Schade

Ok, fair I forgot about that. Kavanaugh was still the more egregious one

Right, I think the article is trying to say that it's better to go after that constituency (loyal Collins Dems who are typically older educated women) rather than other constituencies like disaffected youth and working class men

I think that, tactically I don't see the former approach working

Maine Democrats: let's set aside the war over Graham Platner for the next two days to concentrate on the fact that there is an election tomorrow on two important referendum questions.
NO on 1
YES on 2
The first is about restricting absentee voting second is about gun access.

But what does she give the kind of voter who already voted Collins in 2020 while splitting their ticket? They voted for Collins after she confirmed ACB and Kavanaugh, so they ostensibly like the social conservatism

Sure, maybe. But what is the profile or the counterfactual that turns a Biden/Collins/Harris voter to someone else?

Collins is an institution in the state, it seems to me, that these are probably the least gettable people because they're already voting for someone who goes against everything else

Jordan Wood is not a viable candidate for US Senator from Maine.

Details below.

One of the reasons you don’t vote for people that don’t respect you as a constituent is because they throw parties about being rich while watching their constituents on the brink of starvation. Vote for people that have at least some integrity.

I'll grant that some variation is doing a lot of work there, and the SS uses are probably the single most prominent ones outside of pirates, but unless you're someone who focuses on the insignia, it might not stand out

That's not true. The iron cross, and the eagle have had plenty of prominence alongside the swastika and totenkopf, and the gulf is rather dramatic. It's a symbol that (with some variation) has been in continuous use since the 1790s and has non-nazi connotations alongside the Nazi ones even today

call me crazy but i think inviting someone under federal indictment to an interview, peppering them with questions about the indictment that you know they can’t answer until you cause them to leave, then calling it a “Katie Porter moment” is not good journalism

To be fair to Beto, his campaigns came closer than basically anyone has in Texas and has set up progressive organizing that basically didn't exist before 2016

The strength of Platner's fundraising and his polling even after all this came out should speak to the electoral potential of attacking billionaires and advocating for strong social programs.

an unfortunate number of leftists have concluded "only this one guy can sell this platform to voters"

I think the abundance guys also chaining themselves to 'actually CA should kill more people and Dems should be more anti-abortion' is bad for abundance stuff, but that's just me.

They're all running for governor

Sure, though I prefer (gov candidate) Shenna Bellows' "go jump in the Gulf of Maine"

I'll see if I can find a link, but in essence from what I remember, the PAC they have history with (founded?), is one where they spent millions of dollars to raise millions of dollars (+1) and made themselves rich in the process

Platner's baggage is a real electability problem and a real trust problem, but Mills' credibility wavers when her only real accomplishments are about telling trump to fuck himself

The thing about Mills' track record is: it's not as good as a lot of her proponents are trying to make it out to be. We've had a Dem trifecta her entire tenure. But we backslid in some ways on climate change, still haven't made RCV count for the gov election, and a number of other big stuff

So far, I'm not high on Jordan Wood, though some people seem willing to overlook his & his husband's involvement with the scammiest of PACs.

Everyone else is still very unknown. I'm trying to learn more about Tucker Favereau, but none of them have gotten much attention yet

The one thing about the "blackwater" thing is that there really is only 1 private security contractor for the US in the middle east. He was on a diplomatic security contract for some other random subsidiary of that parent company.

But also he lasted six months and realized how not for him it was

I think protodb has a special rating field for performance on the deck. But that's mostly compatibility

I looked it up. My second guess was closer, but not quite. I'm trying to wrack my brain about why it'd be.

Collins has been a senator since the 90s and never once failed to capture a majority. Since we now have RCV, you *need* a majority of Mainers to rank the eventual nominee over Collins to flip the seat.

I:m not *for* Platner, but I think you can see why Mills has a lot to prove too.

Mills won with minorities of the electorate as the state tried to move on from LePage, historically unpopular and terrible for the state. She surrounded herself in establishment politics as an antidote for his Trumpiness.

Non Mainers weighing in on the Senate race. Both the primary and General are Ranked Choice. The Governor general election is not (yet). This makes them entirely different kinds of races.

I'm ambivalent right now. I haven't seen if he can actually demonstrate he's got the better judgement he sorely needed leading up to now.

But he has a movement that's a lot more exciting than VBNMW and a Mills who'll be 79 by the time she takes office and has the most negatively partisan opposition

Because he doesn't talk or act like a Nazi, in public, in private, or even anonymously online

Easton? It feels aroostook

Some candidates are explicitly choosing to canvass with party-organized canvassing events, though they are all invited constantly. So it's sort of a reverse thing where they're using his engagement to advertise their event

But calling him a gubernatorial candidate is daft

if you live in Maine, you NEED to vote on the 4th. these are turnout elections. if we show up, we win. if we don't, we lose.