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Jon Minton

@jonminton.bsky.social

Senior Statistician. Eclectic public and population health background. Very reluctant Twitter refugee. Distant memories of academia. “Evidence informed contrarian”

206 Followers  |  542 Following  |  102 Posts  |  Joined: 15.10.2024  |  1.8803

Latest posts by jonminton.bsky.social on Bluesky

Hasn’t it been a centuries-long convention that writers for the Economist tend to be anonymous or pseudonymous? (Which in a way seems oddly collectivist/socialist given the magazine’s title!)

24.09.2025 08:21 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Jon Minton’s Blog - Remembering KGB: 1992’s subtly terrifying social poison simulator

I’ve written about this game as a way of thinking about modern gaming conventions :

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

08.09.2025 07:17 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Jon Minton’s Blog - Remembering KGB: 1992’s subtly terrifying social poison simulator

KGB: 1992’s subtly terrifying social poison simulator:

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

07.09.2025 17:07 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Trump speaks with mismatching parentheses [}

06.09.2025 18:03 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I like Andy Weir’s books despite and because of their formulaic Robinson-Crusoe-in-Space structure. I’d call them ‘Eng-Fi’ more than Sci-Fi, but as the term doesn’t exist I guess they’re good Sci-Fi too!

01.09.2025 09:16 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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I’ve now written about two books worth of idiosyncratic nerdery:

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

24.08.2025 14:20 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Grand Designs: the loss of American freedom Exactly seven months into Trump's second term, we have reached 1000 authoritarian actions. Here I lay out the enormity of what has happened.

🚨1000 authoritarian actions. 7 months🚨

I've been tracking Trump's authoritarian actions. From dismantling democratic institutions to militarising immigration enforcement, Trump is reshaping America.

In my new post I highlight key authoriarian attacks
christinapagel.substack.com/p/grand-desi...
1/2

21.08.2025 20:15 — 👍 893    🔁 534    💬 39    📌 59
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Jon Minton’s Blog - Johan Hari: Superior Inferior Superior Storyteller …and some thoughts about how new anti-obesity drugs could affect the UK

@helenlewis.bsky.social and you are, of course, a *much* better pop science writer than this guy:

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

(Though there I sort of argue Hari’s more a pop mythologist who’s decided to use ‘science’ as his storytelling clay)

21.08.2025 15:27 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Many thanks. It was a joy to read and debate with myself about, which I guess was largely the intent of the post. (Once published, I’m not sure if it being read or not is the better outcome!)

20.08.2025 19:07 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I wonder what Greek people say when they don’t like or understand algebra…

20.08.2025 10:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Jon Minton’s Blog - Some thoughts on The Genius(*) Myth: A Review and a Reverie (*) Term undefined

Some thoughts on, and inspired by, Helen Lewis’ The Genius Myth:

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

20.08.2025 07:12 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Likewise. He was selling some of his artworks after the show. I was very tempted but realised it was for no good reason and that in buying some pieces I’d be speculating on his health. (Also he didn’t seem to have a card reader.)

14.08.2025 21:52 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
The mic stand of Jain Edwards. Two cloth covered tables are also shown

The mic stand of Jain Edwards. Two cloth covered tables are also shown

The mic stand of Ian Smith at the monkey barrel

The mic stand of Ian Smith at the monkey barrel

The mic stand and set props of Simon Munnery

The mic stand and set props of Simon Munnery

The mic stand of Marjolein Robertson and that is also her on stage covered with a sheet. Spoilers sorry

The mic stand of Marjolein Robertson and that is also her on stage covered with a sheet. Spoilers sorry

The Microphones of Edinburgh: A memoir

14.08.2025 19:13 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

Thanks. The (of course morbid) thought I keep having about perinatal mortality risk is it must surely extrapolate somewhat further to the left, to the days, weeks and months *before* birth too

04.08.2025 12:50 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Ok:

1 like = 1 demographic fact*

* may include estimates, generalizations, dataviz, or unsubstantiated claims

30.11.2024 15:21 — 👍 325    🔁 24    💬 8    📌 14

What does the square root of ANS actually sell?

01.08.2025 21:09 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Jon Minton’s Blog - It’s your choice A bureaucratic satire featuring three men, two gods, and one chair

“It’s your choice: A satire featuring three men, two gods, and one chair.”

jonminton.github.io/jon-blog/pos...

(The first short story I’ve written for some while…)

28.07.2025 14:06 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
JonStats - Causal Inference: An Opinionated Introduction

Causal Inference: an opinionated introduction:

jonminton.github.io/JonStats/pag...

20.07.2025 06:38 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Triangulation in aetiological epidemiology Abstract. Triangulation is the practice of obtaining more reliable answers to research questions through integrating results from several different approac

academic.oup.com/ije/article/...

11.07.2025 18:41 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Random thought 2: I like the argument about triangulation made in the IJE a few years back, which argues FOR methods heterogeneity to the extend different study designs will have different biases.

11.07.2025 18:40 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

Random thought 1: I read criticisms about the Christakis (sic) and Fowler Obesity social network research saying it’s unreplicable as there’s nothing else like the Framingham study it relies I.

11.07.2025 18:37 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

🆕 Rapid evidence review: Local multiplier effects of changes in public spending

We’ve published a new briefing on the local multiplier effects of changes in public spending.

Read in full 👇
whatworksgrowth.org/wp-content/u...

07.07.2025 08:01 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
Professor has MENTAL BREAKDOWN and accuses class of cheating
YouTube video by Almost Friday TV Professor has MENTAL BREAKDOWN and accuses class of cheating

Oddly profound comedy skit: professor discovers he’s teaching a chorus of omniscient gods, and doesn’t know what to do with this:

youtu.be/bl8Z7Dl7P9A?...

04.07.2025 10:14 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Fan of the show?

27.06.2025 21:20 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

It’s called precipitation

27.06.2025 11:29 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Ukraine/Russia chapter was horribly prescient

27.06.2025 08:18 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The Generational Health Drift: A Systematic Review of Evidence from the British Birth Cohort Studies Background Life expectancy improved dramatically during the 20th century. Whether more recent generations are also living longer in good health has serious implications for healthcare systems and the ...

"There was little evidence for improving health across successive cohorts born since 1946 when compared at the same age. For several outcomes – obesity, mental ill-health & diabetes – prevalence of poor health was higher in more recent generations, a pattern we term Generational Health Drift"

26.06.2025 07:31 — 👍 4    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

Hasn’t the world’s smallest violin existed, by definition, as soon as the first violin was made?

25.06.2025 15:12 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Declining Fertility Leading to Long-Term Stability in Demographic Dependency Ratios Higher dependency ratios associated with the demographic transition can be considered a manageable challenge for many.

“We argue that higher dependency ratios associated with the demographic transition can be considered a manageable challenge for many”

23.06.2025 18:53 — 👍 9    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 0

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