Francesco Paolo Conteduca 🇪🇺🇮🇹🇺🇦

Trump is not hammering Russia with these tariffs on India. They don’t start for 21 days (if at all) and China buys more Russian oil than India. This is typical Trump. Pretend to be tough on Russia, but not really

The situation with Russians killing a toddler with a drone is especially despicable when you realize this wasn’t a stray artillery shell that landed 50 meters off, or a Shahed drone that hit a tall building, but an FPV drone, guided in real time by an operator watching it live

Another terrifying night in Ukraine

This is what a city with over a thousand years of history, the capital of the largest European country, looks like when your neighbor is the terrorist state russia.

#UkrainianView

Segnaliamo a Elly Schlein che cantare “Bella ciao” a Budapest è cosa buona e giusta, ma il luogo naturale dove andare a intonare quel canto è l’Ucraina. Parlando di invasori, in caso il concetto fosse troppo criptico.

Does handing out Russian passports make a territory Russian?

No, it doesn’t — and Yulia Navalnaya should know that.

This looks like a must-read!

"The State of Globalisation" edited by Richard Baldwin and Michele Ruta.

cepr.org/publications...

Brad Lander Is Arrested by ICE Agents at Immigration Courthouse

I don’t have an inside joke or sardonic quip or anything of the sort.

All I’ve got is a gift link. Please read the story and watch the video.

Thugs ostensibly working for the federal government are arresting elected officials for insisting on due process.

In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce the main themes of Russian disinformation on TikTok. Each day, there are thousands of new videos promoting pro-Kremlin narratives and propaganda.

It’s worth noting that Russians can only access European TikTok via VPN.

1/10

So the President of the USA is reduced to being a messenger boy for the Russian dictator and begging for help.

Please Vladimir, be nice….

How long until the next time some people start wondering when Trump will be hard on Russia.

This is pathetic.

Dear Russians, this is not a terrorist attack. This is war.

Ukraine targeted your strategic bombers, not your homes.

Your own armed forces are, on the other hand, constantly terrorising Ukrainian civilians.

❗️The United Nations' aviation council ruled that Russia was responsible for downing of the Malaysian Airlines flight over Ukraine, which killed all of the nearly 300 people on board in 2014.

The majority of passengers and crew, 196 people, were from the Netherlands.

Graph of the change in welfare across different tariff scenarios. In each scenario, the US suffers the largest welfare decrease. Sweeping US tariff increases in 2025 are upending global trade. This column draws on new data and simulations to show that, even with partial suspensions, the measures are set to trigger sharp contractions in trade, significant welfare losses (especially for the US), and major disruptions to global supply chains. Direct trade between the US and China may collapse, while indirect exports of Chinese products to the US will be far less affected. The tariff escalation could also distort production patterns and drive a sharp reconfiguration of global value chains, resulting in a less efficient and more opaque trade system.

Even with partial suspensions, the US #tariffs are set to trigger sharp contractions in #trade, significant welfare losses (especially for the US), and major disruptions to global supply chains.
@fpconteduca.bsky.social, Michele Mancini, Alessandro Borin
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

La morte orribile di Vika, reporter ucraina | Corriere TV E lo strabismo morale di chi da noi tace

La morte orribile di Vika, reporter ucraina, e lo strabismo morale di chi tace

video.corriere.it/cronaca/palo...

Appuntamento fisso! Grazie a lei per il suo lavoro.

Bilateral Trade Imbalances Abstract. If sectoral trade flows obey structural gravity, countries’ bilateral trade imbalances are the result of macro trade imbalances, “triangular trad

Ale Cunat and @zymek.bsky.social show how to correctly compute asymmetric trade barriers in the Review of Economic Studies. One can use their model to explain why Trump's tariffs do not eliminate aggregate imbalances, even if they may reshuffle bilateral ones.
academic.oup.com/restud/artic...

Una casa dove viga la violenza domestica, in pratica.

1/4. Ukraine has proposed a ceasefire without conditions. Russia will almost certainly reject this and try to dictate to Witkoff that the US help Russia achieve colonial control of Ukraine, something that Russia could never achieve on its own.

🧵 Musk che chiama traditore il senatore Kelly per essere stato in Ucraina è una rappresentazione inequivocabile del salto del fosso dell'amministrazione Trump. Chi empatizza con la vittima dell'invasione è adesso un traditore.

Perché l'unico alleato, adesso, è la Russia.

1/8

Trade Fragmentation Unveiled: Five Facts on the Reconfiguration of Global, US and EU Trade: Conteduca, Francesco Paolo; Giglioli, Simona; Giordano, Claire; Mancini, Michele; Panon, Ludovic

Natural Disasters and Markups: Conteduca, Francesco Paolo; Panon, Ludovic

Trade Fragmentation Unveiled: Five Facts on the Reconfiguration of Global, US and EU Trade: Conteduca, Francesco Paolo; Giglioli, Simona; Giordano, Claire; Mancini, Michele; Panon, Ludovic

Natural Disasters and Markups: Conteduca, Francesco Paolo; Panon, Ludovic

Termini ora. Nothing to see here

Episodio top, come al solito!

Sarebbe stato accusato di non volere la pace se non fosse andato. Le sue controparti sono criminali di guerra e personaggi in malafede.

Dear Ukrainian friends - you will never be alone.

Russia does not want to end the war, and the Trump administration has shown no ability to induce Russia to end the war. And so, predictably, the Trump administration blames the victim, blames Ukraine.

Peace through strength.

The strength you need to stand up to bullies.

President Zelenskyy is a giant and Ukraine is not alone