Great piece by Martin Wolf
#UkrainianView
@arturdoshchyn.bsky.social
Lecturer (Assistant Professor) in Financial Economics @ University of Bristol Macro-finance
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Trumpβs Ukraine policy is based on fabricated numbers ($350bn). His Russia policy is based on fabricated numbers (majority support for Russia in occupied territory). Why are we surprised that his trade policy is also based on fabricated numbers?
02.04.2025 22:10 β π 543 π 97 π¬ 16 π 4Trump Says Recession Unfortunate But Necessary Step To Get To Depression
02.04.2025 21:26 β π 13809 π 2947 π¬ 179 π 145What are the effects of macroeconomic #uncertainty on consumers&firms?
In short, randomized controlled trials show that macroeconomic uncertainty inhibits econ activity
Economic Policy Uncertainty index is now higher than it was during COVID.
This means a higher prob of a recession
#EconSky
I think this shows unequivocally that heβs not reading his intelligence briefings. This is a bizarre description of the Kursk situation.
14.03.2025 14:14 β π 506 π 61 π¬ 64 π 17Replacing foreign aid: A macroeconomic plan B for #Ukraine (and Europe)
A new CEPR brief w/ @torbjornbecker.bsky.social, B Eichengreen, S Guriev, @simonhrjohnson.bsky.social, @mylovanov.bsky.social, M Obstfeld, K Rogoff, @ilonasolohub.bsky.social & @wederdim.bsky.social
#EconSky #UkrainianView
Where is the outrage in America about this shameful betrayal by Trump? Where are the Senators and Members of Congress who cheered Zelensky when he addressed them, but are now too afraid of Trump to say a word in defence of Ukraine?
08.03.2025 20:26 β π 1309 π 475 π¬ 63 π 17Jeff Sachs gave a speech at the EU parliament. Among many crazy things in the speech: "So Iβm giving [Estonia] advice, do not stand there, Estonia, and say we want to break up Russia, are you kidding?" That is, Estonia must return to Mother Russia.
Unhinged...
#UkrainianView
tinyurl.com/yc8rnxe6
This would be a cruel and senseless act. Utter shame
06.03.2025 16:50 β π 9 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0Trump and Vance in particular were always looking to suspend military aid to Ukraine. Makes the White House confrontation look even more like a set up
04.03.2025 07:26 β π 421 π 92 π¬ 17 π 7I guess things were actually looking quite good for the US as a superpower. Russia was stuck in an unwinnable war + really bad economy, China's growth had slowed down, and Iran's regime looked fragile after the protests. Oh well, then Trump came along, and now the American century seems to be over.
03.03.2025 12:14 β π 14 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0Da
01.03.2025 07:16 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0This will be remembered as the day when America's honor took a deep dive...
And meanwhile #Ukraine will keep fighting for all of us who believe in freedom, justice and democracy
#UkrainianView
www.nytimes.com/video/us/pol...
Please share this fact sheet on Ukraine with anyone who needs it
understandingwar.org/backgrounder...
Hey #EconSky
Economists for Ukraine (econ4ua.org) drafted an open letter to the future German chancellor. We call for π©πͺ & πͺπΊ to step up & to β¬οΈ support for #Ukraine. Please read & sign (if you agree), the form is at the end of βοΈ): tinyurl.com/m9ta2b5d
Please share this letter with your colleagues.
Economists for Ukraine (econ4ua.org) drafted an open letter to the future German chancellor. We call for π©πͺ & πͺπΊ to step up & to β¬οΈ support for #Ukraine. Please read & sign (if you agree), the form is at the end of βοΈ): tinyurl.com/m9ta2b5d
Please share this letter with your colleagues.
#UkrainianView
Incredible article!
kyivindependent.com/who-started-...
βThis War [Russian invasion] is far more important to Europe than it is to us,β Trump wrote. βWe have a big, beautiful Ocean as separation.β
A message to π΅π±, Baltics, π΅π±, πΈπͺ, π©πͺ & the rest of EUR? "Don't count on the US for help if things go bad. There is a big, beautiful Ocean."
#UkrainianView
OMFG, these people just learn nothing.
EU debates return to Russian gas as part of Ukraine peace deal on.ft.com/4hlAUXR
I am ecstatic that my paper βSinking ships: liquidity constraints and return predictability in recessionsβ is now in press at the Journal of Monetary Economics! π₯³ If you are interested in financial frictions, illiquidity, and asymmetric amplification, you can find it here: doi.org/10.1016/j.jm...
23.01.2025 19:51 β π 7 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0This is a thread about remaking the tech sector.
06.01.2025 14:44 β π 203 π 78 π¬ 10 π 22The true shock in this war came from Ukraine itself - its people, defying scripts written in Moscow and Washington
Yet, the old ways of thinking persist. Speaking in Berlin this week, I was struck by how much of the debate revolved around Trump imposing a top-down solution 1/
Ms. Yellen described the loan as one of the most important things that she had been involved with during her time in the job.
Yellen: "... #Russia increasingly bear the costs of its illegal war, instead of taxpayers in our coalition.β
π
BTW, it's Dr. Yellen.
#UkraineView
Another day in Kherson, another Ukrainian civilian hunted down and killed by a Russian drone, according to the regional military administration head Oleksandr Prokudin. The victim was a 67-year-old man. t.me/olexandrprok...
Read our @financialtimes.com investigation here: www.ft.com/content/31b6...
Lavrov: we didnβt attack Ukraine. It is Ukraine and the U.S. who attacked us
Translation: War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is Strength 1/
Lavrov, through Tucker Carlson, delivers a sharp, manipulative pitch: Russia is ready to deal directly with Europe, bypassing the U.S.
He tells Europeans they shouldnβt suffer for Americaβs fight but focus on their own security and prosperity with Russia He said:
1/
Are you hiring on the Econ Job market seeking someone who does macro and applied experimental? Look no further than my @oxfordecondept.bsky.social student Alena Wabitsch. She works on expectation formation, mon policy, and labour. She has already published some papers and won awards.
bit.ly/499n7QK
A completely horrifying investigation by FT that proves intent to harm and kill civilians beyond any reasonable doubt. Never forget: russia is a terroris state.
on.ft.com/4fTNzAL