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Charles Breton

@cbreton.bsky.social

Directeur/ED Centre d'excellence sur la fédération canadienne. centre.irpp.org

732 Followers  |  134 Following  |  85 Posts  |  Joined: 12.11.2024  |  1.8075

Latest posts by cbreton.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Êtes-vous favorable à la souveraineté... ET prêt à voter oui ? Si le camp souverainiste cherche un nouveau souffle, il le trouvera peut-être chez les jeunes électeurs — à condition de les convaincre de passer de l’idée à l’action.

100% d'accord. Voici de l'excellent travail, tout en nuance, de @338canada.bsky.social comme d'habitude:
www.qc125.ca/p/etes-vous-...

08.08.2025 19:29 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 3    📌 0

Without checking how she pronounces it, as a French speaker, I would definitely say the first syllable like the squi in squid. But you need to find the tréma on your keyboard. Maëva makes it even better!

01.08.2025 17:35 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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How should we shape industrial policy amid global shocks, climate urgency & economic transition? Join us Sept. 16 in Ottawa for a conference devoted to the key issues facing Canada.

With keynotes from @noahpinion.blogsky.venki.dev & Premier R.J. Simpson!

Register now! shorturl.at/Ljmy8

30.07.2025 14:11 — 👍 40    🔁 11    💬 2    📌 1
réponse de Foglia: je connais Gutierrez - Animal tropical, Trilogie sale de la Havane - je connais Gutierrez et c'est pas Bukowski. Bukowski c'est un écrivain.

réponse de Foglia: je connais Gutierrez - Animal tropical, Trilogie sale de la Havane - je connais Gutierrez et c'est pas Bukowski. Bukowski c'est un écrivain.

Je ne sais pas ce qui m'avait pris, mais j'avais osé lui envoyer une suggestion lecture, du haut de mes 19 ans. J'avais même avancé que ça ressemblait à du Bukowski, qu'il aimait tant. Ma joie de lire sa réponse...même si c'était pour me dire que j'étais dans le champ! Je viens de retrouver ça.

30.07.2025 14:48 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

Comme à chaque année je relisais des passages du recueil sur le Tour. Merci M. Foglia.

29.07.2025 22:38 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Canada’s Next Economic Transformation: Industrial Policy in Tumultuous Times - IRPP Join the Institute for Research on Public Policy for Canada’s Next Economic Transformation: Industrial Policy in Tumultuous Times, a one-day conference to be held in Ottawa on Tuesday, September 16. C...

Canada is facing urgent challenges. How should we shape industrial policy in an era of global shocks, climate urgency & economic transition?

Join us Sept. 16 in Ottawa for Canada’s Next Economic Transformation, with keynotes @noahpinion.blogsky.venki.dev & Premier R.J. Simpson!
irpp.org?p=20760

25.07.2025 17:49 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Resentment! Though I guess resentment is resilient?

24.07.2025 12:40 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

So like the Jets franchise actually being Utah while the current Jets are the Trashers?

24.07.2025 00:01 — 👍 5    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0
Graph show the distribution on the Resentment index for each province by provincial vote intentions.

Graph show the distribution on the Resentment index for each province by provincial vote intentions.

If you're curious about how this plays out in the other provinces, here are the distributions on the index based on provincial vote intentions. Here again we see the uniqueness of UCP voters. There is just no other group with such a one-sided distribution.

23.07.2025 18:06 — 👍 0    🔁 2    💬 2    📌 0
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I found this, but no idea if that meeting ever happened.

23.07.2025 19:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

but I don't know if they ever did and the invitation was accepted.

23.07.2025 19:43 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Excellent question! I don't know if this is the first time that a PM showed up to one of the two official CoF meetings (summer/winter). The CoF's founding agreement does mention that "The Council may decide from time to time to hold special meetings to which it may invite the Federal Government."

