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Paul Franz

@paul-franz.com.bsky.social

Special Adviser, Data and Geospatial Intelligence @crisisgroup.org | Senior Associate (NR) @csis.org | Trusted community developer @mapbox.com | Girl Dad x2 | Long suffering New York #Mets fan | Opinions my own. https://www.paul-franz.com

1,612 Followers  |  217 Following  |  462 Posts  |  Joined: 07.06.2023  |  2.1821

Latest posts by paul-franz.com on Bluesky

Deporting 4% of the population will not cause the wages of the native-born to rise, it will crash the economy, spark inflation, and raise unemployment.

10.08.2025 15:55 β€” πŸ‘ 981    πŸ” 198    πŸ’¬ 23    πŸ“Œ 5
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Opinion | Trump’s Trade Representative: Why We Remade the Global Order

I'm surprised anyone in this chaos administration even knew what Bretton Woods was. But all the hallmarks of unserious policy:

βœ… Blame the "elites"
βœ… Lavish praise on Dear Leader
βœ… Screw the "working American" anyway with high tariffs they pay for.

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/07/o...

10.08.2025 16:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

He already torched the 30% federal tax rebate for home solar with the Trump bill. It's not only going to hurt homeowners, but the local installer businesses.

07.08.2025 12:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is from the latest print edition of National Review, which has sadly turned itself away from libertarian Republicanism into advocacy for Trumpism and nationalist rhetoric.

06.08.2025 14:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A National Review print article that attacks David Bier of the Cato Institute.

A National Review print article that attacks David Bier of the Cato Institute.

In which CIS calls @davidjbier.bsky.social an β€œopen borders advocate” β€” he’s not β€” and distorts the argument in his 2023 NYT op-ed.

This kind of bad-faith framing ignores the core issue that this administration ignores the law, due process, and tears up the Constitution.

06.08.2025 14:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

oh no you're gonna jinx it

06.08.2025 00:00 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think it's important to make the linkage plain that "invasion" rhetoric was a tool of the blood and soil far-right to pollute mainstream discourse. Too many people where I live think it's a perfectly normal, non-racist way to talk of the issue.

03.08.2025 13:31 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

don't forget reckless mass deportations

01.08.2025 13:53 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Nevermind that the U.S. gives out subsidies to fossil fuel companies all the time. www.theguardian.com/environment/...

31.07.2025 13:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Media shapes reality, exhibit infinity.

30.07.2025 18:11 β€” πŸ‘ 248    πŸ” 63    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 0
Sandy Alcantra says he wants to play in Miami.

Sandy Alcantra says he wants to play in Miami.

the bigger question is - who actually "wants" to be playing for miami #lgm

30.07.2025 14:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Great meet and greet in Valley Cottage yesterday! Huge thanks to everyone who came out energized and ready to help flip NY-17. This momentum is growing because of YOU β€” the volunteers, neighbors, and organizers who show up and get to work.

27.07.2025 19:43 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Deport people who commit serious criminal offenses in the United States. Not people who are contributing to the country. That's the "national interest" perspective on deportation. Nativism isn't pro-America. It sacrifices American interests to its nativist goal.

25.07.2025 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 119    πŸ” 41    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 0

Here's the link to bypass the paywall. These "journalists" have a lot of learning to do when it comes to long-term strategic outlook - and by any and all accounts, Trump gets an F on that. archive.is/IZ1E3

23.07.2025 15:02 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Lawler Will Seek Re-election to House, Forgoing Run for N.Y. Governor Representative Mike Lawler’s decision clears a path for his Republican House colleague, Elise Stefanik, to challenge Gov. Kathy Hochul.

Breaking News: Representative Mike Lawler, Republican of New York, plans to seek re-election next year rather than run for governor.

23.07.2025 11:02 β€” πŸ‘ 42    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 30    πŸ“Œ 13

is it for curtis sliwa's 60 cats

21.07.2025 22:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I think one of the greatest capers of the 21st century is how the far-right has managed to launder its vile ideology into "moderate, bipartisan" policy ideas that a great deal of suburban America now sees as normal.

17.07.2025 22:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Andrew Schwartz gave me my first real shot at breaking into Beltway politics and policy communications. He took a chance on me back in 2012, and without that, I wouldn't be where I am today.

Rest in peace, friend.

17.07.2025 20:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A chart showing total receipts to Democratic primary candidates for #NY17 YTD 2025. Davidson has only slightly more total receipts than Conley, but Conley currently has $120K more cash on hand and outraised Davidson by $120K in Q2 2025.

A chart showing total receipts to Democratic primary candidates for #NY17 YTD 2025. Davidson has only slightly more total receipts than Conley, but Conley currently has $120K more cash on hand and outraised Davidson by $120K in Q2 2025.

Support for @caitfornewyork.bsky.social is surging in #NY17.

She’s outpacing every other Democratic challenger. In Q2 alone, she raised $480K to Beth Davidson’s $352K and now holds $613,787 cash on hand.

πŸ“Š Here's how the race stacks up so far.

#CaitConley #FlipTheHouse

17.07.2025 13:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I believe now what I believed then: There’s no reason why a group of people can’t make an impact on the world.

30 years since its founding, @crisisgroup.org’s work to shape peace is more crucial than ever. Proud to continue supporting its mission.

15.07.2025 17:42 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

David, do you have a link to the full hearing?

15.07.2025 22:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

1000% this. A good reminder that the only effect of Trump 1.0 was reducing *legal* immigration.

15.07.2025 22:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Another ICE "assault" case unravels. Border Patrol and ICE are arresting US citizens and then after they find out that they are US citizens, they are charging them with "assault" to justify their actions. This is clearly DHS policy at this point. We've seen it repeatedly now.

12.07.2025 17:44 β€” πŸ‘ 15226    πŸ” 6737    πŸ’¬ 473    πŸ“Œ 320
What is Scientific American?
YouTube video by Scientific American What is Scientific American?

We finally made it to Blueskyβ€”just a few billion years after the Big Bang, and only slightly late to the party ✨🌌

We’re sharing some of our best stories from the year so far to kick off our Bluesky journey!

14.07.2025 16:09 β€” πŸ‘ 1379    πŸ” 287    πŸ’¬ 47    πŸ“Œ 26

Still waiting on mine, but I'm nowhere near as prolific. πŸ₯²

14.07.2025 22:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I remember when the GOP was losing its mind over (not even banning it) serving chocolate milk in public schools.

14.07.2025 16:17 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
News headline from AFP: "Trump calls for MAGA base to end 'Epstein Files' obsession."

News headline from AFP: "Trump calls for MAGA base to end 'Epstein Files' obsession."

Trump spent years cynically yelling β€œWHERE’S THE BIRTH CERTIFICATE” to build his national political brand.

Karma's got jokes.

13.07.2025 16:22 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Nobody in #NY17 is going to be building solar on their homes after the OBBBA phases out the federal tax rebate of 30% of the installation cost after this year.

11.07.2025 19:25 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hook me up with one of them checks and it'll be a fair fight? (I applied a couple weeks ago πŸ™‚)

10.07.2025 12:04 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I worked at DHS. I’ve seen the job done with integrity. This? It’s cruelty as content β€” posted by the official DHS account. This administration is out of control, and it’s going to take years to undo the damage they’ve done to the mission, the agency, and the people we serve.

09.07.2025 23:25 β€” πŸ‘ 792    πŸ” 226    πŸ’¬ 95    πŸ“Œ 49

@paul-franz.com is following 20 prominent accounts