Francesco Paolo Conteduca 🇪🇺🇮🇹🇺🇦

They just hit a university

This is becoming so normalized, I did not even wake up the second time there was an air alert.
100s of drones, missiles, with loud explosions & house shaking, reading about the destruction & deaths in the morning - several times a week

#UkrainianView

A new PS piece with @ilonasolohub.bsky.social and @matsmarcusson.bsky.social

2 options: 1) RUS defeat (means more sanctions & more weapons for UKR). 2) a defeat for democracy (&subdued Europe).

If 1), Europeans should sacrifice some of their welfare. If 2), they'll lose it all.

#UkrainianView

Never-ending 9/11

2/2. Everyone using the phrase "land swap" should please specify which Russian territory Ukraine would be getting. So far it’s a euphemism for forcing Ukraine to give things up to Russia.

1/2. The phrase "land swap" is being used to mean "Ukraine concedes land illegally occupied by Russia and also concedes territory that is not even occupied." That is not a swap.

A tale of two vibes.

It’s literally how it feels to me
#Ukrainianview

6/ Putin's reported proposal reportedly demands that Ukraine concede this critical defensive position, which Russian forces currently have no means of rapidly enveloping or penetrating, apparently in exchange for nothing.

More in tonight's assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar080825

Trump welcomes a war criminal on US soil

#UkrainianView

#UkrainianView

Hello, #MAGA , how are you?

So, it is the first time I see Americans crawling on their knees before russians.
Has America become great again, or the most interesting things are yet to come?..

Trump is not hammering Russia with these tariffs on India. They don’t start for 21 days (if at all) and China buys more Russian oil than India. This is typical Trump. Pretend to be tough on Russia, but not really

The situation with Russians killing a toddler with a drone is especially despicable when you realize this wasn’t a stray artillery shell that landed 50 meters off, or a Shahed drone that hit a tall building, but an FPV drone, guided in real time by an operator watching it live

Another terrifying night in Ukraine

This is what a city with over a thousand years of history, the capital of the largest European country, looks like when your neighbor is the terrorist state russia.

#UkrainianView

Segnaliamo a Elly Schlein che cantare “Bella ciao” a Budapest è cosa buona e giusta, ma il luogo naturale dove andare a intonare quel canto è l’Ucraina. Parlando di invasori, in caso il concetto fosse troppo criptico.

Does handing out Russian passports make a territory Russian?

No, it doesn’t — and Yulia Navalnaya should know that.

This looks like a must-read!

"The State of Globalisation" edited by Richard Baldwin and Michele Ruta.

cepr.org/publications...

Brad Lander Is Arrested by ICE Agents at Immigration Courthouse

I don’t have an inside joke or sardonic quip or anything of the sort.

All I’ve got is a gift link. Please read the story and watch the video.

Thugs ostensibly working for the federal government are arresting elected officials for insisting on due process.

In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce the main themes of Russian disinformation on TikTok. Each day, there are thousands of new videos promoting pro-Kremlin narratives and propaganda.

It’s worth noting that Russians can only access European TikTok via VPN.

1/10

So the President of the USA is reduced to being a messenger boy for the Russian dictator and begging for help.

Please Vladimir, be nice….

How long until the next time some people start wondering when Trump will be hard on Russia.

This is pathetic.

Dear Russians, this is not a terrorist attack. This is war.

Ukraine targeted your strategic bombers, not your homes.

Your own armed forces are, on the other hand, constantly terrorising Ukrainian civilians.

❗️The United Nations' aviation council ruled that Russia was responsible for downing of the Malaysian Airlines flight over Ukraine, which killed all of the nearly 300 people on board in 2014.

The majority of passengers and crew, 196 people, were from the Netherlands.

Graph of the change in welfare across different tariff scenarios. In each scenario, the US suffers the largest welfare decrease. Sweeping US tariff increases in 2025 are upending global trade. This column draws on new data and simulations to show that, even with partial suspensions, the measures are set to trigger sharp contractions in trade, significant welfare losses (especially for the US), and major disruptions to global supply chains. Direct trade between the US and China may collapse, while indirect exports of Chinese products to the US will be far less affected. The tariff escalation could also distort production patterns and drive a sharp reconfiguration of global value chains, resulting in a less efficient and more opaque trade system.

Even with partial suspensions, the US #tariffs are set to trigger sharp contractions in #trade, significant welfare losses (especially for the US), and major disruptions to global supply chains.
@fpconteduca.bsky.social, Michele Mancini, Alessandro Borin
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

La morte orribile di Vika, reporter ucraina | Corriere TV E lo strabismo morale di chi da noi tace

La morte orribile di Vika, reporter ucraina, e lo strabismo morale di chi tace

video.corriere.it/cronaca/palo...

Appuntamento fisso! Grazie a lei per il suo lavoro.

Bilateral Trade Imbalances Abstract. If sectoral trade flows obey structural gravity, countries’ bilateral trade imbalances are the result of macro trade imbalances, “triangular trad

Ale Cunat and @zymek.bsky.social show how to correctly compute asymmetric trade barriers in the Review of Economic Studies. One can use their model to explain why Trump's tariffs do not eliminate aggregate imbalances, even if they may reshuffle bilateral ones.
academic.oup.com/restud/artic...

Una casa dove viga la violenza domestica, in pratica.