Tomasz Woลบniak's Avatar

Tomasz Woลบniak

@tomaszwozniak.bsky.social

a Bayesian econometrician developing methodology for empirical macroeconomic analyses and programming in ๐—ฅ and ๐—ฐ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ. See my ๐—ฅ packages ๐—ฏ๐˜€๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€, ๐—ฏ๐˜€๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฆ๐—œ๐—š๐—ก๐˜€, ๐—ฏ๐—ฝ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€, and ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—Ÿ๐—ถ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—•๐—ฎ๐˜†๐—ฒ๐˜€! https://bsvars.org/ @bsvars.org #bsvars #bsvarSIGNs #rstats #econsky

4,378 Followers  |  1,939 Following  |  506 Posts  |  Joined: 06.10.2023  |  2.427

Latest posts by tomaszwozniak.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Hey hey! My new package 'bpvars' is on CRAN now! ๐Ÿ–ค๐Ÿ’™

It's for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions

doi.org/10.32614/CRA...

#bpvars #bsvars.org #bsvars #rstats

11.12.2025 23:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
The 'bpvars' package for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions

The 'bpvars' package for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions

โฌ›๐ŸŸฆโšช Two years in the making! In a fantastic collaboration with Miguel from the International Labour Organisation! ๐Ÿ–ค๐Ÿ’™ The 'bpvars' package for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions is out on CRAN! And it's spectacular!
cran.r-project.org/package=bpvars
#bpvars #bsvars.org #rstats

11.12.2025 23:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
The 'bpvars' package for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions

The 'bpvars' package for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions

โฌ›๐ŸŸฆโšช Two years in the making! In a fantastic collaboration with Miguel from the International Labour Organisation! ๐Ÿ–ค๐Ÿ’™ The 'bpvars' package for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions is out on CRAN! And it's spectacular!
cran.r-project.org/package=bpvars
#bpvars #bsvars.org #rstats

11.12.2025 23:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And the leader of the opposition made herself unelectable as the state premier today. But we won't regret folks not learning on the mistakes of their mates!

09.12.2025 11:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In the meantime, Allan has a fantastic end of the year with legislating the Treaty, the Apology, metro and west gate tunnel openings!

09.12.2025 11:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is a great day and the continuation of the Treaty process! I really hope for the new legislation to translate to much better outcomes for our people very soon! ๐Ÿ–ค๐Ÿ’›โค๏ธ

09.12.2025 11:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Parliamentary speeches for the Apology to First Peoples
YouTube video by parliamentofvictoria Parliamentary speeches for the Apology to First Peoples

Woohoo! Bravi First Peoples' Assembly of Victoria and State Government! ๐Ÿ–ค๐Ÿ’›โค๏ธ #AlwayWasAlwaysWillBe

youtu.be/W0i3ya52oQs

09.12.2025 11:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Forecasting cash rate - RBA Cash Rate Survey Forecasts

This is what my forecasts indicate. They are centered around the current value with the confidence bands far on both sides. Surprisingly, some bond yield curve models would indicate a RISE at 68% confidence. They get outweighed in the pooled forecast ๐ŸŒ forecasting-cash-rate.github.io #rstats

03.12.2025 11:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Letโ€™s take a deep breath! We all know that the RBA will not move the cash rate. Various forces pull in opposite directions, but both, a CUT and a HIKE, are not consistent with RBAโ€™s mandate, communication, and practice ATM. And we mostly benefited from this reserved approach in recent years. #rstats

03.12.2025 11:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

CRAN simplified the title and requested quotation marks around C++

03.12.2025 11:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Nope, thatโ€™s our declaration, licence compatible, to which weโ€™ll stick religiously just to build confidence amongst authors we steal from. Theyโ€™re our colleagues, in the end ๐Ÿจ

03.12.2025 11:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thatโ€™s our ๐Ÿ“ฆ on CRAN!

03.12.2025 04:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Or? #statsmeme

27.11.2025 12:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Hey, thatโ€™s my package! ๐Ÿคฉ

03.12.2025 00:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 27    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Our new R package ๐Ÿ“ฆ StealLikeBayes is a Compendium of Bayesian Statistical Routines Written in C++ and a collaborative effort.

