Jeremy

This bill would kick millions off their health insurance, and thousands will even lose their lives - unless we stop it in its tracks.

Some Republicans are breaking ranks, showing it's not too late. Time to speak up!

If there was ever a time to call your Senator, this is it.

Voting has begun on the GOP plan to cut off health care for working-class Americans and slash taxes for the wealthiest.

Governor John Carlin has spent his career fighting for Kansas farmers, families, and kids. He's served honorably at the state and federal levels, and he's pushed for important bipartisan reform. I'm proud to have his endorsement.

Paging Dr @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social

Merry Christmas everyone! Do not forget to give the gift of cash to all your economist friends! It’s efficient!

former Long Beacher—hopefully future one again

All anyone could want in a man tbh

How are the CNN/SRSS polls coded? I thought they had some elements of ABS

My bi-annual reminder that long lines at early voting sites are not actually a sign of enthusiasm, but a sign that the local election administrator isn’t prepared or doesn’t have adequate resources.

Now is definitely a good time to avoid taking alarming survey results at face value.

Shout out to Martha-Ann Alito’s gay neighbors! You’re real ones!

Listening to someone rationalize there way to an answer to “Well last time we talked you said you wouldn’t vote for Trump if he was convicted of a crime, but now you say you’re voting for him. Why is that?” is compelling stuff!

Despite my misgivings about the New York Times, I sincerely wish more media would copy their “we just called back our poll respondents and asked them what they meant by what they said” genre of content.

It’s a very pleasant surprise!

When did they just release the tract data? Last I looked for this they only had state level data so this is definitely new and cool!

wait I would read this article

Justices in Wisconsin Order New Legislative Maps The ruling, coming just months after liberals gained a 4-to-3 majority on the State Supreme Court, could undo gerrymanders that have given Republicans lopsided control of the State Legislature.

Bringing good cheer to the voters of Wisconsin!

Perennial story I could do without: Party will miss [person holding important office] because she or he is such a good fundraiser.

(Yeah, there may be small variations, but mainly it's the office, not the office holder, that's raising $$$.)

I have to hand it to the moderators for coming up with an exercise that was too stupid and hostile for a GOP debate

I can't believe this needs to be said, but the presumption of innocence that all Americans are rightly entitled to in the criminal legal system does not extend to the court of public opinion, and citizens are well within our rights to demand that politicians credibly accused of corruption resign

Somebody gotta study this more systematically. Look at traffic citations in SF! There’s no “woke DA” tying any hands on this

I’ll say it again: police in many major cities are on a wildcat strike where they say they can’t fight crime because their hands are tied by woke politicians. “I have bin Laden in my sights but Obama won’t let me take the shot!” ass mf lmao

New from me @goodauth.bsky.social: I show how a change in the Cooperative Election Study from select-all-that-apply to forced-choice produce a big "shift" in immigration attitudes. Maybe only 40 people will care about this, but here's the graph!

goodauthority.org/news/the-pro...

cc: @joywilke.bsky.social

Comparing Two Types of Online Survey Samples Pew Research Center conducted a study to compare the accuracy of six online surveys of U.S. adults – three from probability-based panels and three from opt-in sources. On average, the absolute error...

New @awmercer.bsky.social and Andrew Lau joint just dropped comparing probability and online panels: "Online opt-in samples had especially large errors for 18- to 29-year-olds and Hispanic adults" #aapor

www.pewresearch.org/methods/2023...

How a New City Council Map of L.A. Turned Into a Political Brawl Blatant political gerrymandering occurs in cities across the country, many of them run by Democrats. In Los Angeles, a scandal over a racist recording was only the tip of the iceberg.

Just checking in on my old stomping grounds

Carson Jones (@thedapperzookeeper) on Threads I think I’ve officially complained enough to scare @delta customer service. One delayed flight that I was able to easily rebook, and they preemptively sent me $60 worth of meal vouchers. I don’t k...

We are getting closer.

Florida GOP will require DeSantis, Trump to sign loyalty pledge to make primary ballot “We were trying to be consistent with what the debate was requiring,” said Evan Power, vice chair of the Republican Party of Florida.

It will be hilarious when Trump quietly signs the pledge to get on the ballot, but then proceeds to pretend it never happened and that it doesn't apply to him anyway, without any protest from the Florida GOP.