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Brian Kerg

@briankerg.bsky.social

Writer | Atlantic Council Fellow | Irregular Warfare Initiative Fellow | Naval Institute Editorial Board alumnus | Krulak Center alumnus | Pacific Forum alumnus | School of Advanced Warfighting alumnus | Amateur Historian | I Do War Stuff | Views My Own |

2,623 Followers  |  322 Following  |  432 Posts  |  Joined: 20.09.2023  |  1.9989

Latest posts by briankerg.bsky.social on Bluesky

If you or someone you know is interested in making the leap into #operational planning via #SAW, #SAMS, #MAWS, or #SAASS - have them give this a look. If they've got questions, I'm happy to provide answers - point them my way after they've given this a read! #PME #ReadFightWin

02.08.2025 16:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Dare to Know: Pursuing the Path of the Operational Planner Measure twice, cut once, and learn to measure and cut quickly.

My latest for @usniproceedings.bsky.social :
www.usni.org/magazines/pr...

01.08.2025 12:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is one gene away from being a #JADC2 diagram:

28.07.2025 04:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"Grocery Kart Kata" is normally reserved for MCMAP fourth degree black belts. This #Marine is truly a master.

27.07.2025 21:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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"Hey bro I know you're a king and all but your name just popped on the HSST list, recruiting needs you, good luck out there!" @usni.org

20.07.2025 16:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 18    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Instead of an instructional booklet, it will come with a copy of 'War is a Racket' by the OG, Smedley Butler:

19.07.2025 18:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Banana Gear Solid.

Experience the Banana Wars by dropping bodies in defense of US fruit corporations!

Guys we need this game to exist yesterday.

19.07.2025 18:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The MLR โ‰  The Stand-in Force Untangling the confusion between SIF and MLRs.

And the original article under discussion can be found here: www.usni.org/magazines/pr...

19.07.2025 15:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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EP. 454: The MLR โ‰  The Stand in Force The Proceedings Podcast ยท Episode

Now available on your podcast app of choice, one of my co-authors and I discussed our @usniproceedings.bsky.social article, "The MLR =/= The Stand in Force" with host @billhamblet.bsky.social. Give it a listen! #PME #WriteFightWin #ReadFightWin

open.spotify.com/episode/4rRT...

19.07.2025 15:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yeah but when they start putting paintball guns on drones to hit those tank optics, we're back to square one.

18.07.2025 12:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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The Army has a novel solution to its drone problem: Shoot them with tanks The Armyโ€™s updated manual for tankers puts the threat of drones on the battlefield at the center of tactics used by armor units.

'Novel' is a word choice.

taskandpurpose.com/news/army-ta...

18.07.2025 12:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 16    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Counter UAS solved. ๐Ÿซ 

18.07.2025 12:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 99    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 9

For #1, they offer a total effect/asset mismatch, trying to be stingy with everything 'because China!' even if it won't help much in that scenario.

For #2, you can find this inferred in their own work, or some of the same folks don't even see the need to hide this anymore and say it out loud now.

16.07.2025 01:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Either:

1. They lack a foundational understanding of how military power works in application (i.e. starting and ending with 'strategery' means is very limiting).

2. They don't actually believe in the value of the strategic object under discussion. (I.e., they don't care if UKR or TWN are lost).

16.07.2025 01:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I still donโ€™t understand why we need to preserve โ€œUS readinessโ€ and what conflict we will be involved in that requires large numbers of all this stuff that the โ€œrestrainersโ€ will support us being involved in

16.07.2025 00:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 176    ๐Ÿ” 12    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 20    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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South Korea is the ideal anchor for the first island chain Discussion of the first island chain largely overlooks South Korea, an ideal "anchor" that could prove decisive in a US-China conflict involving Taiwan.

You can copy the above into Chrome and seek an okayish translation from Mandarin into English, or take a look at the original article here if you missed it before:

www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...