๐Ÿค Join us! More details coming soon!

bsvars.org/StealLikeBay...

#rstats #StealLikeBayes #bsvars

02.12.2025 23:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Oh boi! This is gonna be fun! #rstats #StealLikeBayes

02.12.2025 23:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thomas Bayes turns Raffaello turns hungry ๐Ÿ˜† That went quick! โค๏ธ๐Ÿ˜ #rstats #StealLikeBayes

02.12.2025 23:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
kermit the frog is covering his mouth with his hand and looking at the camera . ALT: kermit the frog is covering his mouth with his hand and looking at the camera .

Thatโ€™s really a lot of days!

29.11.2025 05:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
#StealLikeBayes reverend Thomas Bayes in the Turtles-style bandana :)

#StealLikeBayes reverend Thomas Bayes in the Turtles-style bandana :)

Something exciting is coming up! ๐Ÿ“ฆ

#rstats #StealLikeBayes #bsvars

27.11.2025 00:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

You get me, John! ๐Ÿ’ฏ

26.11.2025 08:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image 26.11.2025 07:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ’ป๐Ÿ”ฅ I use our uni's HPC a lot and they shared my testimony (on intranet only) ๐Ÿ‘พ #hpc #foss

26.11.2025 07:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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I admit I have never revised, merged and contributed so many PRs! It's a lot of fun! #gh

26.11.2025 07:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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End of Year Networking Event 2025 - In Person Only! , Thu, Dec 11, 2025, 5:30 PM | Meetup ๐ŸŽ‰ **R-Ladies End-of-Year Celebration!** ๐ŸŽ‰ Please join us on Thursday 11th December 2025 on the **rooftop** at The Clyde Hotel in Carlton from 5.30pm. This is a networkin

Join us Thu 11 Dec, 5:30pm at The Clyde rooftop (Carlton) for the R-Ladies+ Melbourne end-of-year meetup! ๐ŸŒŸ

Celebrate 2025 highlights, connect with the community, and hear from 5 inspiring mentors across public health, genomics, bioinformatics & software. Register on Meetup!

buff.ly/McL9fs1

25.11.2025 05:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I so want for this to happen! Thanks for reporting!

25.11.2025 03:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Penny Wong says Ukraineโ€™s territorial integrity must be upheld amid global backlash to Trump plan Australian foreign minister echoes European call for sovereignty to be respected and for end to โ€˜Russiaโ€™s illegal and immoral warโ€™ * Follow our Australia news live blog for latest updates * Get our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcast Foreign minister Penny Wong has warned any peace plan for Ukraine must not hand new territory to Vladimir Putin, amid furious international backlash to Donald Trumpโ€™s proposal. The US presidentโ€™s plan prompted a furious response from Ukrainians at the weekend, before the countryโ€™s European allies released an alternative plan during talks in Geneva. That plan omits some of the pro-Russia provisions included in the original, US-backed document and calls for Kyivโ€™s sovereignty to be respected. Continue reading...

Penny Wong says Ukraineโ€™s territorial integrity must be upheld amid global backlash to Trump plan

24.11.2025 02:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 57    ๐Ÿ” 16    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Congrats Dariia! Thank you so much for this fantastic contribution to the community and Ukrainian defensive efforts! Iโ€™m so looking forward to more workshops soon! ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’›

23.11.2025 12:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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An upd report on our workshops for Ukraine series on #RStats, #Python & more. So far, we have raised >113k euro & the workshops have been attended by > 5000 ppl!
๐Ÿ‘‡you can find more info on how you can help & a detailed report.
All info on workshops: bit.ly/3wBeY4S 1/n

23.11.2025 10:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 32    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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22.11.2025 09:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2716    ๐Ÿ” 1187    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 116    ๐Ÿ“Œ 172
Kyiv of Mine : Chapter 3 โ€“ Holding onto the summer
YouTube video by KyivOfMine Kyiv of Mine : Chapter 3 โ€“ Holding onto the summer

"Russia wanted to make sure that we freeze, so a lot of Ukrainians stayed home and tried to stay warm by any means, and so by intensively staying warm during such difficult times it actually gave a formula how you can have more Ukrainians." For those who want a little pick-me-up today ๐Ÿ˜Š

17.11.2025 19:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 46    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

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