Peter Eibich

My new Bluesky banner and bio

I know it can be a bit cringey to put your children on social media but I've decided to change my banner and include my seven youngest in it. They've had a fucking rough year, and it was touch and go for a while back the start, and I'm proud they've made it through it.

Outlook search function wrapped

tweet by @gerryadamssf: "This house is like Santa's Grotto. Takes half an hour 2 switch off fairy lights and assorted Yule illuminations. Feel like a grinch now." reply by @realnannysheila: "Surely you know someone who can fit a timer."

wife got a timer for all of our christmas lights so obviously thinking of this

Heterogeneity in Marginal Non-Monetary Returns to Higher Education Abstract. In this paper we estimate the effects of college education on cognitive abilities, health, and wages, exploiting exogenous variation in college a

...belong to that group. Marbach and Hangartner (2020) is a newer approach that also allows for continuous X's.

For MTE's, I like this paper:
academic.oup.com/jeea/article...

Yes, this article is nice. Angrist and Pischke also have a chapter on this in MHE - essentially you can dichotomize your X's and then re-estimate the first stage across the different subgroups, and the ratio of the first-stage coeffs will give you an estimate of the likelihood that complier ...

I'd start looking at the size of the complier population, complier characteristics (although I find this often not that helpful). Marginal Treatment Effects can help to get a sense of effect heterogeneity at the cost of additional assumptions.

If it is not measurement error or model misspecification (functional form), then I would try to look into the complier to get a sense of how this heterogeneity, as long as the effect sizes are at least in the possible range. Not sure there is anything new you are not aware of...

Much larger as in implausibly large? If the OLS is biased towards zero, larger IV estimates are to be expected.

A colleague recently pointed me towards lecture notes by Pischke, which suggest that misclassification in binary treatments can bias 2SLS estimates upwards:
econ.lse.ac.uk/staff/spisch...

what do you even do about journalists like this. biggest megaphone on the planet at the times and choosing to promote lies. it doesn't do shit if we all block her, and we can only cancel subs so many times.

i guess you hope for a sense of shame that you know isn't there

Just pure research and existential despair

"I wish I could apply to this amazing opportunity" ‐ tenured academic reposting a 12 months Postdoc offer

"Come join us!!!" —member of academic search committee that will receive 200 applications for one role and may in fact hire zero people for it

once more I am begging everyone to do policy based on evidence, not on vibes from the loudest-shouting pressure groups. What the NHS is leaning towards - targeted screening for those most at risk - is the right way to do this. Blanket screening with an unreliable test causes harm.

Corona-Impfung schützt das Immunsystem – auch gegen Krebs | MDR.DE Eine neue Studie zeigt: mRNA-Impfstoffe gegen Corona könnten das Immunsystem so aktivieren, dass Immuntherapien bei Krebs besser wirken.

An diesem Tag, an dem ich seit 12 Jahren krebsfrei bin (hab ich das schon erwähnt? ☺️🎀) möchte ich auch darauf hinweisen, dass Impfungen gegen Krebs schützen und sogar die Krebstherapie unterstützen können. Hört sich komisch an, is aber so. Lasst euch impfen!

newsGP - Australia set for world-first cervical cancer elimination Vaccination programs have played a key role, and GPs remain ‘instrumental’ in boosting screening rates to reach the 2035 target.

Australia recorded ZERO cases of cervical cancer in women under 25 for the first time since they started tracking the cancer in the 80s.

This is the power of vaccines.

The HPV vaccine is extremely effective at preventing cancer.

Viruses can be oncogenic. Get your vaccines and protect yourself!

"Freedom, like love and bird flu, should be allowed to spread unchecked."

If you don't care about The Discourse, just read it for the prose.

Should I stay or should I go, when you inevitably give a talk on this paper?

While some people are genuinely disagreeable, the only way to rationalize people's behavior on public transport (for me) is to acknowledge that everyone is just as miserable as I am

Herzlichen Glückwunsch 🥳🥳🥳

Some mushrooms I photographed on Dartmoor recently

Fungal Misadventure (a story in the form of a Bluesky thread)

"Have you ever wondered?" he asked, as they picked mushrooms in the forest near her house. "How many people died from fungal misadventure during prehistory before we found out which of these were safe to eat?"

"Case for the defense: co-worker effects on pay in the National Our Seminar series continues on Friday the 28th of November when Alex Farnell, MU Department of Economics, will present: Title: "Case for the defense: co-worker effects on pay in the National

You are welcome to join us in MU Economics for this week's seminar "Case for the defense: co-worker effects on pay in the National Football League" presented by afarnell.bsky.social

www.maynoothuniversity.ie/economics/ev...

a statue of a hippopotamus with its mouth open and teeth showing . Alt: A hippo being tossed a watermelon, which it crushes in its massive jaws.

I have been doing entirely too much earnest posting about deep things recently, I need to do a proper thread about hippo testicles or something just to keep myself sane.

Oh by the way hippos have migratory testicles.

a hippopotamus is standing in a puddle of water next to two crocodiles Alt: A crocodile doing his best to stay calm while a baby hippo noms on him.

I mentioned earlier that they chew on Nile Crocodiles - I wasn't kidding, baby Hippos use them as teething rings since the texture of their scales is satisfying to gum.

Just this 12' long razor-toothed archosaur, sitting there going "stay calm, Clarence, you survived the asteroid, you can do this."

Find someone that looks at you the way that universities look at AI

A glorious selfie with the official MAHA lanyard seconds after I made it past Secret Service screening.

About that exclusive, "closed-to-press" MAHA summit last week with RFK and JD Vance: I got in.

Here's what I saw. 🧵 🧪

www.nature.com/articles/d41...

Ausschreibung

www.uni-hamburg.de/stellenangeb... Unser Fachbereich hat eine unbefristete Stelle E13 in der VWL-Lehre zu besetzen. Gerne retweeten und bis 30.11. bewerben.

Cheers, Karl Popper's crying now. Nice one.

Doctoral Researcher (2 positions) in Health Economics The University of Duisburg-Essen (UDE) is seeking, for the Faculty of Business Administration and Economics at the Essen campus, a

🚀 We’re hiring!
CINCH is recruiting 2 Doctoral Researchers in Health Economics as part of the MSCA Doctoral Network HEPARD.
📍 Based in Essen, 🇩🇪
🔄 Two international secondments
🗓 Deadline: 19 Jan 2026
More info & how to apply:
👉 euraxess.ec.europa.eu/jobs/388435
#MSCA #HEPARD #econsky #AcademicJobs

The Bayesian resistance against NHST may be noble, but it is basically lost