14.07.2025 18:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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ๅฐ็ฃๆœ‰ไบ‹็„กๆณ•่ชช่ฌ่ฌ๏ผ็พŽ่ปใ€Œ้ปžๅๅ—้Ÿ“ใ€๏ผšๆˆ็ฌฌไธ€ๅณถ้ˆ้˜ฒๅ ตไธญๅœ‹ๆ“ดๅผต | ETtodayๅœ‹้š›ๆ–ฐ่ž | ETtodayๆ–ฐ่ž้›ฒ ็พŽๅœ‹ๆ™บๅบซๆŒ‡ๅ‡บ๏ผŒๅ—้Ÿ“ไธๆ‡‰ๅฐ‡้ง้Ÿ“็พŽ่ป็š„ไปปๅ‹™ๅƒ…ไพท้™ๆ–ผๅฐๅŒ—้Ÿ“๏ผˆๆœ้ฎฎ๏ผ‰็š„ๅจๆ‡พ๏ผŒ่€Œๆ˜ฏๆ‡‰ๅฐ‡ๅ…ถ่ง’่‰ฒๅปถไผธ่‡ณๅฐๆตทๅฎ‰ๅ…จใ€‚

It's still going... my latest @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social piece, which discusses the connection between stability on the #Korean Peninsula and security of the #Taiwan Strait, is now making the rounds in Taiwanese media:

www.ettoday.net/news/2025071...

14.07.2025 18:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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South Korea is the ideal anchor for the first island chain Discussion of the first island chain largely overlooks South Korea, an ideal "anchor" that could prove decisive in a US-China conflict involving Taiwan.

Check out the original piece here: www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...

12.07.2025 19:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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U.S. military expert calls for expanding role of USFK to include Taiwan contingencies A U.S. military expert has renewed calls to expand the role of U.S. Forces Korea (USFK) beyond deterring North Korea to potentially include involvement in a Taiwan contingency.

My latest piece for the #AtlanticCouncil broke squelch with Korean media:

12.07.2025 19:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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US demands clarity from allies on their role in potential war over Taiwan, FT reports The US Department of Defence did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.

"Strategic ambiguity for me, strategic clarity for thee?"

The logic of clarity over ambiguity is sound... The case is clear, even if one disagrees that it is the best approach.

What is confounding is demanding this clarity from allies while maintaining ambiguity for oneself:

12.07.2025 19:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Only if you sing this banger while making the argument:

bsky.app/profile/bria...

10.07.2025 23:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

PHL would be far more advantageous than Guam or HI.

My assumption is concerns over a repeat of losing bases and base access as under a recent PHL administration. EDCA sites help but they are a band-aid, not a fix. We should seek diplomatic means to get back in there more persistently.

10.07.2025 22:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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South Korea is the ideal anchor for the first island chain Discussion of the first island chain largely overlooks South Korea, an ideal "anchor" that could prove decisive in a US-China conflict involving Taiwan.

My latest for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social.

BLUF: Peninsular stability is linked directly to Taiwan Strait stability. Military planners should approach the simultaneous threats of the #PRC and #DPRK with this fact in mind. #WriteFightWin

www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...

10.07.2025 22:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 20    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Dalai Lama reincarnating in #Taiwan just to own the #CCP will be legendary.

09.07.2025 03:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"I cast Mordenkainen's chimeric carrier."

08.07.2025 13:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Do amphibs and LSMs next.... Asking for a friend! ๐Ÿ™

08.07.2025 13:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

RETVRN.

08.07.2025 00:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So if staffs are making these errors (and giving their boss bad gouge) because of ignorance of doctrine, they have a professional duty to educate and correct themselves.

If these trends are instead about winning a parochial, inter-service food fight, then we need to have a different conversation.

07.07.2025 12:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

You can bet a paycheck that's how the enemy looking to conduct this operation sees it as well, and that they are planning and training accordingly.

07.07.2025 12:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Such an endeavor would be an amphibious assault. Or, more holistically, a joint forcible entry operation (JFEO), one which would certainly include amphibious assault as a core element.

07.07.2025 12:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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