Isabelle Arradon's Avatar

Isabelle Arradon

@isabellearradon.bsky.social

Research Director @CrisisGroup.org Leads on #EarlyWarning #HorizonScanning #CrisisWatch. Tweets on #ConflictPrevention #CivilianProtection #Gender. Formerly amnesty.org and peacebrigades.org.

257 Followers  |  31 Following  |  15 Posts  |  Joined: 26.11.2024  |  2.1126

Latest posts by isabellearradon.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Our new CrisisWatch updates on 85 situations across the world are now out!

Our field analysts @crisisgroup.org spotlighted 7 conflict risks this month and 1 conflict resolution opportunity including for #Gaza, #Yemen, #Cameroon, #Venezuela, #DRCongo and #Sudan.

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch

06.10.2025 14:36 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Politics, not economics, driving foreign aid cuts, experts warn At Devex Impact House, Jorge Moreira da Silva and Comfort Ero warned that political choices — not shrinking economies — are driving aid cuts, eroding public empathy, and threatening peace building and...

I find the conclusion of this event useful to bear in mind as we all try to think through the next steps to make a difference : "making the case to skeptical publics is now central to the future of aid."

Politics, not economics, driving foreign aid cuts, experts warn www.devex.com/news/politic...

29.09.2025 16:51 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Dix défis pour les Nations unies en 2025-2026 | International Crisis Group Alors que la réunion annuelle de haut niveau de l’Assemblée générale des Nations unies approche, l’organisation est confrontée à d’importants défis politiques et financiers. Toutefois, elle peut toujo...

Parce-que l'organisation des Nations unies est à un tournant de son histoire et qu'il est important pour tous d'oeuvrer afin de préserver sa mission première pour le maintien de la paix, notre rapport sur ses défis à venir est désormais disponible en français: www.crisisgroup.org/fr/global/sb...

26.09.2025 13:25 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

With India’s airstrikes against it’s neighbour, and Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif calling the strikes an “act of war”, my post over the weekend is a reminder of why @crisisgroup.org named India-Pakistan the conflict in focus for this month. ⬇️

07.05.2025 05:42 — 👍 7    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0
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A new edition of our global conflict tracker #CrisisWatch has just been published!

Alerts in March: #DRCongo #Burundi #Israel#Palestine #Yemen

Peace Opportunities: PKK/ #Türkiye #Thailand

New CrisisWatch entries: #TasmanSea, #CookIslands

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch

04.03.2025 16:10 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Happy New Year all! I wish you and your loved ones all the best for this new year which appears to be already quite volatile and eventful on the global stage.

We've just published our first #CrisisWatch for 2025!

This month's Conflict in Focus is on #Syria.

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch

10.01.2025 13:42 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1
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The Day After Assad The Syrian dictator’s stunning fall will scramble the balance of power in the Middle East.

I teamed up with @natashahall.bsky.social to share our initial assessment of the origins and implications of the fall of the House of Assad in @foreignaffairs.com. @crisisgroup.org @CSISMidEast

www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/day-af...

09.12.2024 16:29 — 👍 23    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
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Happy #HumanRightsDay!

Although it may feel like so much more needs to happen to celebrate, the release of disappeared from #Syria's prisons, shows that even in places where hope is nearly gone, change may come and bring light to families. shorturl.at/kvIIM

I hope for light in #Gaza #Sudan #Haiti

10.12.2024 09:19 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Massacre in Haiti’s Capital Leaves Over 100 Dead, Rights Group Says The killings in a Port-au-Prince slum, which appeared to target practitioners of voodoo, were ordered by a gang leader, a human rights organization said.

At least 184 people killed in Port-au-Prince’s Cite de Soleil neighborhood. The MSS said to the NYT they were not aware of the killings.

www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...

