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Apple Valley

@valleyapple.bsky.social

Cognitive scientist & translation researcher • social cognition • directionality • research methodology • stats • open science

1,077 Followers  |  1,289 Following  |  2 Posts  |  Joined: 19.09.2023  |  2.2002

Latest posts by valleyapple.bsky.social on Bluesky

The thing where ICE parks masked men in school lots is something I would not have believed unless I saw it with my own two eyes. They do it constantly. It’s purely a terror tactic and they’ve done it to schools over the region. Our schools are collapsing - often at 50% attendance or less.

02.02.2026 15:57 — 👍 1939    🔁 591    💬 41    📌 27
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Nearly 30,000 Minnesotans trained as constitutional observers The Immigrant Defense Network works with more than 100 organizations to help train constitutional observers. At the end of November, there were 2,500 trained observers. That number has soared as more ...

A manager for the Immigrant Defense Network told MPR News that back in November, 2,500 people were trained as constitutional observers. Now, the total is nearly 30,000 trained observers in 77 of Minnesota's 87 counties.

03.02.2026 15:03 — 👍 4923    🔁 1697    💬 65    📌 118
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Dara's Guide to Handling Reality Minneapolis, inside the economic blockade zone where we are pioneering nonviolence, whistle edition

“All over my neighborhood we keep finding empty cars, the glass shattered into diamonds on the snow, the people missing. Tiny private automotive kristallnachts, everywhere and ongoing.” — @deardara.bsky.social deardara.com/so/adPmSCLoz...

04.02.2026 16:51 — 👍 60    🔁 27    💬 1    📌 5
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Prosecutors Began Investigating Renee Good’s Killing. Washington Told Them to Stop.

You should read this. It is the type of detail that experts in authoritarian regimes see as telling.
In this case, state agents are offered impunity from higher ups, and the legal system is rendered inoperative as a mode of accountability.
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/07/u...

07.02.2026 16:47 — 👍 4791    🔁 2009    💬 96    📌 78

Academics vying for a spot in Epstein‘s world. There are so many. I feel the need to make a thread, so I don’t keep confusing them. 1/

31.01.2026 21:02 — 👍 2881    🔁 1406    💬 73    📌 217

74% of Democrats support abolishing ICE, with 53% *strongly* supporting it, according to YouGov polling from last month.

Weak calls for "reform" are coming from *elected* Democrats like Chuck, not the average Democratic voter.

03.02.2026 22:36 — 👍 6358    🔁 1441    💬 110    📌 83
A mug shot of Jefferey Epstein next to a head shot of Nathan Wolfe.

A mug shot of Jefferey Epstein next to a head shot of Nathan Wolfe.

Even More Higher Ed Names in the Epstein Files

Epstein spoke frequently with scientists, often sharing his own theories about their work. https://bit.ly/3ZjOxPW

#EDUSky #HigherEd

05.02.2026 16:14 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 2
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A lot of population numbers are fake Do we have any idea how many people there are in the world?

“The whole experience was so difficult that Nigeria has opted not to repeat it. The 2006 census was the last time that Nigeria has tried to count how many people live in the country.”

davidoks.blog/p/a-lot-of-p...

31.01.2026 11:36 — 👍 12    🔁 2    💬 2    📌 0

Pretty extraordinary to think about how much cardiovascular researchers figured out, and how that turned into public health campaigns, medicines, surgeries, and emergency care that changed millions of people's lives.
ourworldindata.org/cardiovascul...

31.01.2026 14:54 — 👍 133    🔁 38    💬 3    📌 4
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Systematic review and meta-analysis of quotation inaccuracy in medicine - Research Integrity and Peer Review Background Quotations are crucial to science but have been shown to be often inaccurate. Quotation errors, that is, a reference not supporting the authors’ claim, may still be a significant issue in s...

8.0% of citations in the medical literature contain major errors.

E.g., the cited work makes the opposite claim or is unrelated to the claim in the citing article.

02.02.2026 10:37 — 👍 42    🔁 15    💬 2    📌 4
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Open Science, Psychology, and the Art of Not Quite Claiming Causality with Julia Rohrer

Great episode of Decoding the Gurus with
@dingdingpeng.the100.ci on how to science good 👏 open.spotify.com/episode/7a6R...

