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RoguePollster

@roguepollster.bsky.social

aka Dina Smeltz. International polling expert, senior fellow of public opinion and foreign policy at The Chicago Council, film fanatic, chihuahua whisperer, explorer

116 Followers  |  123 Following  |  26 Posts  |  Joined: 25.10.2023  |  1.755

Latest posts by roguepollster.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Republicans Favor Trump Approach to Israel-Hamas War But as the humanitarian crisis in Gaza worsens, Democrats and Independents say US support for Israel has gone too far.

Please check out our analysis here and let us know if you have any questions or comments globalaffairs.org/research/pub...

18.09.2025 15:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Growing number of Americans say U.S. supports Israel too much in Gaza war, poll shows Republicans stand apart in backing U.S. support for Israel during the war in Gaza.

@washingtonpost.com reporter @sammywestfall.bsky.social covered our recent survey on US views toward Israel-Gaza war. Republicans far apart from other Americans in attitudes.

18.09.2025 15:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Future of Multilateralism: UN80 and Beyond CΓ©cile Shea, Juliet Sorensen, Ian Hurd, and Paul Poast discuss the evolution and future of multilateralism through the lens of the United Nations' 80th anniversary.

On Monday, I'm moderating this @global-affairs.bsky.social panel on the Future of the United Nations and Multilaterialism. It's going to be a great discussion. For those interested and in the Chicago area, hope you can make it!

globalaffairs.org/events/futur...

18.09.2025 11:41 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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American sympathy for Israel reaches "all-time low" in new poll The survey also comes as tensions heat up between Israel and Iran and concerns Israel could launch a strike on Tehran's nuclear plants.

"[Israel's] policy toward the Palestinians, especially in the ongoing military action in Gaza, seems to have squandered a great deal of American supportβ€”especially among younger generations and nonwhite Americans," the Council's @roguepollster.bsky.social told @newsweek.com. brnw.ch/21wTmqa

12.06.2025 21:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Americans Reject Idea of a Russian Sphere of Influence in Europe Most Americans believe the United States has too many interests in Europe to let any one country dominate the region.

"Putin may not be the only leader interested in returning to a spheres-of-influence order. Trump’s early rhetoric in his second term, suggesting that both Canada and Greenland should become US territories, could also be interpreted in this same vein," @roguepollster.bsky.social writes.

28.08.2025 15:32 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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China and the World: How Citizens View Their Country's Global Future YouTube video by Chicago Council on Global Affairs

Exciting night as we welcome @roguepollster.bsky.social, Yawei Liu, Paul Heer, and @leslievinjamuri.bsky.social to discuss the joint @global-affairs.bsky.social - @cartercenter.bsky.social survey of Chinese public opinion: youtube.com/live/CX_Jebq...

03.09.2025 22:41 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Chinese public is divided over whether to seek global dominance or share leadership A new poll shows a majority of Chinese people see competition with the U.S. as a threat, but there is a split on what role Beijing should take on in the world stage.

"We do see a high degree of confidence in China, in the Chinese public, in their country, and the direction that the government is taking their country," Vice President @roguepollster.bsky.social tells @npr.org of new polling from the Chicago Council and @cartercenter.bsky.social. More coverage ⬇️

05.09.2025 22:10 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
a bar chart showing US public opinion on use of US troops

a bar chart showing US public opinion on use of US troops

Russian drones crossed into Polish airspace this week, escalating tensions between Moscow and NATO. @roguepollster.bsky.social unpacks new Council survey results on how Americans think the United States should respond to Russian aggression in Eastern Europe ‡️ brnw.ch/21wVIBR

12.09.2025 21:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Dramatic Rise in Republican Support for Ukraine In a 21-point shift, 51 percent of Republicans now favor providing US military aid to Kyiv.

In advance of today's meeting in Alaska, new data from @global-affairs.bsky.social showing a notable increase in everyday Republican and Independent views on US support for Ukraine, especially on sending additional arms.

15.08.2025 13:25 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Americans Favor Greater AI and Quantum Regulation While still forming their views on these technologies, more say they are concerned about the potential risks than excited about the opportunities.

The Trump plan announced today aims to spur AI innovation by removing β€œonerous Federal regulations" hindering AI development. A plurality of Americans think there is not enough(44%) rather than too much (7%) government regulation on new tech. globalaffairs.org/research/pub...

23.07.2025 22:02 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Americans Endorse US Commitment to NATO, Though GOP Support Has Dipped As NATO leaders meet in The Hauge this week, the gap between Democrats and Republicans on America's NATO commitment has reached an all-time high in Council polling dating back to 1974.

While all eyes are on Iran, there's a NATO summit also happening. Don't forget about Ukraine's struggle, too.
globalaffairs.org/research/pub...

24.06.2025 13:44 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Americans Endorse US Commitment to NATO, Though GOP Support Has Dipped As NATO leaders meet in The Hauge this week, the gap between Democrats and Republicans on America's NATO commitment has reached an all-time high in Council polling dating back to 1974.

As NATO leaders meet in The Hauge this week, the gap between Democrats and Republicans on America's NATO commitment has reached an all-time high in Council polling dating back to 1974.

More Council-@ipsosus.bsky.social survey results πŸ“Šβ€΅οΈ brnw.ch/21wTCHn

23.06.2025 19:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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New PRRI Poll: Three-Quarters of Americans Oppose Trump’s Military Parade As the 250th anniversary of the United States Army approaches, which also coincides with President Donald Trump’s 79th birthday, Washington is preparing to mark the occasion with a large-scale…

As a part-time resident of DC, I'm one of them prri.org/spotlight/mi...