09.12.2024 13:04 — 👍 7    🔁 8    💬 0    📌 0

Despite Israeli assurances, public and private, about the temporary nature of their move into Syria, their presence there is a concern. Biden administration should make clear publicly that this must be a short-term response and withdrawal cannot be contingent on unrealistic demands.

09.12.2024 17:42 — 👍 23    🔁 14    💬 1    📌 3
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It can be challenging to keep track of all major conflict shifts globally.

#CrisisWatch sums up key deteriorations each month.

In November:
#Ecuador, #Haiti
#Georgia, #Kosovo
#Iran, #Israel/Palestine, #Syria
#India #Pakistan
#Mali, #Mozambique, #Somalia, #Sudan

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch

09.12.2024 12:50 — 👍 7    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

#Syria What next?

09.12.2024 09:46 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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#Syria To understand conflict dynamics that led to Assad's fall, check #CrisisWatch.

Weeks ago, we spotted how regime forces & Russia carried out strikes on Idlib city in an "apparent bid to pre-empt a potential HTS offensive to exploit regional escalation".

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch/...

09.12.2024 09:27 — 👍 7    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
Counting the Costs of Bolivia’s High-level Schism | Crisis Group Bolivia is mired in a crisis that can be partially attributed to a standoff between the country’s current and former leftist presidents. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Glaeldys González Calanche reports on the rivalry and how it contributes to economic misery and social unrest.

NEW Q&A | Counting the Costs of Bolivia’s High-level Schism

In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Glaeldys González Calanche examines how the standoff between Bolivia's current and former leftist presidents is contributing to economic misery and social unrest.

www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...

06.12.2024 12:38 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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#CrisisWatch with December alerts and November trends is now out!

Our Conflict in Focus this month is on #Pakistan.

We have one resolution opportunity and four conflict risk alerts for December: #Lebanon, #Iran, #Syria, #Israel/Palestine #Somalia.

All 78 entries : crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch

06.12.2024 14:18 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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As we finalise #CrisisWatch, some situations are (again) high on our radar #Georgia, #Gaza, #Sudan, #Haiti, #Pakistan...

And some are returning to the spotlight #Syria.

We have rare 'brighter' spots... #Somaliland

Some fragile #Lebanon

Watch this space : www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch?...

05.12.2024 15:57 — 👍 4    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
Le tournant souverainiste au Mali : ajuster la trajectoire | Crisis Group Depuis 2021, les autorités maliennes ont fait du souverainisme le moteur d’une politique de rupture dans les domaines sécuritaire, diplomatique et économique. Elles peinent cependant à répondre aux attentes des populations, faute de ressources et de solutions durables aux problèmes sécuritaires. Le régime devrait explorer la voie d’un souverainisme plus équilibré.

At times, it may seem that all @CrisisGroup work is exclusively in English. You'll be pleased to know that we're trying to promote our work in other languages as well - including French, Spanish, Arabic etc

Our last report on #Mali is solely available in French : www.crisisgroup.org/fr/africa/sa...

04.12.2024 13:09 — 👍 6    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 1
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After rich discussions at our All Staff retreat in #Istanbul about the state of the world today and ways to make a difference, we're all back working on our new round of #CrisisWatch updates.

Watch this space for our 256th edition later this week: crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch #EarlyWarning

04.12.2024 12:59 — 👍 6    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
A Course Correction for Mali’s Sovereign Turn | Crisis Group Since taking power in 2021, Mali’s rulers have put the recovery of state sovereignty at the heart of the government's approach to security, diplomacy and the economy. But as they struggle to meet public expectations to reduce violence and face a financial squeeze, they should explore ways to adjust their approach.

New @CrisisGroup report on #Mali offers deep analysis on political changes in the past few years and ways the regime can address long-term demands from the population -- including the need for greater security and social services.

The full report is in French.

www.crisisgroup.org/en/africa/sa...

04.12.2024 10:05 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

I'm delighted to be joining this new platform today!

Thanks @genrenard.bsky.social for the advice...

26.11.2024 10:58 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

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