Setu

Bawuypawuy - Original Mix/Extended Dub, by Drifting Clouds 2 track album

The Bandcamp app has gotten really great. Fun to rediscover the joy of collecting albums, slowly, again.

dddriftingcloudsss.bandcamp.com/album/bawuyp...

New paper today in GMD describing the Sea Level Rise module in the process-based FRIDA IAM, to examine the role of SLR impacts and adaptation in future scenarios. Also given as a standalone SLR model named FRISIA! Huge shoutout to Lennart Ramme for leading this

gmd.copernicus.org/articles/18/...

Good decision :) I'm half way through. Gratuitous descriptions of tipping elements await.

Call for abstracts - EGU 2026 session ITS3.6/ERE6.5 on justice and social science and humanities (SSH) integration in climate modelling. We invite work linking SSH and IAMs on justice, labour, needs, power, governance and Global South perspectives. Submit (by 15 Jan 2026) via https://www.egu26.eu/session/57677

Call for abstracts - EGU 2026 session ITS3.6/ERE6.5 on justice and social science and humanities (SSH) integration in climate modelling. We invite work linking SSH and IAMs on justice, labour, needs, power, governance and Global South perspectives. Submit (by 15 Jan 2026) www.egu26.eu/session/57677

"One of the workshop’s shared diagnoses was that the climate movement must broaden its struggle beyond carbon. This means organising around people’s material realities while confronting the elites and corporations driving destruction."

theecologist.org/2025/nov/12/...

Do climate conferences actually achieve anything? A lot of people have strong opinions, but we wanted measurements, so we look at how the stock market moves during yearly international meetings called COPs – explanation below, or read the paper here:
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

ICTP has issued a call for IPCC AR7 Chapter Scientists, with funding for developing country candidates from Wellcome. Kumaran Kadirgama and I will be serving as CLAs for the WGIII Industry chapter, and we would welcome good candidates. Deadline Oct 18 @ipcc.bsky.social www.ictp.it/opportunity/...

The status quo here in Australia. Sadly.

EU countries delay deal on new climate goal, diplomats say European Union countries have shelved plans to approve a new climate change target next week, after pushback from governments including France and Germany over plans to quickly land a deal, three EU diplomats told Reuters on Friday.

Going backwards down a slippery slope - "To attempt to win over sceptical countries, diplomats are discussing options including covering a bigger share of the target with carbon credits..."

www.reuters.com/sustainabili...

flat10MIP: an emissions-driven experiment to diagnose the climate response to positive, zero and negative CO2 emissions Abstract. The proportionality between global mean temperature and cumulative emissions of CO2 predicted in Earth system models (ESMs) is the foundation of carbon budgeting frameworks. Deviations from ...

Our finalised paper on flat10MIP is finally up in GMD! This is the experimental protocol which allows for a simple, emissions-driven evaluation of TCRE, ZEC and climate reversibility in CMIP7. Thanks so much to all who ran these simulations as a proof of concept! gmd.copernicus.org/articles/18/...

A prudent planetary limit for geologic carbon storage - Nature A risk-based, spatially explicit analysis of carbon storage in sedimentary basins establishes a prudent planetary limit of around 1,460 Gt of geological carbon storage, which requires making explicit ...

Our paper is out today in @nature.com where we assess a Prudent Planetary Limit for Geologic Carbon Storage:

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

In a new piece for @granthamicl.bsky.social, @frediotto.bsky.social and I unpack the significance of the ICJ’s landmark advisory opinion.

We reflect on how it reshapes the legal framing of climate action and what it means for states’ obligations going forward.

Heat kills, more than we think and we can see. Heat intensified by climate change kills even more. For the 1st time, we conducted a rapid impact attribution study looking at the additional deaths that occurred due to climate change across 12 cities in Europe, in close to real-time: shorturl.at/mv6ms

*** Faktencheck***
In der Generaldebatte im Bundestag sprach Bundeskanzler Friedrich #Merz auch zum Klimaschutz. Er sagte:
"Selbst wenn wir alle morgen klimaneutral wären, würde keine einzige Naturkatastrophe weniger geschehen". Ein Faktencheck.
1/

Introducing FRIDA v2.1: A feedback-based, fully coupled, global integrated assessment model of climate and humans Abstract. The current crop of models assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to produce their assessment reports lack endogenous process-based representations of climate-drive...

Including a climate module and climate damages within a process-based integrated assessment model: meet FRIDA.

egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...

