Christopher Peters

The corruption of the US Supreme Court has arguably been the most serious single contributor to the US's transformation into autocracy

The American media's only weakness: transparent pretexts and obvious lies, which it can't refute without feeling partisan

I’m sorry, you and disabled people generally deserve much better (and our whole global community!).

No, Conscientiousness Hasn't Collapsed Among Young People in Recent Years How the Financial Times created a misleading meme and contributed to the firehose of nonsense on screen panic

Not much: open.substack.com/pub/grimoire...

I recently learned that our statistics book (bayesrulesbook.com) cannot be listed on syllabi in Florida.

I will die angry at joe manchin for this shit

Child poverty among Hispanic and Latino Americans tripled after the program ended, jumping to almost 25%.

An R package for working with generalized additive models Graceful 'ggplot'-based graphics and utility functions for working with generalized additive models (GAMs) fitted using the 'mgcv' package.

🚀 gratia 0.11.0 is out!

Now has a paper in JOSS — please cite 📄 doi.org/10.21105/jos...

Experimental parallel processing ⚡

New assemble() for building plots 🎨

Better support for complex families + new diagnostics 🧪

Lots of bug fixes + polish ✨

👉 gavinsimpson.github.io/gratia/

#Rstats

Shameful violation of the Air Carrier Access Act. 🤬 I hate how they caused the problem and kept adding to it.

Just had a frustrating, humiliating and dehumanizing experience with
@americanair.bsky.social
at
Reagan Airport
as a #disabled person. It started with insufficient staffing for wheelchair assistance.

ICJ vice-president: 'The Lord is counting on me to stand on the side of Israel' Judge Julia Sebutinde says signs of the end times 'are being shown in the Middle East'

Julia Sebutinde, the vice-president of the International Court of Justice (ICJ), has said God "is counting on me to stand on the side of Israel" and the signs of the "end times" are "being shown in the Middle East".

She is a judge who supports the accused

www.middleeasteye.net/news/icj-vic...

I didn’t know until now that in the original Rosie the Riveter painting, she is crushing a copy of Mein Kampf under her foot. Happy feast of the Blessed Virgin Mary, remembering all the women who crush the serpents of Satan under their heel.

Vladeck: There’s one video showing a DEA officer telling a D.C. resident he couldn’t drink alcohol on his porch—D.C. law says exactly the opposite. It also highlights how these officers aren’t even trained in the laws they’re purportedly enforcing.

Steamrolled: Vladimir Putin Shares an Existential Secret with Trump and You Just Saw the Result - emptywheel Trump doesn't want to talk about what demands Putin made of him in yesterday's meeting. He does want to cling to the lies about Russia getting him elected that he can only sustain if Russia is willing...

Steamrolled: Vladimir Putin Shares an Existential Secret with Trump and You Just Saw the Result

www.emptywheel.net/2025/08/16/s...

No doubt, working more intelligently generates leverage that can out produce any amount of poor work. Really consistent compounding is the key.

1. An awful lot of progress in medicine is based on "it worked somewhere". Most of it probably.

2. No effects can be guaranteed to generalize into the future, but that doesn't seem to bother anyone

3. This from @epidbydesign.bsky.social et al is also worth a read pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30299451/

INDIA (JUL) WHOLESALE PRICES YOY ACTUAL: -0.58% VS -0.13% PREVIOUS;EST -0.48%

i think the latest moves really clarify that conservatism has nothing to offer the world but death and destruction

The leaders aren’t experts and have ulterior motives? Ding ding ding!

'extreme heat is having a particularly severe effect on tropical birds. We found increased exposure to extreme heat has reduced bird populations in tropical regions by 25%–38% since 1950

This is not just a temporary dip—it's a long-term cumulative effect that continues to build as the planet warms'

Instead of regurgitating the bromide that LLMs are just "autocomplete on steroids" (even by people who know better), maybe we can actually engage in some public education. The problem with genAI is better expressed through a classic computer science concept, known as SYMBOL GROUNDING. 🧵

China Sanctions Two EU Banks, Hitting Back at Europe’s Measures China sanctioned a pair of banks in the EU, fulfilling a promise to retaliate after the bloc targeted some Chinese lenders over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

> China Sanctions Two EU Banks, Hitting Back at Europe’s Moves

China’s government is upset they can’t support Russia’s genocide with impunity. 🧠

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

* Ralph Lauren yesterday. $RL

* UnderArmour today. $UAA

Retailers aren’t escaping the tariff pain.

JPMorgan raises price target on CoreWeave heading into earnings, says AI ramp is ‘intact’ JPMorgan is staying bullish on CoreWeave in the lead-up to its quarterly results Tuesday after the bell.

> JPMorgan raises price target on CoreWeave heading into earnings, says AI ramp is ‘intact’

www.cnbc.com/2025/08/11/j...

Oh look...

#collapse

Cover page for the manuscript: Morey, R. D., & Davis-Stober, C. P. (2025). On the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2025.2544397

Abstract for the paper: The P-curve (Simonsohn, Nelson, & Simmons, 2014; Simonsohn, Simmons, & Nelson, 2015) is a widely-used suite of meta-analytic tests advertised for detecting problems in sets of studies. They are based on nonparametric combinations of p values (e.g., Marden, 1985) across significant (p < .05) studies and are variously claimed to detect “evidential value”, “lack of evidential value”, and “left skew” in p values. We show that these tests do not have the properties ascribed to them. Moreover, they fail basic desiderata for tests, including admissibility and monotonicity. In light of these serious problems, we recommend against the use of the P-curve tests.

Paper drop, for anyone interested in #metascience, #statistics, or #metaanalysis! @clintin.bsky.social and I show in a new paper in JASA that the P-curve, a popular forensic meta-analysis method, has deeply undesirable statistical properties. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/?

The state and fate of Glaciar Perito Moreno Patagonia - Communications Earth & Environment Glacier Perito Moreno, in the southern Patagonian Icefields, is now experiencing accelerated thinning, flow acceleration, and unprecedented frontal retreat, indicating the potential for buoyancy-drive...

🧊 Perito Moreno glacier’s stability may be ending

New data show rapid thinning since 2019, with modelling suggesting possible large-scale retreat once a subglacial ridge is passed.

🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s43...

#SciComm 🧪 #Glaciers

As long as Putin insists on land and no NATO, it doesn’t make sense for Zelensky to meet.

> Nearly a million more deaths than births in Japan last year

If Japan doesn’t welcome at least 3.5x more permanent residents per year it’ll continue to shrink. Immigrants = growth and prosperity.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Trump Doubles Tariff on India to 50%, Sparking Outrage in Delhi US President Donald Trump doubled tariffs on Indian goods to 50% as a penalty for its purchases of Russian oil, escalating a fight with a key Asian partner and sparking outrage in New Delhi.

> Trump Doubles Tariff on India 50%, Sparking Outrage in Delhi

Good, nobody should be allowed to fuel genocide.

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...