analyze all papers published at ACL, NAACL, and EMNLP in 2024 and 2025... nearly 300 papers contain at least one HalluCitation... Notably, half of these papers were identified at EMNLP 2025 ... indicating that this issue is rapidly increasing."

https://www.arxiv.org/abs/2601.18724

28.01.2026 17:40 — 👍 40    🔁 13    💬 3    📌 4
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StanCon 2026 Tutorials and Workshop deadline today (AoE) Hi everyone, The submission deadline for contributing tutorials and workshops is today (anywhere on earth). Tutorial Tutorials provide hands-on learning experiences to help attendees build practica...

Deadline for StanCon 2026 tutorials and workshops (@mc-stan) is today (anywhere on earth). More information here:
discourse.mc-stan.org/t/stancon-20...

28.01.2026 10:12 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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StanCon 2026 Deadline for tutorial and workshop in one week Hi everyone, The submission deadline for contributing tutorials and workshops is one week from now, on the 28th of January. Tutorial Tutorials provide hands-on learning experiences to help attendee...

StanCon 2026 tutorial and workshop deadlines in one week:
discourse.mc-stan.org/t/stancon-20...
@mc-stan.org

21.01.2026 09:20 — 👍 8    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
Speakers – Stan Conference 2026

🔥 Second Keynote for StanCon 2026 🔥

We present Fredrik Ronquist (Swedish Museum of Natural History) as the second keynote speaker

More information can be found here:
www.stancon2026.org/speakers/

12.01.2026 10:30 — 👍 5    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

I think gemini 3 pro have approx 1M token context. I dont know how many tokens there is in 3k pages.

24.12.2025 19:24 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

@mc-stan.org @avehtari.bsky.social @hamiscalculated.bsky.social

22.12.2025 13:48 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Announcing StanCon 2026 First Keynote and Program Committee StanCon 2026 will take place 17–21 August 2026 in Uppsala, Sweden - details at https://stancon2026.org First Keynote Confirmed Speaker Anna Dreber (Stockholm School of Economics) (Predicting) replic...

🔥 First Keynote and Program committe for StanCon 2026 🔥

We present Anna Dreber (Stockholm School of Economics) as the first keynote speaker

More information can be found here:

22.12.2025 08:34 — 👍 6    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0

För att förtydliga. Det går att sitta på KB labb och göra enklare analyser. Men det omöjliggör forskning på språkmodeller. Det som inte är tillåtet för mig är att kopiera materialet till ex. beräkningskluster vid Universitetet.

20.12.2025 15:13 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Det som är ännu mer absurt är att jag i 7 år försökt få forska på materialet, på samma sorts modeller som de tränar, men vid universitetet. Jag har fått nej från KB med hänvisning till samma pliktlagstiftning. De tolkar det som att pliktlagstiftningen endast ger KB rätt att forska på materialet.

20.12.2025 14:49 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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StanCon 2026 registration and abstract submission is now open Hi everyone! Registration for StanCon 2026 in Uppsala, Sweden, is now open! You can already register and submit abstracts for contributions. Our first keynote speaker will be announced soon. New thi...

StanCon 2026 registration and abstract submission is now open!
Please spread the word!

discourse.mc-stan.org/t/stancon-20...

11.12.2025 12:59 — 👍 7    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
hamiscalculated.bsky.social

@hamiscalculated.bsky.social @avehtari.bsky.social @mc-stan.org

11.12.2025 13:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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StanCon 2026 registration and abstract submission is now open Hi everyone! Registration for StanCon 2026 in Uppsala, Sweden, is now open! You can already register and submit abstracts for contributions. Our first keynote speaker will be announced soon. New thi...

🔥 StanCon 2026 registration and abstract submission are now open! 🔥

Please spread the word!

discourse.mc-stan.org/t/stancon-20...

11.12.2025 12:58 — 👍 7    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0
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Join Us Website of the Uppsala University Information Laboratory.

We have an open PhD position on Fair Social Network Analysis (focused on method development but also on integrating social theory and real data analysis). Please consider applying if this is something of your interest or share this to potentially interested candidates. uuinfolab.github.io/joinus/

19.11.2025 11:12 — 👍 8    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 1

I'm happy to share that our team (@lecoursonnais.bsky.social, Maria Brandén, @martinhallsten.bsky.social and myself) has received 6.8M SEK in funding from the Swedish Research Council for our project: “Paths of Inequality: Life-Course Segregation Across Multiple Domains.”

20.11.2025 22:11 — 👍 28    🔁 3    💬 2    📌 1

Honored that our paper “Detecting Legal Citations in United Kingdom Court Judgments” was featured in the Senior Area Chair Highlights at #EMNLP2025!

Thanks to my co-authors Andreas Östling and @mansmag.bsky.social and to the reviewers and SACs for the recognition.

aclanthology.org/2025.emnlp-m...

12.11.2025 10:00 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Detecting Legal Citations in United Kingdom Court Judgments Holli Sargeant, Andreas Östling, Måns Magnusson. Proceedings of the 2025 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing. 2025.

