Mark Regets

You are definitely a "The Bulwark" type of person. (Yes, that is a compliment.)

People of Illinois, we need your help.

Get your cell phones out – record what you see. Put it on social media. Peacefully ask for badge numbers and identification. Speak up for your neighbors.

We need to let the world know this is happening – and that we won’t stand for it.

The statistics for different periods have been shown in several NSF pubs

Regets MC. "Research Issues in the International Migration of Highly Skilled Workers: A Perspective with Data from the United States". SRS 07-203, National Science Foundation, 2007
wayback.archive-it.org/5902/2016021...

Opinion | Ta-Nehisi Coates on Bridging Gaps vs. Drawing Lines

Since people on both Bluesky and X are posting selected excerpts from the Coates/Klein discussion (and using them to attack either one person or the other), I thought I would post the full unlocked gift article.

www.nytimes.com/2025/09/28/o...

NSF/NCSES has matchable longitudinal data on graduate student enrollment for each campus/field combination. Not only is an additional foreign student associated with more US-born students, but the positive effect is strongest for US-born ethnic minorities.

Over the long-term it might not be in the national interest to favor older scientists and engineers over younger, even if they are initially paid more.

Also, while the option is not currently politically viable, it would make more sense to expand quotas—we are rationing for an artificial scarcity.

Viktor Orban has made Hungary one of the poorest countries in the EU
www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...

I know it seems bizzare, but Kimmel being removed under FCC pressure is a bigger threat to America's survival as a free country than the troops on DC's streets.

Contrary to Trump/Vance rhetoric, illegal drugs are the ONLY thing foreign-made they are NOT trying to keep out of the US.

Prices on cocaine are falling while coffee and vegetable prices surge.

American Constitutional institutions are cracking. Conservatives and Liberals need those institutions, and we must save them.

It's no secret our immigration system needs fixing.

That's why New Dems built a framework for securing our borders & reforming our immigration system—and we'll work with anyone to put it into practice.

New Dem chair @repschneider.bsky.social explains ⬇️

Incredible. Trump drags the reputation of a highly regarded economist, first Black woman to be a Fed gov, thru the mud claiming she committed mortgage fraud. But the documents his appointee to run Fannie & Freddie got for him & that he said showed fraud don’t actually say that.

Over 40% of arrests in Trump's DC law enforcement surge relate to immigration, AP analysis finds President Donald Trump has portrayed his federal law enforcement surge in Washington as a crime-fighting effort.

In a period roughly coinciding with the federal takeover of DC, ICE arrested 943 immigrants in DC, making up about 40% of the overall more than 2,300 arrests. Data from a subset of those cases suggest only a minority (22% in that sample) of the immigrants arrested had any criminal record.

Increased non-response by immigrants seems likely, but there are 3 countervailing factors:
—Non-response reweighting by age/sex/ethnicity PARTIALLY corrects for this.
—Lower net migration than expected will artificially raise the estimate of BOTH NB and FB still here.
—Lack of seasonal adjustment.

New NFAP Policy Brief: U.S. Labor Force Analysis for August 2025 - NFAP

What little I have formally written is just that the fall is statistically significant even given the huge CPS standard errors (see nfap.com/research/new...) and this is instead of the increases we would have expected from Census estimates (let alone the 2m net migration CBO assumes for 2025).

Thank you Michael, but I put in my years at a Federal statistical agency. 🤔 Perhaps your turn.

We are more talking nuance than disagreeing with each other.

I agree that the NB increase is a data quirk, and the magnitude of FB changes unclear.

But I do fear that the CPS data is sufficient to raise a very big red flag about the labor force.

I know. It is scary that Census, SSA, and CBO have vastly different assumptions on the likely 2025 change in the FB population (with Census the lowest), but all 3 were expecting growth.

Another nuance here is that the CPS FB labor force numbers are not seasonally adjusted, and summer should be peak

I agree with all the caveats, but note that the CPS procedure to reweight to Census population estimates causes both non-response by immigrants who are still here AND by immigrants who have left to increase the weights of both immigrants and natives who do respond.

Immigration Has Declined, But No Evidence U.S. Workers Are Better Off A decline in the foreign-born labor force has not improved the fortunes of U.S.-born workers, despite assurances by Trump officials.

It turns out Stephen Miller was incorrect. “The significant drop in foreign-born workers to the United States in 2025 has not made U.S. workers better off and instead has contributed to concerns about a stagnating economy.” @mclem.org @douglasrivlin.bsky.social
www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

Nitpicks aside, I like this plan enough to contribute to their PAC. newdemactionfund.com

Too few people seem to realize that moderate Democrats have the largest caucus in Congress and the most swing seats at stake.

Trump Orders Major Expansion of National Guard’s Role in Law Enforcement

The US President has ordered the creation of ”specialized” military units to “quell civil disturbances” in all 50 of our states.

Military units under his personal control.

Deployed across our homeland, in peacetime.

Little time is left to stop this insanity.

New Dems are proud to announce that we just released our Immigration & Border Security Framework.

This is a roadmap for how we can enact meaningful, commonsense legislation that'll help secure our borders & modernize our immigration system.

Read it ⤵️

newdemocratcoalition.house.gov/imo/media/do...

There are parts I would argue with, but in broad strokes it is a sane alternative to Trump's domestic war:
—Expand legal immigration
—Give a path forward for those long here without problem
—Enforce our laws fairly, efficiently, and hunanely

It serves America's economy and America's ideals.

The Full List of Countries That Have Updated Their US Travel Guidance From Canada to China, more than a dozen countries are advising their citizens about travel to the US. Here's why—and how it's impacting tourism.

Countries that now have travel warnings discouraging their citizens from traveling here:

Australia
Belgium
Canada
China
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Ireland
Netherlands
New Zealand
Portugal
United Kingdom

www.cntraveler.com/story/which-...

Immigration Data Show Steep Decline In Arriving International Students Immigration data on the arrival of international students in July show a significant decline compared to a year earlier.

Immigration data on the arrival of international students in July show a significant decline compared to a year earlier, including a drop of almost 50% for students from India. www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

Bill, have you EVER been called a "hippie" before?

I have to wonder if the reported drop in reported crime (using "reported" twice seems justified in this case) involves a greater reluctance to call the police. Certainly the undocumented crime victims have a reason to stop calling.

Less Than One Third of Americans View Tariffs Favorably Polling report on perceptions of tariffs and President Trump’s priorities as costs increase for everyday Americans.

Dear Democrats:

Tariffs are really unpopular: 31% favorable, 59% unfavorable.

Attack Trump’s tariffs.

Thank you for your attention to this matter!

WK

navigatorresearch.org/less-than-on...