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Jon Minton

@jonminton.bsky.social

Senior Statistician. Eclectic public and population health background. Very reluctant Twitter refugee. Distant memories of academia. “Evidence informed contrarian”

226 Followers  |  558 Following  |  142 Posts  |  Joined: 15.10.2024  |  1.4861

Latest posts by jonminton.bsky.social on Bluesky

BOOMER — 1v1 Arena Shooter

Since its release on Thursday, I’ve been putting Opus 4.6 through its paces. No specific research task, evidence synthesis or review, or even philosophical conversation seems to challenge it, not even remotely.

So instead, I’m vibe coding a game!

jonminton.github.io/boomer/

08.02.2026 20:46 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Jon Minton’s Blog - How I Now Write My Blog With reMarkable and Claude Code

How I now write my blog (with reMarkable and Claude):

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

Very meta. Hopefully specific and detailed enough to show this is a workable pattern for producing online content.

#claude #vscode #Remarkable #writing #cats

31.01.2026 17:08 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

The Dilbert Future in retrospect

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/posts…

#dilbert #ScottAdams #predictions

25.01.2026 18:28 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
Working With AI: A Practical Course

I asked an Agentic AI to develop a course on how to understand and use Agentic AI. This is what it came up with:

jonminton.github.io/working-with...

It has a core section, then five parallel tracks for different kinds of knowledge worker.

Suggestions and feedback very welcome!

20.01.2026 21:02 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

📄 New paper out in Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine with @robaldridge.bsky.social, Rachel Burns, and analysis led by @jonminton.bsky.social

❓How does mortality compare by country/region of birth in England & Wales, 2007–2021?

doi.org/10.1177/0141...

🧵⬇️

17.01.2026 16:32 — 👍 3    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
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Jon Minton’s Blog - David Sconce and the benevolence of evil? Some discomforting thoughts on The Mortician

New AI cowriting experiment. Are my blog posts better if I don’t write them?!
jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

14.01.2026 22:29 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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I’ve done a cliche! Here’s a Gemini produced infographic of my end of year blog post:

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

08.01.2026 20:58 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Jon Minton’s Blog - 2025: The Last Year Most Knowledge Workers will be Human On professional existential crises, Silica Sapiens, and the end of Nothing Changes

New blog post. A reflection on 2025, and why it might be the last year we think “nothing’s changed”:

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

02.01.2026 14:26 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I thought this was about whale oil!

12.12.2025 06:26 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
GLM Tutorials: Matching Models to Data

New experimental stats website (Alpha stage). Interactive tutorials for helping understand GLMs:

jonminton.github.io/glm-dashboar...

Please explore and make use of the bug and feature request options!

12.12.2025 06:25 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Jon Minton’s Blog - Claude Adds Footnotes: A Reflection What happens when an AI systematically fact-checks 128 blog posts

New blog post:
Claude Sonnet 4.5 reflects on reading and fact-checking the rest of my blog! (About 200k words!)

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

06.12.2025 11:51 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Jon Minton’s Blog - WiredClothMother

New blog post: WiredClothMother

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

05.12.2025 16:41 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Jon Minton’s Blog - The Analytical Maxim Gun Some thoughts about integrated AI and the future of knowledge

I wrote an essay comparing AI to the Maxim gun of the 19th century, then asked four LLMs to produce short ‘rights of reply’:

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

29.11.2025 18:15 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Safe third countries and asylum motivation Shared via Claude, an AI assistant from Anthropic

Given recent announcements of tougher asylum policies in the UK, I asked Claude AI to track down and summarise evidence on how much of an influence policy is likely to have on asylum claims as compared with other factors:

claude.ai/share/188b49...

(tl;dr: probably not much)

17.11.2025 20:00 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I’m now being overly sycophantic to Claude by suggesting its single letter substitution is actually a really clever shorthand for describing Vince Gilligan’s new TV show #pluribus

17.11.2025 16:18 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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As a stats in-joke I thought redesigning the “Breaking Bad” titles to say “Breaking Blind” would be fun, so I asked Claude to have a go at this. It helpfully pointed out that “Bl” isn’t a real element, but decided that “Bk” must be good enough as it’s just 1 letter away.

