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Harry Carr

@harrydcarr.bsky.social

Pollster/wonk/data journalist. Feminist who thinks what we tell boys about being men explains a lot. Still an Atlanticist. Dan Burn is an excellent left back in the right system.

364 Followers  |  519 Following  |  315 Posts  |  Joined: 07.08.2024  |  2.3326

Latest posts by harrydcarr.bsky.social on Bluesky


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The Covid-19 Baby Bump: The Unexpected Increase in U.S. Fertility Rates in Response to the Pandemic Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

Work-from-home increases birth rates, but firms seem to hate it. So despite a pro-fertility coalition growing in US politics, no politicians openly supports work from home

www.nber.org/papers/w30569

via Mike Konczal

26.10.2025 17:09 β€” πŸ‘ 766    πŸ” 225    πŸ’¬ 30    πŸ“Œ 36
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Now I’ve seen everything

13.10.2025 11:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@lukeedwardstele.bsky.social says he’s coming home

03.10.2025 18:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œWe’ve tried not calling it racist and people still don’t think it’s racist. We’re all out of ideas.”

02.10.2025 04:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

He’ll stick at Forest until J7 ages out in 2-3 years, then come home as clear first choice in his prime. You heard it here first #cope

27.09.2025 08:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Why would they believe that? Their problem has been that the consensus that racism is bad created a social cost for them. They hd to be careful whom they spoke to; a reputation for racism could be ruinous. Even in my lifetime that wasn’t always true. People worked hard to build that consensus. /3

15.09.2025 16:33 β€” πŸ‘ 384    πŸ” 45    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

So so much want this to be true, but pretty sure that transfer predates the existence of Wikipedia. Now need an entire podcast on how that extremely specific factoid came to be

15.09.2025 14:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

There is a serious failure in UK govt, politics & media to take sufficiently seriously what Musk said & meant with "fight back or die"

= Violence (interethnic civil war) is inevitable so pre-emptive violence - vs migrants, minorities & political opponents - is necessary to avoid existential erasure

14.09.2025 18:21 β€” πŸ‘ 546    πŸ” 238    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 15

Again, I really do have concerns about exactly how Justin Webb is acquiring his knowledge of US politics or what prompted him to make this exact point.

11.09.2025 07:40 β€” πŸ‘ 956    πŸ” 210    πŸ’¬ 21    πŸ“Œ 18

I increasingly wonder if this is down to so many government people still using X and mistaking that for an actual measure of public opinion.

Poll after poll after poll has shown that British voters don't like small boats but they hate street violence and open racism much more.

10.09.2025 13:22 β€” πŸ‘ 594    πŸ” 122    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 11

Sir Robert Worcester, legendary pollster and founder of MORI (now Ipsos UK) has died at 91. He taught so many people so much about the value and importance of opinion polls in modern democracies - everyone in our industry and politics owes him a debt of gratitude.

10.09.2025 07:15 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 6

yeah this does not bode well either for this season or for next summer (or indeed January). Need to start preparing dickhead-mitigation plans for each transfer window in the same way you do for players going off to afcon

02.09.2025 10:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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What a strange comparison. β€œΒ£3bn, or half the suspiciously large GDP of a small island with roughly the population of Lowestoft” www.nytimes.com/athletic/651...

02.09.2025 09:10 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

(Btw thank you for braving x to bring us transfer bollocks - appreciate it!)

02.09.2025 06:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

For us, I can see Wistamade getting 30+ goals between them and champions league again. Question will be if some of our big players follow Isak’s precedent and we’re constantly having to replace our top talent, which eventually only ends one way

02.09.2025 06:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The dream: they win the champions league and he only plays the last few mins in a monumental huff

02.09.2025 06:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

You get the impression he needs to be treated like a precious perfect butterfly or he goes into lazy/strop mode. First time he has a run of poor form (which he definitely had for us)/doesn’t start a big game will be 🍿🍿🍿

02.09.2025 06:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

His stats have been boosted by how good we’ve been (which admittedly will raise again at Liverpool), and by him being the main goal scoring man and playing every possible minute (which he will absolutely not get with Ekitike and while Salah is about, their relationship gonna be mardy af)

02.09.2025 06:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah the thing I’m clinging to is the one season Wilson was fit for any length of time while Isak was here (admittedly Isak’s first in English football), he comprehensively outscored him (overall and per 90)

02.09.2025 06:14 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

We’ve ended up with the worst of both worlds. Playing billy big bollocks only to cave and accept a deal that was always there is objectively embarrassing. Gotta hope the owners feel some of that and buck their fucking ideas up

01.09.2025 11:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

There’s motivated reasoning on his part but he’s right. I’m of the Alex Ferguson/Ronaldo school of thought (not for sale to those fuckers, warn him explicitly he’ll rot in the stands if he remains in a huff, he can go next year for a record fee), but if you’re going to sell him, do it in July.

01.09.2025 11:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I think an underestimated factor behind the rise of open, old fashioned racism on the right is the legitimation of blood and soil nationalism by well-meaning but myopic parts of the identity politics left

01.09.2025 08:28 β€” πŸ‘ 24    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Dovbyk?

01.09.2025 06:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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What are β€˜solidarity payments’ here?

01.09.2025 05:28 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Our talent ID is clearly excellent. We have our lord and saviour Eddie Howe. The club’s decision making outside of that has been truly terrible. We don’t demand a senior management team that wins, we demand a senior management team that tries (simply existing would be a start)

01.09.2025 05:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Wider questions become louder: where’s progress on the new training ground? The new stadium? Director of football? CEO? Why are we not objecting more forcefully to flagrantly corrupt PSR? If decision making is so slow, how do you end up with series of decisions as bad as Guehi β€˜24 and Isak β€˜25?

01.09.2025 05:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Season killer unless, a la Woltemade, his/Wilson’s replacement is already on the plane to Newcastle and we just don’t know about it yet. Disastrous long term either way. Dreadful, embarrassing decision making at the highest level throughout, publicly shitting the bed for the second summer in a row.

01.09.2025 05:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

when is anderson coming home

19.08.2025 08:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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