23.07.2025 19:43 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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A Less Resentful Federation? Findings from the 2025 Provincial Resentment Index - Centre of Excellence on the Canadian Federation The fourth edition of the Provincial Resentment Index shows that, on average, Canadians feel slightly less aggrieved about their province’s place in the federation than at any point since the index wa...

You can find the report here:
centre.irpp.org/research-stu...

23.07.2025 18:06 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Graph show the distribution on the Resentment index for each province by provincial vote intentions.

Graph show the distribution on the Resentment index for each province by provincial vote intentions.

If you're curious about how this plays out in the other provinces, here are the distributions on the index based on provincial vote intentions. Here again we see the uniqueness of UCP voters. There is just no other group with such a one-sided distribution.

23.07.2025 18:06 — 👍 0    🔁 2    💬 2    📌 0
Distribution on the resentment index for PQ and UCP voters. UCP voters are coalescing toward the right hand side of the resentment index (i.e. more resentment) much more than PQ voters. On the scale of -6 to 6, the average for PQ voters is 2.3 while UCP voters are at 3.9.

Distribution on the resentment index for PQ and UCP voters. UCP voters are coalescing toward the right hand side of the resentment index (i.e. more resentment) much more than PQ voters. On the scale of -6 to 6, the average for PQ voters is 2.3 while UCP voters are at 3.9.

In our Resilient Index piece we mention how Parti québécois voters in Quebec and UCP voters in Alberta have different outlooks when it comes to resentment towards their province's place in the federation, with UCP voters being much more resentful.

23.07.2025 18:06 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 2

The vision that Benoit Pelletier and Jean Charest had when they initiated CoF in the early 2000s was for it do more than that. And I think it initially did. But yes, the need for consensus and a secretariat with no capacity largely constrained what CoF can do/achieve.

23.07.2025 17:47 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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Moins de ressentiment dans la fédération ? Résultats de l’indice de ressentiment provincial 2025 - Centre of Excellence on the Canadian Federation La quatrième édition de l’indice de ressentiment provincial montre qu’en moyenne, les Canadiens se sentent légèrement moins lésés quant à la place de leur province dans la fédération qu’à tout moment ...

Pour tous les détails de ce papier avec @olijacques.bsky.social et @parkinac.bsky.social, c'est ici:
centre.irpp.org/fr/research-...

21.07.2025 17:14 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Un élément qui n'a pas beaucoup changé, c'est le ressentiment à l'égard de la contribution du Québec. Voici comment chaque province évalue (en moyenne) la contribution du Québec (les options étant: moins que sa juste part, environ sa juste part, plus que sa juste part).

21.07.2025 17:14 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Distribution provinciale de l’indice de ressentiment. Dans l’ordre, de la plus "mécontente" à la moins "mécontente" : Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador, Saskatchewan, Alberta, Québec, Colombie-Britannique, Nouveau-Brunswick, Manitoba, Nouvelle-Écosse, Île-du-Prince-Édouard, Ontario. L’Alberta se distingue aussi par une distribution fortement bimodale, la moyenne se situant dans le “creux” entre deux “pics”.

Distribution provinciale de l’indice de ressentiment. Dans l’ordre, de la plus "mécontente" à la moins "mécontente" : Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador, Saskatchewan, Alberta, Québec, Colombie-Britannique, Nouveau-Brunswick, Manitoba, Nouvelle-Écosse, Île-du-Prince-Édouard, Ontario. L’Alberta se distingue aussi par une distribution fortement bimodale, la moyenne se situant dans le “creux” entre deux “pics”.

Il faut noter par contre que le ressentiment ne s'exprime pas de la même façon dans chaque province, les profils sont fort différents. L'Alberta en particulier est très polarisée. Le Québec, lui, se retrouve quatrième, dans un groupe de provinces à la moyenne à peu près identique.