Our #EMNLP2025 paper, “Detecting Legal Citations in United Kingdom Court Judgments,” presents the first systematic study of legal citation detection for UK case law and legislation.
aclanthology.org/2025.emnlp-m... @mansmag.bsky.social

04.11.2025 09:48 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 2    📌 0
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Uncertainty in Bayesian Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation Based Model Comparison It is useful to estimate the expected predictive performance of models planned to be used for prediction. We focus on leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV), which has become a popular method for estimating predictive performance of Bayesian models. Given two models, we are interested in comparing the predictive performances and associated uncertainty, which can also be used to compute the probability of one model having better predictive performance than the other model. We study the properties of the Bayesian LOO-CV estimator and the related uncertainty quantification for the predictive performance difference, and analyse when a normal approximation of this uncertainty is well calibrated and whether taking into account higher moments could improve the approximation. We provide new results of the properties both theoretically in the linear regression case and empirically for hierarchical linear, latent linear, and spline models and discuss the challenges. We show that problematic cases include: comparing models with similar predictions, misspecified models, and small data. In these cases, there is a weak connection between the distributions of the LOO-CV estimator and its error. We show that that the problematic skewness of the error distribution for the difference, which occurs when the models make similar predictions, does not fade away when the data size grows to infinity in certain situations. Based on the results, we also provide some practical recommendations for the users of Bayesian LOO-CV for comparing predictive performance of models.

"Uncertainty in Bayesian leave-one-out cross-validation based model comparison" with Tuomas Sivula, Asael Alonzo Matamoros, and @mansmag.bsky.social, has been published in Bayesian Analysis doi.org/10.1214/25-B...

🧵 1/

28.10.2025 13:39 — 👍 19    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0
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Rutgers Expert on Antifa Tries to Flee to Spain After Death Threats

Fan vad obehagligt: www.nytimes.com/2025/10/08/n...

09.10.2025 08:15 — 👍 22    🔁 9    💬 1    📌 0
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Sigrid, 9, är "Årets Vallentunabo" Säljer solrosor för Ukraina – Drar in tusentals kronor

Det här var banne mig det finaste jag hört på länge.

19.09.2025 12:20 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Uppträdanden på gator o torg ”som vi inte är vana vid” säger Tove L om Palestinarörelsen. #agenda Hört talas om ungdomskravaller från 50-talet o framåt? Eller -68? Vietnamdemonstrationer? Irakkriget? EU-mötet 2001. Vid alla har det skett olämpligheten. You name it. Sluta vara så historielös!

14.09.2025 19:46 — 👍 86    🔁 27    💬 5    📌 0

Jag var i kontakt med dem för några år sedan och de vägrade ha en lösning med öppen PDF och tryck för de som vill köpa fysisk bok. Då väljer jag öppen litteratur istället som lärare. Jag tänker inte tvinga studenter att köpa en bok när öppna digitala alt finns. Det är nog en rimligare förklaring.

13.09.2025 15:09 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Somebody really committed to the bit! Almost @theonion.com level satire

11.09.2025 16:18 — 👍 12    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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A new revised version of "Uncertainty in Bayesian leave-one-out cross-validation based model comparison" with Sivula, @mansmag.bsky.social, and Matamoros. We have clarified the goal of the paper, made more clear that the uncertainty is described by the posterior of unknown elpd difference, 1/4

23.06.2025 07:11 — 👍 21    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0
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Formalising Anti-Discrimination Law in Automated Decision Systems Algorithmic discrimination is a critical concern as machine learning models are used in high-stakes decision-making in legally protected contexts. Although substantial research on algorithmic bias and...

"Formalising Anti-Discrimination Law in Automated Decision Systems" (w @mansmag.bsky.social) tackles shortcomings in algo fairness approaches when applied to anti-discrimination law, introducing a novel decision-theoretic framework to mitigate unlawful discrimination. arxiv.org/abs/2407.00400

23.06.2025 05:03 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

Ja, jag reagerade också på detta. Detta är verkligen ett underligt beteende av en svensk utrikesminister.

11.06.2025 11:49 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Norrköping campus at sunset

Norrköping campus at sunset

We are hiring postdocs in Computational Social Science
📍SweCSS, Norrköping, Sweden
⏰Deadline June 3
🔗https://liu.se/en/work-at-liu/vacancies/26854
Please apply // help us spread the word

13.05.2025 12:47 — 👍 105    🔁 76    💬 2    📌 1

If you are in AISTATS, talk with Jakob about your wishes for the future of posteriordb!

04.05.2025 17:29 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Posteriordb v 1.0.0 released Hi everyone, Good news on posteriordb! We (@Bob_Carpenter , @paul.buerkner , @avehtari @Lu.Zhang and @Jakob_Torgander and me) have now published a paper on posteriordb at AISTATs. The paper can be f...

posteriordb is a database with models, data, and reference posteriors, making it easier to test and compare inference. v1.0.0 recently released discourse.mc-stan.org/t/posteriord.... Jakob Torgander presents proceedings.mlr.press/v258/magnuss... May 5 in AISTATS Oral sess. 5 and in Poster sess. 3

04.05.2025 17:29 — 👍 35    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 0

@mansmag is following 20 prominent accounts