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Robert Manning

@ramfutures.bsky.social

Distinguished Fellow, Stimson Center, Global Foresight & China programs. Former State, EAP &policy planning, former NIC.

114 Followers  |  12 Following  |  202 Posts  |  Joined: 23.11.2024  |  1.654

Latest posts by ramfutures.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Beyond the Space Race: Collaboration and Competition in the Future of AI Governance The AI race mirrors Cold War rivalries but lacks a clear finish line. Fragmented governance and zero-sum narratives risk overshadowing inclusive, collaborative approaches to innovation.

Neared Celk!
How will AI be distributed?

nationalinterest.org/blog/techlan...

01.10.2025 21:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Who needs intelligence agencies when you have the very stable genius?

22.08.2025 20:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I’d settle for plain, English, Harry Truman-like.
People looking for authenticity.

22.08.2025 19:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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AI: The Road to Utopia or Dystopia? The development of artificial intelligence cannot be stopped. Yet, that doesn't mean it cannot be realigned with human-centered priorities.

The promise & perils of the Techno-utopians.
Are the modern version of the 17th century British East India Company, creating a tech empire ahead of the state?

nationalinterest.org/blog/techlan...

14.08.2025 19:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Pretty much. But gradually moving from Orwell β€” ban books, etc to Huxleyβ€” no need to ban, as nobody wants to read books, just live in the Netaverse.

21.07.2025 12:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The End of American Internationalism? Donald Trump’s successor, whomever it may be, will find it difficult to restore US global leadership in 2029.

New Red Cell

Why repairing the damage of Trump destruction of US state capacity, US global standing and retreat from multilateralism will be extremely difficult.
Can't put Humpty Dumpty back together.

nationalinterest.org/feature/the-...

05.06.2025 18:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Present at the Destruction: A 2030 Damage Assessment What hath Trump wrought? The revolution unleashed on January 20 has unsettled eighty years of economic, political, and security order in a few months.

NEW RED CELL

Trump: Costs & Consequences
How the world may be reordered.

nationalinterest.org/feature/pres...

19.05.2025 13:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Exactly.

28.04.2025 20:13 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump Is Losing Asia An incoherent policy is speeding Beijing’s rise.

Trump is undoing 45 years of carefully structured understandings and cooperation that resulted in stability and prosperity in the Asia-Pacific.

An incoherent policy is speeding Beijing’s rise. foreignpolicy.com/2025/04/21/t...

21.04.2025 21:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ‘‡

10.04.2025 18:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Prescient.

10.04.2025 18:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ‘‡sadly, a reality check.

08.04.2025 22:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Ending government waste, fraud and abuse, eh?

07.04.2025 19:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Why there will be few negotiated resolutions. Trump goals are 1) tariffs as extortion: free money to US Treasury, reasons don't matter-- any one will do.
and 2) decouple from China. Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia got "China+1" FDI, to assemble China stuff exported to US. Electronics, shoes, clothes.

07.04.2025 18:59 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Impactful, big story buried under tariff headlines: ROK Poresident impeached. June elections, according to polls, likely to result in a DP, leftist government (already controls Parliament). I'm guessing tensions with Trump ahead.

04.04.2025 19:18 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Exactly

04.04.2025 19:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How is this acceptable?

22.03.2025 14:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is exactly what it looks like. what rationale besides race?

20.03.2025 17:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Cui Bono? Seems a form of Oligarchs waging class warfare by nihilism.

20.03.2025 17:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is not just a gift to Putin, but also morally repugnant and indefensible.

20.03.2025 17:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Bingo

14.03.2025 20:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

As long as Trump is in the realm of capricious madness, why not Canada invite California, Oregon and, Washington to secede from the US and become new Canadian provinnces.

14.03.2025 20:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is how deep the decay is, not just the book burners. but 31% of 8th graders can read at grade level.
Gearing up to succeed in a world of technology revolution.

14.03.2025 20:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Sometimes it seems as if the US has begun a long march back to the 14th century.

10.03.2025 16:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Some troubling revolutionary similarities -- fostering anti- elites populist chaos to undo the administrative state, bureaucracy. But not (yet) the savage, murderous self-rigtheous violence.
But no Zhou Enlai -- and at the end of the day, not sure who our Dng Xiaopeng (or if there is one).

10.03.2025 16:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

One must ask, is there an explanation other than simple nihilism, a sense that there is no social contract, no idea of public good, that government is no different that a business -- if it impedes profit....?

10.03.2025 16:11 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Present at the destruction.

10.03.2025 16:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Follow the miney

08.03.2025 19:55 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

That's how it happens. Germany 1933.

08.03.2025 16:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ‘‡

05.03.2025 01:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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