21.07.2025 17:14 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Graphique en lignes montrant les tendances par province de l’indice de ressentiment au cours des quatre dernières années. Il est en baisse partout sauf à Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador (en hausse) et en Colombie-Britannique (stable).

Graphique en lignes montrant les tendances par province de l’indice de ressentiment au cours des quatre dernières années. Il est en baisse partout sauf à Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador (en hausse) et en Colombie-Britannique (stable).

Nouveau papier sur l'indice de ressentiment provincial. L'indice est basé sur des questions touchant à la perception des gens quant à la place de leur province dans la fédération. Le ressentiment est légèrement en baisse à l'échelle nationale et dans 8 provinces sur 10 (C-B stable, T-N-L hausse).

21.07.2025 17:14 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

This was done with @parkinac.bsky.social and @olijacques.bsky.social and is based on the larger CoT surveys which incidentally released another report today that Andrew posted earlier:
bsky.app/profile/park...

21.07.2025 16:50 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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A Less Resentful Federation? Findings from the 2025 Provincial Resentment Index - Centre of Excellence on the Canadian Federation The fourth edition of the Provincial Resentment Index shows that, on average, Canadians feel slightly less aggrieved about their province’s place in the federation than at any point since the index wa...

Read more in the full report:
centre.irpp.org/research-stu...

21.07.2025 16:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Provincial distribution of the resentment index. In order, from most resentful to least, Newfoundland and Labrador, Saskatchewan, Alberta, Quebec, British Columbia, New Brunswick, Manitoba, Nova Scotia, PEI, Ontario. Alberta is also the most bimodal with the average being in the "valley" between two "peaks".

Provincial distribution of the resentment index. In order, from most resentful to least, Newfoundland and Labrador, Saskatchewan, Alberta, Quebec, British Columbia, New Brunswick, Manitoba, Nova Scotia, PEI, Ontario. Alberta is also the most bimodal with the average being in the "valley" between two "peaks".

That said, lots of variation in the distribution of the resentment index within provinces, as seen below. Many provinces have a bimodal distribution (two peaks), but none more than Alberta, where the average hides a very polarized province.

21.07.2025 16:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 1
Line graph showing trends by province on the resentment index over the last four years. It's down everywhere except Newfoundland and Labrador (up) and BC (stable).

Line graph showing trends by province on the resentment index over the last four years. It's down everywhere except Newfoundland and Labrador (up) and BC (stable).

New report on the "Provincial Resentment index" - essentially a series of questions measuring how people view their province's place in the Canadian Federation. These have been part of our Confederation of Tomorrow surveys for the last four years. Resentment is down! But only slightly.

21.07.2025 16:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Report #2 from the 2025 edition of the Confederation of tomorrow annual surveys.

21.07.2025 13:02 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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My Dumoulin Moment - Michael Woods - Pro Cyclist On stage 17 of the 2017 Giro, I found myself halfway up, on what was our second ascent of, the iconic Stelvio. I had been dropped from the break, and then dropped from the chasing peloton. I was compl...

Michael Woods is a must read during the Tour. From making a playlist for a stage to riding a time trial without trying too much, to using someone's RV for well... read it for yourself.

cc @baumann.bsky.social

michaelwoods.cc/my-dumoulin-...

15.07.2025 14:04 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

All of this to say: looking forward to part II!

03.07.2025 19:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

ChatGPT keeps giving me different answers on most D+ for a stage, but it looks like that one is in the top 5 ever.

03.07.2025 19:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

Great as always. Was listening to an ex-rider (équipier on a French team) talking about how guys like him will have nightmares for two weeks straight just thinking about Stage 18. Going back to the race book every day : "is this real? are we really doing that?".

03.07.2025 19:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 1

The latest edition of the Confederation of Tomorrow annual survey shows that Canadians haven’t changed their mind on provincial protectionism.

Read cbreton.bsky.social and parkinac.bsky.social's latest piece!

30.06.2025 16:12 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

@cbreton is following 19 prominent accounts