Colonial extraction and unequal exchange have shaped two centuries of North-South inequality.
A thread on the new study written with @gatonievas.bsky.social
[A thread 1/8🧵]

Call for abstracts – now open! As the world edges closer to surpassing the 1.5°C global warming threshold, it's time to confront the risks of climate overshoot.
Join leading scientists at the first-ever Overshoot Conference, hosted by IIASA. iiasa.ac.at/events/sep-2... @carlschleussner.bsky.social

A geospatial perspective on electrification strategy in urbanizing Africa Efforts to achieve Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 7, to ensure modern energy for all, have largely followed models of rural electrification premis…

Institutional frameworks and electrification planning models will need to evolve beyond the rural-urban binary to keep pace with these urbanization dynamics. Check out the paper for more detail (open access) here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

A figure describing unelectrified populations by Urban-Rural Catchment Area (URCA) categories. The x-axis is ordinal, describing the URCA categories from within the urban core to the hinterlands. The y-axis is the percent of total unelectrified. The points are coloured by focus countries, with all others left as grey. The size of the points reflect the absolute unelectrified population. We can see the majority of the unelectrified population is found in categories that reflect at most 1 hour travel time to medium- and large cities.

Choropleth maps of the DRC and Ethiopia, describing the unelectrified population (people / square km) and highlighting major cities.

Our analysis identifies critical regions where this ‘gap’ is most acute, notably coastal West Africa, Ethiopian highlands, and the Great Lakes region encompassing Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and the DRC.

Institutional responsibilities and regulatory frameworks also often remain rigidly divided between rural electrification agencies and urban governance bodies. This rigidity creates jurisdictional gaps, potentially leaving large peri-urban and newly urbanizing areas underserved.

Least-cost electrification planning models typically rely on binary rural/urban delineation for demand estimation and sometimes for supply decisions. Such assumptions significantly influence technology choice, potentially misallocating resources by failing to capture emerging urbanization dynamics.

We find that 62% of the unelectrified population lives within or near expanding urban areas, especially in peri-urban zones surrounding smaller and medium-sized cities. This questions the notion of the majority ‘rural unelectrified’ and the binary urban-rural delineation in electrification efforts.

A figure describing the workflow from data preprocessing of various spatial datasets to their combination identifying the unelectrified by URCA category across all countries in Sub-Saharan Africa.

We combine the Urban Rural Catchment Area (URCA) framework with satellite derived spatial electrification datasets to highlight spatial patterns in electricity access gaps.

A map of Sub-Saharan Africa, visualising the unelectrified population using circles sized by population (1000 people / 20 km) and coloured by electrification rate. The inset plots show the Gulf of Guinea, the Ethiopian Highlands and the African Great Lakes region.

A image of the title page.

Urbanization trends are reshaping human settlement patterns and energy needs. Our recent (open access) work, led by Jessica Kersey and Samuel Miles, explores these dynamics across countries in Sub-Saharan Africa 🧵

Study highlights disproportionate climate risk to children worldwide A new study has found that children born today are likely to experience significantly more exposure to extreme climate events over their lifetime than previous generations - unless global greenhouse g...

Our recent @nature.com study highlights disproportionate climate risk to children worldwide. This is the first outcome of the @erc.europa.eu Consolidator Grant "LAgrangian Climate Risk and IMpact Attribution" (LACRIMA). A big thanks to the ERC for the support. erc.europa.eu/news-events/...

Born into the Climate Crisis 2. An unprecedented life: Protecting children’s rights in a changing climate | Save the Children’s Resource Centre The climate crisis is not a distant threat; it is a pressing reality that children are facing today. Despite having contributed the least to the climate crisis, the inherent intergenerational injustic...

Will you live an unprecedented life?

In our new paper in @nature.com and accompanying @savethechildren.org report, we detect who will face unprecedented lifetime exposure to climate extremes (🧵) 1/n
Report: resourcecentre.savethechildren.net/document/bor...
Paper: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide - Nature Climate Change While climate injustice is widely recognized, a quantification of how emissions inequality translates into unequal accountability is still lacking. Here researchers examine how affluent groups disprop...

"... [the] 1% and 0.1%, whose transboundary contributions to worsening local extremes arise primarily through investments, rather than consumption...

... [efforts] should also consider the shared responsibilities of governments to expedite systemic changes in financial and regulatory structures"

Runaway inequalities are a fundamental challenge to meeting climate ambition. In a new study, we trace transboundary harms attributable to high wealth individuals worldwide - 🧵 by lead author @sarahschoengart.bsky.social 👇

🌎 The wealthiest 10% of the global population have been responsible for two-thirds of global warming since 1990, according to new research published in Nature Climate Change.
Read more 🔗 iiasa.ac.at/news/may-202...
@carlschleussner.bsky.social @ethzurich.bsky.social

NEW – Two-thirds of global warming since 1990 caused by world’s ‘wealthiest 10%’

✍️ by @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org

💬 with comment from Sarah Schöngart @carlschleussner.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @wimthiery.bsky.social

Read here ➡️ buff.ly/0Se78bM