Max

The primary she’ll get past no problem. Just the general that im a bit worried about. Something to keep an eye out for if there are more high quality polls over the next 6 months. Don’t want to just rely on the belief of a nationwide blue wave will automatically shift all races to safe B forecasts.

But having a well known former dem turned independent splitting the vote opens up scenarios where a REP could win even with the overall generic ballot being very high nationally for DEM. Would be interested to see if there is a concentrated campaign to get him to drop out of the race

Agree about the manipulation of the perception of the race from dubious polling.

Not trying to be adversarial. I hope you’re right. Just saying that folks should not be complacent with a race that should otherwise be a slam dunk. Tariffs move the dial a little bit but there is a contingent of voters who that doesn’t make a difference for or are disconnected from reality

Different dynamics and different state. Weird things could happen with a third candidate who could split the dem vote. Benson is a great candidate and she had a super strong electoral over performance in 2022. But the takeaway is that this race could get really dicey

Idk this might be an accurate reflection of where this race is at the moment

We can’t have a single week of good vibes can we

let’s goo

how are 18-25 year old men have drastically higher favorables for teachers unions and socialism? weird poll

Anyone have any info on Hart Research? This seems like a promising poll

Coming from a Michigander it’s for sure McMorrow or El-Sayed. I’m not sure yet for me it depends at the end of the day on electability. But outside of that I prefer El-Sayed on policy

I think we might be missing someone else?

Duggan needs to drop out this is ridiculous

There you have it

Are there ratings for these polls and poll groups? Any known political affiliations?

This is fascinating use of polling that has no real world application

So... Matt Hall and Donald Trump's Secretary of Education showed up at Renaissance High School in Detroit today.

They’re on their “returning education to the states” tour.

Just one problem - because of Hall and Republicans, our schools still don’t have a budget.

(It was due July 1st)

Does this map consider redistricting in Texas, California, Utah, Indiana, Florida and Missouri?

?? Am I missing something? I feel like there are other things to call him out on like homelessness and California’s housing crisis. Queer rights is one of his strong suits imao

There is a senate race and a gubernatorial race in 2026 for TX. Both need to be competitive to have a shot in Texas. Talarico should be a shoe in for one of them. O’Rourke should be given another chance for the other. But coordination is needed

What a giant pussy

2026 Michigan US senate race: Q2 funds

Mallory McMorrow: $2,145,452 🪙
Abdul El-Sayed: $1,797,505 🪙
Haley Stevens: $1,399,886*
Mike Rogers: $745,170
Joe Tate: $192,821 🪙

🪙 = no corporate/insurance PAC money
*Q2 House funds included

Former Speaker of the Michigan State House from 2023-2025, Joe Tate (age 44) is reportedly taking steps in preparation for a US Senate campaign in Michigan

He would join
🔵 Mallory McMorrow (age 38)
🔵 Abdul El Sayed (age 40)
🔵 Haley Stevens (age 41)

Haley Stevens eyes open Michigan Senate seat The centrist Democrat would be a strong contender, but she's not the only one considering the newly open seat.

www.politico.com/news/2025/02...

Pleasantly surprised to see @aoc.bsky.social so high up.

💡it’s important to note that such early polling often just reflects name recognition and that much can change between now and 2028. Think 2026 midterm or any Trump related crises. But this does showcase AOC’s growing influence in the party

In collaboration with Zeteo, Data for Progress conducted a poll of likely Democratic primary voters to analyze the current state of the #2028 #Democratic #Primary field

Amazing thank you!!

Is there polling available without Harris?

The same people in DC who got us into this mess are not going to be the ones to get us out of it.

Today I'm announcing my campaign for U.S. Senate.

Because we don't have a minute to wait.