Liam Kerr

The Democrats’ Next Step | Interview: Liam Kerr A thought-provoking look at the internal debates shaping the future of the Democratic Party.

NEW: My #SkiffCast Interview w/ @liamkerr.bsky.social
on the trials & tribulations of pushing the Democratic Party to the competitive center. thedispatch.com/podcast/the-... @thedispatchmedia.bsky.social

My favorite part of the Deciding to Win report by @simonbazelon.bsky.social @liamkerr.bsky.social and Lauren Pope: A working definition of moderation!

"Being moderate means taking popular, heterodox positions—not defending the establishment."

Introducing DECIDING TO WIN Postmortem with a plan

🚨 Donald Trump and the Republican Party are damaging our economy and threatening our democracy.

Democrats need to learn how to win again, but they can't do it with the same old tactics and candidates.

Here's exactly how Democrats can start winning: www.welcomestack.org/p/introducin...

The Tom Suozzi Endorsement Why Suozzi Keeps Getting It Done

ICYMI: Tom Suozzi was one of the only members in 2024 to go on offense and take the issue of immigration head-on instead of pivoting or ignoring it.

Let’s make sure he wins again in 2026. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-tom-su...

890: (the other) Union Pride Southern Unionists & modern debates

Up North, we celebrate the Revolution, but whisper about the Civil War.

As West Point re-hangs a portrait of Robert E. Lee, it’s time for Democrats to rediscover the other Union pride.

And give credit to the Southern Unionists who made the difference.

www.welcomestack.org/p/890-the-ot...

890: (the other) Union Pride Southern Unionists & modern debates

Up North, we celebrate the Revolution, but whisper about the Civil War.

As West Point re-hangs a portrait of Robert E. Lee, it’s time for Democrats to rediscover the other Union pride.

And give credit to the Southern Unionists who made the difference.

www.welcomestack.org/p/890-the-ot...

892: DSA's Signal vs Substance Another thing to learn from Mamdani: everyone pivots away from the left

Why is Mamdani pivoting to the center?

Look to AOC campaign doc for the “Signal” vs. the Substance

www.welcomestack.org/p/892-dsas-s...

893: Newsom vs. Whitmer Democrats are giving the kids unlimited screen time

Democrats, choose your fighter:

Newsom or Whitmer?

www.welcomestack.org/p/893-newsom...

894: Living Free in 2027 New Hampshire will be the first primary state

And the first state to vote in the 2028 presidential primary will be ...

www.welcomestack.org/p/894-living...

896: White House is the New Senate Realignment required by 2032

Starting in 2032, the White House will look like the Senate.

That should make Democrats nervous, and force changes fast. www.welcomestack.org/p/896-white-...

896: White House is the New Senate Realignment required by 2032

With 896 until the first 2028 presidential primary votes are counted, the read of the day says ...

Starting in 2032, the White House is just like the Senate

The current Democratic coalition is shut out without a ton of luck

www.welcomestack.org/p/896-white-...

896: White House is the New Senate Realignment required by 2032

With 896 until the first 2028 presidential primary votes are counted, the read of the day says ...

Starting in 2032, the White House is just like the Senate

The current Democratic coalition is shut out without a ton of luck

www.welcomestack.org/p/896-white-...

898: Moderation on the Merits Noah Smith connecting effective politics with policy

There is a big debate on moderation wining elections

Today's read of the day is from Noah Smith: does moderation lead to better policy?

www.welcomestack.org/p/898-modera...

"Literally everyone is triggered"

Wouldn't it just be QIA+ voters who'd be offended?

899: Verbal Edge Third Way's words to avoid

Did moderates just dominate social media for a day by putting out a verbal blacklist?

Sure seems like it

Via @thirdway.bsky.social
www.welcomestack.org/p/899-verbal...

905: Offensive Measures WAR helps identify underperforming GOP targets, not just case studies

WAR isn’t just about identifying Democratic overperformers

It helps identify weak Republicans who can be beaten

www.welcomestack.org/p/905-offens...

The Tom Suozzi Endorsement Why Suozzi Keeps Getting It Done

Tom Suozzi was one of the only members in 2024 to go on offense and take the issue of immigration head-on instead of pivoting or ignoring it.

He over performed then. He's going to win again in 2026.

We are proud to endorse him today. www.welcomestack.org/p/the-tom-su...

You’re talking about this Glenn Elliott?

916: Difference Between Organizer & Strategist Documentary inspiration

"Strategist versus organizer"

"Their consultants are garbage"

How AOC knew she'd win, from the 2018 documentary

www.welcomestack.org/p/916-differ...

932: Six Months In and Underwater Polling drops from inauguration to today

Trump’s second term is six months old today

His numbers?

🔻 Approval down

🔻 Even base is softening

🔻 Every issue down, even immigration

But somehow… still more popular than Trump I.

www.welcomestack.org/p/932-six-mo...

932: Six Months In and Underwater Polling drops from inauguration to today

Trump’s second term is six months old today

His numbers?

🔻 Approval down

🔻 Even base is softening

🔻 Every issue down, even immigration

But somehow… still more popular than Trump I.

www.welcomestack.org/p/932-six-mo...

Janelle Stelson is back to finish the job Stelson came within a point of being the 219th House Democrat in 2024. Now she's back to finish the job

ICYMI: Janelle Stelson is back and ready to finish the job.

She is running against one of the most extreme Republicans in Congress, and ran in one of the closest races in 2024.

She can win in 2026. www.welcomestack.org/p/janelle-st...

Of the top 16 House fundraisers, 100% of GOP money is going to competitive races—while 91% of Democratic money is going to safe seats.

Democrats are funding viral videos and list buys. Republicans are funding battlegrounds.

This is a problematic trend.

Moderate Democrats’ Mamdani conundrum: ‘It’s hard to distance yourself from cool’ Socialist who has support of far-left Democrats like AOC and Bernie Sanders will meet with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries on Friday

Centrist Democrats in purple states and districts face a conundrum: They know Republicans will tie them to Zohran Mamdani and paint them as radicals. But "It’s hard to distance yourself from cool." as @liamkerr.bsky.social told me.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...

935: A Healthy Bubble Step out of it for a 2028 preview

🚨 An analysis of the top 16 fundraisers in the House shows 100% of GOP money is going to competitive races

But 91% of Democratic money is going to safe seats

We need smarter donors!

www.welcomestack.org/p/935-a-heal...

Playbook: Can the White House turn the page on Epstein? And the House readies for a big crypto vote, while the Senate takes a big step on rescissions.

“Progressives are like ‘Succession,’ centrists are like the NFL,” says @liamkerr.bsky.social. “One gets high ratings across every demographic every single fall, while the other occasionally dominates elite conversation. Mamdani-mania is like the season finale.”

935: A Healthy Bubble Step out of it for a 2028 preview

🚨 An analysis of the top 16 fundraisers in the House shows 100% of GOP money is going to competitive races

But 91% of Democratic money is going to safe seats

We need smarter donors!

www.welcomestack.org/p/935-a-heal...

939: Odds of a Dummymander Breaking the gerrymander driving up the GOP's chances of keeping the House

Republicans gerrymanders are driving down the odds of Democrats flipping the House

But there’s a solution: make them Dummymanders

www.welcomestack.org/p/939-odds-o...