Edit: βIf the US and SEAβ¦β
My kingdom for an edit button!
@blobodelendaest.bsky.social
PhD Candidate in Defence Studies, KCL. Strategic Victory in theory and practice. Lessons from Wars of 9/11. Purveyor of Mission Accomplished banners
Edit: βIf the US and SEAβ¦β
My kingdom for an edit button!
Yes. All war games about this scenario are coming to the same conclusions, the the IS and SEA mobilise and get there quickly enough, the allies have a strong chance of winning, but it will be brutal. In most other scenarios, China wins, often by default. And trump will likely sell Taiwan for a Nobel
07.12.2025 02:47 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0This is something that needs to end by fiat with consequences for any one who disobeys.
06.12.2025 07:21 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0For a Taiwan-China war, there are different variables thatβll define it. If Taiwan fights to the death, itβll be like Okinawa in WW2; if Taiwan fights until the military is defeated itβll be like Japan taking the Philippines in WW2; if they surrender after minimal combat at sea, the Russo-Japan war.
06.12.2025 03:30 β π 6 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Glad Iβm not the only one who thought that../
06.12.2025 01:43 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I gift you this meme as well for when you need it in the future.
06.12.2025 01:23 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Don't forget attaching 'strategic' to every concept as well--'strategic bombing', etc.
But yes, we do need an moratorium on the use of 'strategy' generally.
"Successfully protecting our Hemisphere also requires closer collaboration between the [USG] and the American private sector. All our embassies must be aware of major business opportunities in their country, especially major government contracts."
For the corporations, by the corporations....
Well, its official. The 'Race War' side won the debate inside the Administration.
05.12.2025 06:17 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0It is a total minefield, but it can be navigated.
Moreover, if youβre in a bad space because bad things keep happening to you, which is why youβre looking for help, especially cheap help, your intellectual space is more constrained.
Itβs why early intervention is vital to stop any slide downward
You will find valuable advice for men on the internet, provided your algorithm isnβt cooked.
Also, when you donβt know bad from good, youβll often just listen to the first thing that gives you some valued answers, and thatβll mess with your views from there.
Sorry, but much like SIGAR's final report released yesterday, this is a little more than problem admiration.
The best he offers is 'slow down rotations and training'.
That ain't even close to the key innumerable causes of the problem he's barely identified yet hinting at.
Alt-Blobish nonsense.
Yes. If the GO corps wants to walk away from this moment as clean as it can, they have to start demanding they be fired publicly, preferably with an Congressional and military investigation that comes with it.
At least we might get another Tom Ricks book out of it.
Time to start watching Seaquest for ideas...
04.12.2025 00:08 β π 5 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0All of which went against stated policy goals.
I totally agree the Pentagon didn't plan for the 'Day After'. That's why it was defeated.
Just because one side sucks at war doesn't mean they aren't coded as the loser.
Nope. Wrong.
Operation Iraqi Freedom officially ended on December 15, 2011. Meaning the invasion cannot be considered separate. Its one big war.
And the US skipped out of town under the cover of darkness leaving behind an Iraq dominated by other states and groups all with their own militias.
"the objectives for the invasion in early 2003 (destruction of Iraq's conventional military forces, toppling of its government) were fulfilled."
A) So what? The invasion was an operation, not the war.
B) That wasn't all the objectives outlined. The most important of which was never fulfilled.
Saying we won the Iraq War is like saying the Nazis won WW2 because they defeated France in 1940.
There are times I genuinely want 'we won the Iraq War' to be considered an act of treason since you're openly advocating for actions that wholly and truly help other and enemy states and groups.
No. No. No.
We did not win the Iraq War in any way shape or form. We destroyed the Iraqi state under Saddam. Good for us. That's all we did. We didn't win squat.
Not just that the US defeated itself. Its own policies and their execution is what helped caused that defeat.
Yup. But like now, the same people who preach peace are always the most violent because its about controlling non-whites
Also, keep in mind that Marc Thiessen got his start as an apologist for the GWOT torture program and he's still running strong, having suffered no consequences but getting richer
Thank you! Yes!
Whatβs more, it takes away any incentive to join an American fight, even in your own country.
Especially if everyone understands the US is going to inevitably lose it via their own stupidity.
Basically, yes.
02.12.2025 22:13 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Are we taking bets on Sabrina Carpenter doing a cover of 'Winds of Change'?
02.12.2025 21:45 β π 8 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0βWar crimes win warsβ is a hell of a theory, but here we are.
02.12.2025 20:04 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Hot take: If the Cuban soldiers had made an organised defensive stand, the US probably wouldβve lost about 1k soldiers.
02.12.2025 19:55 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Are we taking bets on how long before someone publishes her family tree and points out her entire family were immigrants at some point?
02.12.2025 19:53 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I just want to throw in that Iβve never understood why the Brits didnβt declare unrestricted warfare against all Arg naval vessels and just let the subs go hog wild.
02.12.2025 19:46 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Because the Brits never got the Argentinians to formally agree to give up on the Islands.
The UK won the war certainly, and got the Argies to surrender. But it was never politically agreed the Islands were the Brits moving forward.
βRestoring deterrenceβ I have particular hate for.
02.12.2025 17:18 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0On the quote, "victory is a social construct," it is only true at a conceptual level which only has some valence once you know how to talk about the concept in highly tangible terms only.
Simply, its circular reasoning, born of swimming in thought-terminating cliches in order to build a dolchstoss.