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Tarnell Brown

@eccentricecon.com.bsky.social

51 Followers  |  19 Following  |  288 Posts  |  Joined: 02.12.2024  |  1.9768

Latest posts by eccentricecon.com on Bluesky


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Replication Notes: Tariffs, Time, and Constitutional Incentives Mapping the time horizon of tariff authority, economic costs, and institutional review

#Tariffs #TradePolicy #Constitution #EconTwitter #TrumpTariffs
www.eccentricecon.com/p/replicatio...

25.02.2026 15:05 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Replication Notes: Tariffs, Time, and Constitutional Incentives Mapping the time horizon of tariff authority, economic costs, and institutional review

5️⃣ For trade‑law and econ nerds: my replication notes pair with Independent Institute coverage of Trump’s new tariffs, Section 122’s 150‑day clock, and what timing shocks do to global supply chains.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/replicatio...

25.02.2026 15:05 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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Replication Notes: Tariffs, Time, and Constitutional Incentives Mapping the time horizon of tariff authority, economic costs, and institutional review

4️⃣ If tariffs are a tax, Congress is supposed to be in charge. Tariffs, Time, and the Constitution + my replication notes connect that constitutional point to actual tariff‑path data.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/replicatio...

25.02.2026 15:05 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Replication Notes: Tariffs, Time, and Constitutional Incentives Mapping the time horizon of tariff authority, economic costs, and institutional review

3️⃣ The Court said tariffs under IEEPA were unconstitutional, and Trump pivoted to Section 122. My replication notes track how that legal switch changes the economics of timing, incidence, and credibility.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/replicatio...

25.02.2026 15:05 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Replication Notes: Tariffs, Time, and Constitutional Incentives Mapping the time horizon of tariff authority, economic costs, and institutional review

2️⃣ Tariffs aren’t just “high vs low.” In my notes on Tariffs, Time, and the Constitution, I show why the path of Trump’s 10→15% tariff matters more than the headline.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/replicatio...

25.02.2026 15:05 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Replication Notes: Tariffs, Time, and Constitutional Incentives Mapping the time horizon of tariff authority, economic costs, and institutional review

1️⃣ Replication notes for “Tariffs, Time, and the Constitution” (www.independent.org/article/2026...): I unpack the tariff‑timing model behind Trump’s new global tariff play and the Supreme Court’s IEEPA smackdown.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/replicatio...

25.02.2026 15:05 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Don’t Put Your Faith in Princes — But Do Notice When the Right Ones Win Why Hernando de Soto Represents Hope in Institutions, Not Heroes

#DeSoto #PropertyRights #ClassicalLiberalism #RuleOfLaw #LatinAmerica
www.eccentricecon.com/p/dont-put-y...

24.02.2026 23:02 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Don’t Put Your Faith in Princes — But Do Notice When the Right Ones Win Why Hernando de Soto Represents Hope in Institutions, Not Heroes

5️⃣ If we’re going to jump on a bandwagon, let it be legal personhood and enforceable rights, not personality cults in a laissez‑faire mask.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/dont-put-y...

24.02.2026 23:02 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Don’t Put Your Faith in Princes — But Do Notice When the Right Ones Win Why Hernando de Soto Represents Hope in Institutions, Not Heroes

4️⃣ De Soto’s agenda can still fail or be co‑opted, but at least it fails inside a framework we can defend on principle.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/dont-put-y...

24.02.2026 23:02 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Don’t Put Your Faith in Princes — But Do Notice When the Right Ones Win Why Hernando de Soto Represents Hope in Institutions, Not Heroes

3️⃣ Hope belongs in institutions, not in politicians—especially not ones who centralize power while calling it “freedom.”
www.eccentricecon.com/p/dont-put-y...

24.02.2026 23:02 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Don’t Put Your Faith in Princes — But Do Notice When the Right Ones Win Why Hernando de Soto Represents Hope in Institutions, Not Heroes

2️⃣ Milei bet on emergency decrees and baton liberalism; de Soto bets on titles, registries, and rule of law for the poor.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/dont-put-y...

24.02.2026 23:02 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Don’t Put Your Faith in Princes — But Do Notice When the Right Ones Win Why Hernando de Soto Represents Hope in Institutions, Not Heroes

1️⃣ Classical liberals didn’t need a libertarian strongman; we could’ve waited for a property‑rights reformer like de Soto.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/dont-put-y...

24.02.2026 23:02 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Tariffs, Time, and the Constitution: News Article - Independent Institute Trump’s latest tariff maneuvers defy economic logic and the Constitution. Explore why the misuse of IEEPA and Section 122 is ripe for a major legal challenge.

#Tariffs #Constitution #EconomicLiberty #TradePolicy #SeparationOfPowers
www.independent.org/article/2026...

23.02.2026 20:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Tariffs, Time, and the Constitution: News Article - Independent Institute Trump’s latest tariff maneuvers defy economic logic and the Constitution. Explore why the misuse of IEEPA and Section 122 is ripe for a major legal challenge.

5️⃣ If you care about constitutional governance and economic liberty in U.S. trade policy, this piece is for you:
www.independent.org/article/2026...