17.11.2025 16:02 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
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As a stats in-joke I thought redesigning the “Breaking Bad” titles to say “Breaking Blind” would be, so I asked Claude to have a go at this. It helpfully pointed out that “Bl” isn’t a real element, but decided that “Bk” must be good enough as it’s just 1 letter away.

17.11.2025 16:01 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

As a stats in-joke I thought redesigning the “Breaking Bad” titles to say “Breaking Blind” would be, so I asked Claude to have a go at this. It helpfully pointed out that “Bl” isn’t a real element, but decided that “Bk” must be good enough as it’s just 1 letter away.

17.11.2025 16:00 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Good comparison. Except in the Jasmine arc only the most traumatised cynic (Conor) supported the plan, whereas in Pluribus only one (maybe two) of the dozen or so people with free will/autonomy seems to think it’s a bad idea.

14.11.2025 13:14 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Jon Minton’s Blog - Point estimates, Confidence Intervals and P-Values Two simple statistical animations co-produced with Claude

Two animated guides for understanding some key concepts in statistical inference:

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

(Or at least for becoming curious enough about these concepts to want to learn more…)

13.11.2025 19:39 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

If it’s like Among Us, Werewolf, etc, I’m guessing almost everyone is little better than chance in their guesses - because lying and lie-detecting were stuck in an evolutionary arms race for millions of years - but comes up with a lot of reasonable sounding explanations for their decisions?

07.11.2025 13:40 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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pkgdown 2.2.0 The latest version of pkgdown automatically builds markdown files that make it easy for LLMs to use your website.

pkgdown 2.2.0 now out — tidyverse.org/blog/2025/11.... Main feature is new build_llm_docs() which makes your websites easier to understand by LLMs. (Which you can easily turn off if desired) #rstats

06.11.2025 13:45 — 👍 45    🔁 8    💬 2    📌 1
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purrr 1.2.0 This release tightens up the package by removing long-deprecated functions, making `map_chr()` and predicate functions more type-safe, and requiring a newer version of carrier to make `in_parallel()`...

purrr 1.2.0 out now — mostly removing long deprecated functions but a few small performance nad parallel processing improvements. Learn more at www.tidyverse.org/blog/2025/11... #rstats

04.11.2025 14:10 — 👍 75    🔁 15    💬 0    📌 1
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Someone on ‘the other place’ just unearthed and reposted this data vis I made a couple of years ago. Such is the decline in engagement- there or here- that even 8 likes now looks impressive!

04.11.2025 12:17 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Jon Minton’s Blog - Claude as a Dialectical Engine? Accounts of two recent exchanges

New blog post: Claude as a dialectical engine?

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

(Have LLMs now solved their sycophancy problem?)

28.10.2025 19:48 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Long stolen antiques roadshow: set in the British Museum?

23.10.2025 09:20 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

D’oh!

20.10.2025 07:31 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I’ve now experienced an LLM (Claude) start to ask me questions and push back on specific suggestions and assumptions I’ve made either implicitly or explicitly through the prompt. To me this suggests LLMs are moving from ‘Affirmation Engines’ to ‘Dialectical Engines’, a change I wasn’t expecting.

18.10.2025 12:37 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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✨ Proofread translations ✨ by hadley · Pull Request #2926 · r-lib/pkgdown with Claude code cc @jayhesselberth @maelle

Would any fluent speakers of Korean or Chinese have a couple of minutes to review some updated pkgdown translations at github.com/r-lib/pkgdow... ? These were generated by claude code, so they're probably ok, but I'd love a human to double check.

16.10.2025 12:52 — 👍 14    🔁 10    💬 0    📌 0
Jon Minton’s Blog - Climbing with Claude: Understanding Collaborative Version Control An Artificially Hand-drawn Analogy

Climbing with Claude: understanding git/GitHub for collaborative version control:

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

14.10.2025 17:58 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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