02.02.2026 11:03 — 👍 19    🔁 8    💬 2    📌 0

I never understood why shoe companies put the logo on the sole. Then I spent ten minutes scraping dog shit out of every letter of B-U-N-D-G-A-A-R-D on my son's shoe. Now it's etched into my mind. Brilliant marketing.

02.02.2026 20:58 — 👍 10    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
Duke Chronicle op-ed "My connection with Jeffrey Epstein" by Dan Ariely

Duke Chronicle op-ed "My connection with Jeffrey Epstein" by Dan Ariely

Live your life so that you never have to publish an op-ed in the campus newspaper about your connection with Jeffrey Epstein dukechronicle.com/article/my-c...

03.02.2026 13:16 — 👍 569    🔁 113    💬 33    📌 45
Promised Data Unavailable? – I’m Sorry, Ma’am, There’s Nothing We Can Do — Meta-Research Center This blogpost has been written by Michèle Nuijten. Michèle is an assistant professor of our research group who investigates reproducibility and replicability in psychology. Also, she is the developer ...

I wrote a blog for the Meta-Research Center expressing my infinite frustration about not getting data. What else is new, you might think? Well, I added an extra layer of annoyance directed at the journals who do NOTHING to enforce promised data sharing.

metaresearch.nl/blog/2026/2/...

03.02.2026 15:03 — 👍 56    🔁 36    💬 6    📌 4

Finally listened to this lecture -- highly recommended if you've ever been confused about fixed effects vs. random effects models. Love that the framing starts from group-level confounding -- here's a problem, what could be solutions (rather than: here's a model, what are its features).

02.02.2026 10:51 — 👍 123    🔁 15    💬 2    📌 0
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Are flushable wipes actually flushable? A simple question leads us on a journey from the bowels of New York City through the courtrooms of South Carolina to the disgusting truth. Support Search Engine! To…

Just listened to this excellent podcast episode on whether flushable wipes are really flushable.

Starting to believe that Search Engine is an excellent complement to any research methods class, this touches on a lot of relevant stuff!

www.searchengine.show/are-flushabl...

04.02.2026 06:15 — 👍 7    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
In 1995, former U.S. President Jimmy Carter negotiated the longest humanitarian cease-fire in history, relieving some of the suffering from Guinea worm disease during the Second Sudanese Civil War.

At that time, The Carter Center was both mediating peace talks in Sudan and leading the global Guinea worm eradication campaign. Human cases of the painful parasitic disease had been reduced worldwide from an estimated 3.5 million in 1986 to 129,852 in 1995.

“Sudan now has about 3 times as many cases as the rest of the world combined. Only access to villages in the South can let us deal with the problem,” President Carter wrote in a trip report dated March 26, 1995.

Then, the Carter Center’s two programmatic focuses — peace and health — came together in a novel way.

In 1995, former U.S. President Jimmy Carter negotiated the longest humanitarian cease-fire in history, relieving some of the suffering from Guinea worm disease during the Second Sudanese Civil War. At that time, The Carter Center was both mediating peace talks in Sudan and leading the global Guinea worm eradication campaign. Human cases of the painful parasitic disease had been reduced worldwide from an estimated 3.5 million in 1986 to 129,852 in 1995. “Sudan now has about 3 times as many cases as the rest of the world combined. Only access to villages in the South can let us deal with the problem,” President Carter wrote in a trip report dated March 26, 1995. Then, the Carter Center’s two programmatic focuses — peace and health — came together in a novel way.

Gentle reminder that Jimmy Carter once negotiated a ceasefire during the second Sudanese civil war to help eradicate Guinea worm disease 🫡

04.02.2026 12:01 — 👍 131    🔁 26    💬 1    📌 1
Semafor: Guinea worm neared global eradication, with just 10 cases reported worldwide in 2025, all of them in Chad, Ethiopia, or South Sudan. When former US President Jimmy Carter founded an eradication program in the mid-1980s, there were millions of infections in developing countries and the only human disease that had ever previously been permanently defeated was smallpox. The parasitic infection, transmitted via contaminated water, leads to three-foot worms emerging from painful leg ulcers, and causes long-term incapacitation and disability. While Carter did not, as he hoped, outlive the last Guinea worm (he died in 2024), he may have come close; the 10 cases mark a 33% decrease year-on-year.

