Paper on statistical power necessary for interaction effects
doi.org/10.1177/2515...
@henriksc.bsky.social
Klodsmajor | Senior lecturer in Political science at Åbo Akademi University | https://research.abo.fi/en/persons/henrik-serup-christensen |Political participation | Political trust | Political behaviour |
Paper on statistical power necessary for interaction effects
doi.org/10.1177/2515...
📚 2 PhD positions in International Relations at @stockholm-uni.bsky.social! The positions are linked to my ERC-project about local change and public support for protectionism #academicsky #polisky
Deadline April 10, 2026, apply here! 👇
su.varbi.com/en/what:job/... -
su.varbi.com/what:job/job...
Watching the news on television or social media, Europe seems a polarised landscape, where citizens no longer trust politicians. 🧐 What can we do to recover political trust?
Find out in our #ActEU animated video 👉 youtu.be/ksOPxCG0TSQ
@csic.es @cchscsic.bsky.social @univcatholille.bsky.social
New paper this week by V-Dem's director, @silindberg.bsky.social, on the the current wave of autocratization: www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1...
Including this important statement: "...it is by my own analysis no question that the USA no longer qualifies as a democracy."
It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
11.02.2026 17:00 — 👍 636 🔁 222 💬 30 📌 51New article and special issue!
Just out in Comparative Political Studies: “Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies: Information, Legacies, Temporalities", the intro to a special issue on countering illiberalism in liberal democracies.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Thread 🧵1/7
📢 New article🌟
👥 Sofi Granö (ISV) & Johannes Bergh @johannesbergh.bsky.social
👉 Does local context matter for individual level turnout? Analysing the effect of the social context in the neighbourhood, in Norwegian elections
📖 Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties
🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1745...
🚨 Deadline Soon (***February 5, 2026***): 3-Year Postdoc in Political Science 🚨
I am seeking applicants for a 3-year postdoc related to my @erc.europa.eu research project EQUILIBRIUM that focuses on state-citizen interactions.
The application link and further information are in the post below. ⬇️
🌟 PHD FELLOWSHIP ALERT! 🌟
I’m hiring 1 PhD fellow for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting 09/26! Great PhD community + int'l & supportive environment + FUN city. 💰for conferences + workshops! Lots of mentoring & career development opportunities! Deadline Jan 29th. Please apply!
Very happy to see this out in CPS! We study class identities and their social and political relevance over several decades in Britain, Denmark, Norway, and the US. A small thread:
journals.sagepub.com/eprint/SIRW4...
This report in Nature on the costs of competing for & administering scientific grants is shocking: "In other words, European taxpayers will have spent more on the funding process than on the funding itself, and the scientific ecosystem has been drained." www.nature.com/articles/d41... 🧪
19.12.2025 18:46 — 👍 424 🔁 240 💬 8 📌 45BJPolS abstract of an academic article discussing how democratic institutions prioritize citizen preferences regarding economic and physical security, with a focus on varied democratic features across thirty countries.
NEW -
Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf
- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
🍊 Fresh out!
@shimmelroos.bsky.social, Maija Jäske & Maija Setälä examine how information regarding the design features of an advisory mini-public affect the wider public's trust in the mini-public - based on the Finnish Citizens' Jury on Climate Actions organised in 2021.
👉 buff.ly/GuHhomY
Post-doc positions:
"Academic freedom is under pressure today. This requires rescue havens of free research. ... [we] invite early career researchers, whose work is restricted due to political pressure in the USA..."
uni-freiburg.de/frias/call-f...
With everything going on, it's easy to forget that immigration reform can fail EVEN IF a majority says it's "for" it.
Politics runs on attention, and immigration supporters often care less about it than opponents. My new paper in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social tries to address this gap.
“In Ukraine, the state itself is investigating the government, the cabinet, even the president’s closest advisers. By contrast, it is impossible to imagine Kash Patel’s FBI investigating anyone in Trump’s White House.”
07.12.2025 16:40 — 👍 11 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project
You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna!
⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025
wratil.eu/files/MULTIR...
1/4 🧵
One of the results from the Acteu project. We show how a precarious economic situation is associated with lower levels of political trust
25.11.2025 10:07 — 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0We are hiring PhDs and postdocs to work on the ERC project GETGOV, where I am the PI.
We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!
Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
📊 now in English @fesonline.bsky.social:
Gender gap in voting behavior in Germany📊
It's about the “big picture” since 1953 & current trends 2021-2025.
The gender gap keeps growing, especially among the young.
-> Longer trends are continuing & partly accelerating.
library.fes.de/pdf-files/a-...
Lesson learned: never come early, especially on Monday morning.
03.11.2025 06:47 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0🚨 Job alert! 🚨
A full-time postdoctoral position (100%) is available at my chair starting February 1, 2026. We are looking for a candidate with knowledge of quantitative methods and expertise in relevant subject areas.
Paths to Power (PtP) is out in @bjpols.bsky.social! It is a database with data on cabinet members' social profile globally from 1966-2021.
This is a great team effort with @chknutsen.bsky.social, @peterla.bsky.social, @inalkristiansen.bsky.social. But many more helped us along the way 🙏
A short 🧵
A EU politics tenure track position at Ghent university 👇
#polisky #psjobs #poliscijobs
Shout-out to all #PoliticalTrust researchers interested in attending the first @epssnet.bsky.social conference in #Belfast
@annakern.bsky.social, @danjdevine.bsky.social, @cvalebeek.bsky.social, @hannesbey.bsky.social and I are coordinating 3 trust panels!
🚨 New article out today in @cpsjournal.bsky.social !
📄 “Strategic Inclusion Without Transformation: How Populist Radical Right Parties Engage With Women’s Interests”
With Bonnie Meguid, @hildecoffe.bsky.social & Miki Kittilson
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
🚀🎉 Thrilled to share that the first paper of my PhD dissertation is now published in Political Studies Review: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Does social media help women politicians overcome barriers in visibility - or does it just replicate old hierarchies?
A short 🧵
Immigration attitudes polarise around elections: right-wing respondents become more negative just after elections but soften over time, while left-wing respondents start out more positive but become increasingly negative as time passes journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
24.09.2025 08:55 — 👍 9 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 0📢 Call for applications!
I’m looking for a 4-year PhD researcher (100%) in Political Science: focus on public opinion & the far right
You’ll be part of the POLHYBRID project @sciencepoulb.bsky.social, working with me & @caterinafr.bsky.social
Deadline: 9 11 2025
👉 Info & apply: shorturl.at/El2mW