23.02.2026 20:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Tariffs, Time, and the Constitution: News Article - Independent Institute Trump’s latest tariff maneuvers defy economic logic and the Constitution. Explore why the misuse of IEEPA and Section 122 is ripe for a major legal challenge.

4️⃣ I connect the legal questions to real-world harms, from higher consumer prices to uncertainty for businesses that depend on stable, rules-based trade.
www.independent.org/article/2026...

23.02.2026 20:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Tariffs, Time, and the Constitution: News Article - Independent Institute Trump’s latest tariff maneuvers defy economic logic and the Constitution. Explore why the misuse of IEEPA and Section 122 is ripe for a major legal challenge.

3️⃣ I show how a global across-the-board tariff collides with both economic logic and the framers’ vision of Congress—not the president—as the branch that imposes taxes.
www.independent.org/article/2026...

23.02.2026 20:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Tariffs, Time, and the Constitution: News Article - Independent Institute Trump’s latest tariff maneuvers defy economic logic and the Constitution. Explore why the misuse of IEEPA and Section 122 is ripe for a major legal challenge.

2️⃣ I explain why using emergency tools like IEEPA for routine trade policy erodes the Constitution’s design and turns temporary “emergencies” into permanent tariff policy.
www.independent.org/article/2026...

23.02.2026 20:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Tariffs, Time, and the Constitution: News Article - Independent Institute Trump’s latest tariff maneuvers defy economic logic and the Constitution. Explore why the misuse of IEEPA and Section 122 is ripe for a major legal challenge.

1️⃣ In this article for The Independent Institute, I unpack how Trump’s new tariff moves test the limits of constitutional taxing power and separation of powers.
www.independent.org/article/2026...

23.02.2026 20:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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When Correction Looks Like Failure Institutional Learning and the Paradox of Democratic Responsiveness

#democracy #institutions #politicaleconomy #populism #governance
www.eccentricecon.com/p/when-corre...

20.02.2026 18:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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When Correction Looks Like Failure Institutional Learning and the Paradox of Democratic Responsiveness

5️⃣ The real challenge for liberal democracy is preserving conditions for institutional learning in a world that increasingly distrusts any form of slowness or restraint.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/when-corre...

20.02.2026 18:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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When Correction Looks Like Failure Institutional Learning and the Paradox of Democratic Responsiveness

4️⃣ As those guardrails erode, learning degrades and capture becomes easier, confirming the original perception that institutions are broken.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/when-corre...

20.02.2026 18:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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When Correction Looks Like Failure Institutional Learning and the Paradox of Democratic Responsiveness

3️⃣ Pushing for faster fixes can unintentionally weaken the constraints — independence, procedure, limited discretion — that make real correction possible.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/when-corre...

20.02.2026 18:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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When Correction Looks Like Failure Institutional Learning and the Paradox of Democratic Responsiveness

2️⃣ When citizens see problems persist despite “expert management,” it’s rational to conclude that institutions have stopped learning.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/when-corre...

20.02.2026 18:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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When Correction Looks Like Failure Institutional Learning and the Paradox of Democratic Responsiveness

1️⃣ Institutional failure doesn’t always look like chaos; sometimes it looks like nothing changing at all.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/when-corre...

20.02.2026 18:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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McArdle’s Libertarian “Polemic” Was Really a Mechanism Failure How a paleolibertarian takeover turned a liberal party into a political vehicle

#PublicChoice #MechanismDesign #LibertarianParty #PoliticalInstitutions #MinorParties #EconTwitter
www.eccentricecon.com/p/mcardles-l...

16.02.2026 16:40 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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McArdle’s Libertarian “Polemic” Was Really a Mechanism Failure How a paleolibertarian takeover turned a liberal party into a political vehicle

5️⃣ Lesson: liberal institutions survive only if rules bind their friends as well as their enemies. Once the guardrails break, the mechanism won’t save you.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/mcardles-l...

16.02.2026 16:40 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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McArdle’s Libertarian “Polemic” Was Really a Mechanism Failure How a paleolibertarian takeover turned a liberal party into a political vehicle

4️⃣ The Mises Caucus didn’t just change the platform; it repurposed a liberal party into a factional vehicle by treating bylaws as elastic and oversight as optional.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/mcardles-l...

16.02.2026 16:40 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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McArdle’s Libertarian “Polemic” Was Really a Mechanism Failure How a paleolibertarian takeover turned a liberal party into a political vehicle

3️⃣ When leadership courts Trump while slow-walking its own nominee, you’re not seeing “big tent” politics—you’re seeing principal–agent failure in real time.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/mcardles-l...

16.02.2026 16:40 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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McArdle’s Libertarian “Polemic” Was Really a Mechanism Failure How a paleolibertarian takeover turned a liberal party into a political vehicle

2️⃣ A joint RFK Jr. fundraising deal routed millions through LP infrastructure while leaving the party with scraps. That’s not strategy; that’s a broken screening mechanism.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/mcardles-l...

16.02.2026 16:40 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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McArdle’s Libertarian “Polemic” Was Really a Mechanism Failure How a paleolibertarian takeover turned a liberal party into a political vehicle

1️⃣ Minor parties don’t just have bad candidates; they have bad mechanisms—and the LP is a case study in adverse selection and moral hazard.
www.eccentricecon.com/p/mcardles-l...

16.02.2026 16:40 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

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