Semafor: Guinea worm neared global eradication, with just 10 cases reported worldwide in 2025, all of them in Chad, Ethiopia, or South Sudan. When former US President Jimmy Carter founded an eradication program in the mid-1980s, there were millions of infections in developing countries and the only human disease that had ever previously been permanently defeated was smallpox. The parasitic infection, transmitted via contaminated water, leads to three-foot worms emerging from painful leg ulcers, and causes long-term incapacitation and disability. While Carter did not, as he hoped, outlive the last Guinea worm (he died in 2024), he may have come close; the 10 cases mark a 33% decrease year-on-year.

Only 10 cases of Guinea worm disease were recorded *globally* last year.

It may become the second human disease we eradicate, after smallpox.

04.02.2026 11:38 — 👍 677    🔁 172    💬 22    📌 29
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The CURL Project Drops Bug Bounties Due To AI Slop Over the past years, the author of the cURL project, [Daniel Stenberg], has repeatedly complained about the increasingly poor quality of bug reports filed due to LLM chatbot-induced confabulations,…

thinking about how knowledgable maintainers have to pay off the expertise debt created by LLM-assisted code hackaday.com/2026/01/26/t...

06.02.2026 19:00 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
screenshot of a histogram showing spikes around the 10s

screenshot of a histogram showing spikes around the 10s

the rating scale was a slider with tick marks on the 10s

03.02.2026 21:43 — 👍 75    🔁 9    💬 9    📌 3
Post image Post image

Basic questions like "how many participants are in the dataset?" can produce surprisingly different answers between analysts.

Results from students in my class in data wrangling in tidyverse, who are good at wrangling but still have to make semi-subjective choices:

05.02.2026 12:40 — 👍 11    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 0
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Early draft of my ebook for the course:

ianhussey.quarto.pub/reproducible...

05.02.2026 12:40 — 👍 25    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 0
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{psychdsish} R package to create standardized structured projects for psychological research projects processed and analyzed in R:

github.com/ianhussey/ps...

05.02.2026 12:40 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

Jay’s right, except I don’t think they’re really that “deluded.” They have a decent grasp on reality and are acting rationally to ensure their nominations don’t get pulled. Even if that requires debasing themselves. This performative delusion is more craven than authentic delusion.

04.02.2026 20:36 — 👍 5    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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208. The Fifth Circuit Jumps the Immigration Detention Shark Late Friday, two of the nation's most right-wing circuit judges adopted an odious legal claim that district court judges from across the country (and ideological spectrum) have overwhelmingly rejected

“Late Friday night, the Fifth Circuit adopted the extreme minority view—that the government can indefinitely detain without bond millions of non-citizens who have been here for generations; who have never committed a crime; and who pose neither a risk of flight nor any threat to public safety.”

07.02.2026 12:34 — 👍 2529    🔁 1343    💬 190    📌 138

Is this a thing in other fields too?
The (IMO large) bad portion of the psych literature typically violates basic principles that we teach undergrads in intro methods & stats. Feeling increasingly embarrassed when I think of how awful published papers look compared to what I’m asking of my students

06.02.2026 13:22 — 👍 54    🔁 6    💬 14    📌 1

I sometimes wonder what the world would look like if a generation of tech, science, and business reporters hadn't decided that the press release was the news

08.02.2026 01:23 — 👍 225    🔁 44    💬 2    📌 1

He's not running the post like it's Amazon, he's using the idea of "data" to offload responsibility for his own politically motivated decisions onto readers

08.02.2026 01:19 — 👍 179    🔁 26    💬 1    📌 4

Seeing a lot of analysis of why this data-driven approach is a bad strategy for running a newspaper, and sure, totally, it is, but the bigger issue with the Bezos quote is that it's a lie and not at all a description of what Bezos is doing

08.02.2026 01:10 — 👍 324    🔁 60    💬 8    📌 4

Jay's passion for replication famously only applies to research he doesn't already agree with.

08.02.2026 09:55 — 👍 82    🔁 14    💬 4    📌 0

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