Henrik Serup Christensen's Avatar

Henrik Serup Christensen

@henriksc.bsky.social

Klodsmajor | Senior lecturer in Political science at Åbo Akademi University | https://research.abo.fi/en/persons/henrik-serup-christensen |Political participation | Political trust | Political behaviour |

1,059 Followers  |  1,883 Following  |  35 Posts  |  Joined: 25.09.2023  |  1.7889

Latest posts by henriksc.bsky.social on Bluesky


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Paper on statistical power necessary for interaction effects
doi.org/10.1177/2515...

20.02.2026 09:17 — 👍 118    🔁 47    💬 4    📌 8
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PhD student in International Relations The Department of Economic History and International Relations is a dynamic and strong education and research department at the Faculty of Social Sciences at Stockholm University. Its International Re

📚 2 PhD positions in International Relations at @stockholm-uni.bsky.social! The positions are linked to my ERC-project about local change and public support for protectionism #academicsky #polisky
Deadline April 10, 2026, apply here! 👇
su.varbi.com/en/what:job/... -
su.varbi.com/what:job/job...

19.02.2026 15:37 — 👍 23    🔁 21    💬 0    📌 0
How can we recover political trust? | TEPSA Animated Explainer
YouTube video by Trans European Policy Studies Association (TEPSA) How can we recover political trust? | TEPSA Animated Explainer

Watching the news on television or social media, Europe seems a polarised landscape, where citizens no longer trust politicians. 🧐 What can we do to recover political trust?

Find out in our #ActEU animated video 👉 youtu.be/ksOPxCG0TSQ

@csic.es @cchscsic.bsky.social @univcatholille.bsky.social

17.02.2026 11:26 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

New paper this week by V-Dem's director, @silindberg.bsky.social, on the the current wave of autocratization: www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1...

Including this important statement: "...it is by my own analysis no question that the USA no longer qualifies as a democracy."

17.02.2026 11:42 — 👍 31    🔁 20    💬 1    📌 3
It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

11.02.2026 17:00 — 👍 636    🔁 222    💬 30    📌 51
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Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies: Information, Legacies, Temporalities - Giovanni Capoccia, 2026 The article lays the foundations of a research agenda on the conditions favoring short-term success against emerging illiberal challenges—necessary for democrat...

New article and special issue!
Just out in Comparative Political Studies: “Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies: Information, Legacies, Temporalities", the intro to a special issue on countering illiberalism in liberal democracies.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Thread 🧵1/7

12.02.2026 22:08 — 👍 70    🔁 35    💬 1    📌 5
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Does local context matter for individual level turnout? Analysing the effect of the social context in the neighbourhood, in Norwegian elections The purpose of this paper is to study how the social composition of a neighbourhood affects an individual’s propensity to vote. Numerous studies have looked at aggregate level contextual effects on...

📢 New article🌟
👥 Sofi Granö (ISV) & Johannes Bergh @johannesbergh.bsky.social
👉 Does local context matter for individual level turnout? Analysing the effect of the social context in the neighbourhood, in Norwegian elections
📖 Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties
🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1745...

02.02.2026 08:13 — 👍 10    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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🚨 Deadline Soon (***February 5, 2026***): 3-Year Postdoc in Political Science 🚨

I am seeking applicants for a 3-year postdoc related to my @erc.europa.eu research project EQUILIBRIUM that focuses on state-citizen interactions.

The application link and further information are in the post below. ⬇️

29.01.2026 14:00 — 👍 15    🔁 11    💬 1    📌 0
Doctoral student in Political Science, specialization in political economy and political behavior Doctoral position in Political Science, specialization in political economy and political behavior The Department of Political Science

🌟 PHD FELLOWSHIP ALERT! 🌟

I’m hiring 1 PhD fellow for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting 09/26! Great PhD community + int'l & supportive environment + FUN city. 💰for conferences + workshops! Lots of mentoring & career development opportunities! Deadline Jan 29th. Please apply!

10.12.2025 06:54 — 👍 32    🔁 36    💬 0    📌 3
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Very happy to see this out in CPS! We study class identities and their social and political relevance over several decades in Britain, Denmark, Norway, and the US. A small thread:

journals.sagepub.com/eprint/SIRW4...

08.01.2026 09:27 — 👍 124    🔁 45    💬 7    📌 0
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Point of no returns: researchers are crossing a threshold in the fight for funding With so little money to go round, the costs of competing for grants can exceed what the grants are worth. When that happens, nobody wins.

This report in Nature on the costs of competing for & administering scientific grants is shocking: "In other words, European taxpayers will have spent more on the funding process than on the funding itself, and the scientific ecosystem has been drained." www.nature.com/articles/d41... 🧪

19.12.2025 18:46 — 👍 424    🔁 240    💬 8    📌 45
BJPolS abstract of an academic article discussing how democratic institutions prioritize citizen preferences regarding economic and physical security, with a focus on varied democratic features across thirty countries.

BJPolS abstract of an academic article discussing how democratic institutions prioritize citizen preferences regarding economic and physical security, with a focus on varied democratic features across thirty countries.

NEW -

Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf

- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

22.12.2025 11:10 — 👍 37    🔁 17    💬 0    📌 8
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🍊 Fresh out!

@shimmelroos.bsky.social, Maija Jäske & Maija Setälä examine how information regarding the design features of an advisory mini-public affect the wider public's trust in the mini-public - based on the Finnish Citizens' Jury on Climate Actions organised in 2021.

👉 buff.ly/GuHhomY

18.12.2025 17:40 — 👍 4    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
Call for Applications: Early Career Rescue Fellowship – Freiburg Institute for Advanced Studies

Post-doc positions:
"Academic freedom is under pressure today. This requires rescue havens of free research. ... [we] invite early career researchers, whose work is restricted due to political pressure in the USA..."

uni-freiburg.de/frias/call-f...