11.06.2025 16:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Six in 10 Americans Support US Participation in a Nuclear Agreement with Iran Majorities of Democrats and Independents support a potential deal similar to the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, but only a minority of Republicans agree.

As Iran and US officials prepare for the next round of meetings, a majority of Americans support a nuclear agreement globalaffairs.org/research/pub...

30.04.2025 22:02 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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As Trump tries for Ukraine-Russia deal, public opinion on conflict shifts As Trump tries -- with difficulty -- to get a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia, public opinion about the conflict has been shifting.

"A majority still want to support Ukraine, but it has slipped. And the reason it's slipped is because the Republicans have tanked," the Council's @roguepollster.bsky.social tells @npr.org of shifting public attitudes toward the war. brnw.ch/21wRT6s

09.04.2025 15:30 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Leslie Vinjamuri Named President and CEO of the Chicago Council on Global Affairs Vinjamuri joins the Council from the Royal Institute of International Affairs, known as Chatham House, in London.

We’re pleased to announce the appointment of @leslievinjamuri.bsky.social as our next president and chief executive officer. Leslie joins us from @chathamhouse.org and brings 20+ years of experience in global affairs. Please join us in welcoming her to Chicago! More info here: brnw.ch/21wRPYT

07.04.2025 15:52 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 3
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Here's a look (inspired by @jeffasher.bsky.social) at how Trump's damage to the economy isn't limited to stock prices. s2.washingtonpost.com/camp-rw/?tra...

07.04.2025 14:51 β€” πŸ‘ 464    πŸ” 154    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 12
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U.S. democracy is under attack. Here are some lessons for democracy’s defenders. A global study of democratic backsliding and resilience offers ways to resist authoritarian attacks.

goodauthority.org/news/us-demo...

01.04.2025 19:25 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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INBOX: β€œ.. The leaders agreed that ministers and senior officials will continue to work together to advance shared priorities.

β€œPrime Minister Carney and President Sheinbaum agreed to remain in close contact.”

www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/read...

01.04.2025 19:09 β€” πŸ‘ 374    πŸ” 60    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 4
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Russians Feel Mixed Impacts from Kremlin's Foreign Policy Moves While the public thinks Putin’s foreign policies have improved Moscow’s international influence and the state of the Russian military, fewer now say they have boosted their country’s image abroad.

According to a February 20–26, 2025, Chicago Council on Global Affairs-Levada Center survey, everyday Russians perceive mixed impacts of the Kremlin’s foreign policy.
globalaffairs.org/research/pub...

27.03.2025 20:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Six in 10 Americans (58%) believe the United States and European countries are equally responsible for helping Ukraine defend itself against Russia, a new Chicago Council- @ipsosus.bsky.social survey finds. However, this share has declined since 2023. More analysis πŸ‘‡

20.03.2025 20:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Smart, sober response from Canada’s Prime Minister to the destruction my government is wreaking. The US won the geo-political lottery having Canada and Mexico as neighbors, and the Trump Administration is destroying our advantages.

27.03.2025 20:43 β€” πŸ‘ 669    πŸ” 138    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 8
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Americans Divided on Future US Role in Post-War Ukraine While most support providing medevac services to injured peacekeepers, the public is divided over backing a peacekeeping force militarily.

American views on efforts to end war between Russia and Ukraine globalaffairs.org/research/pub...

20.03.2025 20:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Slim Majorities of Americans Still Support Aiding Ukraine While down slightly from last year, more than half support continuing military and economic assistance to Kyiv. But the results are highly partisan.

New poll data in! globalaffairs.org/research/pub...

20.03.2025 20:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The @global-affairs.bsky.social just got new data back on this as well. Stay tuned for additional insights!

18.03.2025 15:52 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
More than half of people in Britain (53%), Germany (56%), Sweden (63%) and Denmark (74%) now have an unfavourable opinion of the USA.

More than half of people in Britain (53%), Germany (56%), Sweden (63%) and Denmark (74%) now have an unfavourable opinion of the USA.

According to a new @yougov.co.uk, Europeans are souring again on the United States. Pluralities of half or more in Denmark (74%), Sweden (63%), Germany (56%), Britain (53%), Spain (49%) and France (49%) express a negative view. Italians are evenly divided. yougov.co.uk/internationa...

17.03.2025 21:24 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Some DOGE Staffers Are Drawing Six-Figure Government Salaries Engineers and executives at the so-called Department of Government Efficiency are drawing healthy taxpayer-funded salariesβ€”sometimes from the very agencies they are cutting.

when Elon Musk started recruiting for DOGE last November, he said the work would be β€œtedious” and β€œcompensation is zero"

now it turns out some DOGE operatives are earning six-figure salaries, one as high as $195,200, as much as a civil servant can legally make

www.wired.com/story/doge-g...

04.03.2025 20:42 β€” πŸ‘ 6304    πŸ” 2363    πŸ’¬ 209    πŸ“Œ 159
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Reuters/@ipsosus.bsky.social: Strong majorities of Americans do not support using military force to obtain new territory, do not support Canada becoming the 51st state and do not want the US to pressure Denmark into handing over Greenland.
Via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/250123-top...

23.01.2025 22:37 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Only 7% of American adults, including 11% of Republicans, agree with Trump that Ukraine is more to blame for starting the war:

05.03.2025 03:25 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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We interrupt his program to bring you a newsbreak from that lefty rag The Wall Street Journal.

05.03.2025 02:55 β€” πŸ‘ 91    πŸ” 37    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 3

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