19.12.2025 17:14 — 👍 197    🔁 172    💬 1    📌 19
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With everything going on, it's easy to forget that immigration reform can fail EVEN IF a majority says it's "for" it.

Politics runs on attention, and immigration supporters often care less about it than opponents. My new paper in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social tries to address this gap.

12.12.2025 17:26 — 👍 21    🔁 9    💬 1    📌 0
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Trumpian Corruption Is Worse Than Ukrainian Corruption The people of Ukraine want an honest government, even as American and Russian kleptocrats circle their country.

“In Ukraine, the state itself is investigating the government, the cabinet, even the president’s closest advisers. By contrast, it is impossible to imagine Kash Patel’s FBI investigating anyone in Trump’s White House.”

07.12.2025 16:40 — 👍 11    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project

You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna!

⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025

wratil.eu/files/MULTIR...

1/4 🧵

10.11.2025 06:50 — 👍 77    🔁 79    💬 1    📌 11

One of the results from the Acteu project. We show how a precarious economic situation is associated with lower levels of political trust

25.11.2025 10:07 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (3-4 years) (288628) | University of Oslo Job title: Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (3-4 years) (288628), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Monday, November 17, 2025

We are hiring PhDs and postdocs to work on the ERC project GETGOV, where I am the PI.

We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!

Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...

PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...

20.10.2025 15:27 — 👍 85    🔁 79    💬 1    📌 5
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📊 now in English @fesonline.bsky.social:
Gender gap in voting behavior in Germany📊

It's about the “big picture” since 1953 & current trends 2021-2025.

The gender gap keeps growing, especially among the young.

-> Longer trends are continuing & partly accelerating.

library.fes.de/pdf-files/a-...

03.11.2025 16:39 — 👍 118    🔁 48    💬 4    📌 4

Lesson learned: never come early, especially on Monday morning.

03.11.2025 06:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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🚨 Job alert! 🚨

A full-time postdoctoral position (100%) is available at my chair starting February 1, 2026. We are looking for a candidate with knowledge of quantitative methods and expertise in relevant subject areas.

30.10.2025 13:58 — 👍 6    🔁 5    💬 1    📌 0
Paths to Power: A New Dataset on the Social Profile of Governments | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core Paths to Power: A New Dataset on the Social Profile of Governments - Volume 55

Paths to Power (PtP) is out in @bjpols.bsky.social! It is a database with data on cabinet members' social profile globally from 1966-2021.

This is a great team effort with @chknutsen.bsky.social, @peterla.bsky.social, @inalkristiansen.bsky.social. But many more helped us along the way 🙏

A short 🧵

20.10.2025 13:51 — 👍 112    🔁 47    💬 3    📌 2

A EU politics tenure track position at Ghent university 👇

#polisky #psjobs #poliscijobs

17.10.2025 07:48 — 👍 17    🔁 8    💬 0    📌 1
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Shout-out to all #PoliticalTrust researchers interested in attending the first @epssnet.bsky.social conference in #Belfast

@annakern.bsky.social, @danjdevine.bsky.social, @cvalebeek.bsky.social, @hannesbey.bsky.social and I are coordinating 3 trust panels!

15.10.2025 11:58 — 👍 14    🔁 14    💬 1    📌 2
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Strategic Inclusion Without Transformation: How Populist Radical Right Parties Engage With Women’s Interests - Bonnie M. Meguid, Hilde Coffé, Ana Catalano Weeks, Miki Caul Kittilson, 2025 Despite their Männerparteien reputation, populist radical right (PRR) parties have recently expanded their agendas to include women’s interests. When do they em...

🚨 New article out today in @cpsjournal.bsky.social !

📄 “Strategic Inclusion Without Transformation: How Populist Radical Right Parties Engage With Women’s Interests”

With Bonnie Meguid, @hildecoffe.bsky.social & Miki Kittilson

🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...

01.10.2025 09:33 — 👍 72    🔁 29    💬 3    📌 1
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From Marginalized to Mainstream? An International Comparative Analysis of Gender Differences in Social Media Adoption and Activity by Politicians in Non-Election Times - Elise Storme, 2025 Traditional media and party gatekeepers are found to restrict women's visibility and influence in politics. Social media, however, is seen as a potential m...

🚀🎉 Thrilled to share that the first paper of my PhD dissertation is now published in Political Studies Review: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Does social media help women politicians overcome barriers in visibility - or does it just replicate old hierarchies?

A short 🧵

02.10.2025 12:40 — 👍 26    🔁 8    💬 1    📌 0
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Democratic elections and anti-immigration attitudes - Miguel Carreras, Sofia Vera, Giancarlo Visconti, 2025 Democratic elections are ritualized and institutionalized processes that allow for the peaceful resolution of political disagreements and conflicts. However, el...

Immigration attitudes polarise around elections: right-wing respondents become more negative just after elections but soften over time, while left-wing respondents start out more positive but become increasingly negative as time passes journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

24.09.2025 08:55 — 👍 9    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0
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Doctoral Researcher (100%) in Political Science 4 years Focus: Public opinion, Political Conflict, and the Far Right The Department of Political Science at the Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB) is hiring a doctoral researcher with a specialization in quantitative research (survey and experiments) for the project “...

📢 Call for applications!

I’m looking for a 4-year PhD researcher (100%) in Political Science: focus on public opinion & the far right

You’ll be part of the POLHYBRID project @sciencepoulb.bsky.social, working with me & @caterinafr.bsky.social
Deadline: 9 11 2025

👉 Info & apply: shorturl.at/El2mW

15.09.2025 07:58 — 👍 43    🔁 32    💬 3    📌 1

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