John Hanger

Have we been duped by the primary energy fallacy? Whenever I post something on renewable energy on social media it never takes long for negative comments to arrive in my feed. One type of…

Petrostate politicos & supporters unknowingly or knowingly constantly fall for the Primary Energy Fallacy.

EVs are ~3X more energy efficient than oil burners.

Electrification of transport is one example of how electrification slashes needed primary energy.

medium.com/@jan.rosenow... #energysky

I have my doubts. US auto industry is falling behind in the EV transition. EVs will be near 50% of global auto sales by 2030. The peak of oil burning cars was about 7 years ago. Now their decline will quicken.

US auto industry is tying its future to a declining market.

EV Trucks!

"Adoption of battery-electric trucks accelerated notably, with over 12% of new Class 7–8 units sold this year being electric—a fivefold increase since 2022."

"In the medium-duty segment, nearly 20% of new sales are now battery-electric."

www.blackbook.com/market-insig... #energysky

Good morning with good news: Plug-in vehicles were 35.1% of UK's September sales! Sales are up 27.3% in 2025, compared to January-September 2024.

BEVs are up 25.3% & PHEVs 31.6%.

Sales of gasoline-only vehicles are down 24.1% & diesel down 16.1%!
storage.googleapis.com/public_downl... #energysky

Massive fire breaks out at Chevron oil refinery in California Emergency services are actively responding to a fire at Chevron’s El Segundo plant in California.

"Massive fire breaks out at Chevron oil refinery in California"

Petrostate supporters go quiet about the large number of oil burning cars that catch fire, the gas pipeline explosions, and oil refinery fires, while highlighting lower rate of EV fires.

www.cnbc.com/2025/10/03/m... #energysky

Below is China's wind and solar generation in TWh.

Here are the TWh for January-August of each year:

2025: 1552 TWh
2024: 1199 TWh
2020: 477 TWh

China's wind and solar generation has more than tripled in five years.

Incredible!

#energysky

Good morning with good news: China's wind & solar surged 29.4% to 1552 TWh in January-August 2025, compared to 1199 TWh in 2024.

W&S generated 22.5% of China's electricity January-August, up from 18.2% in 2024 and 9.7% in 2020.

W&S gained 4.3 points of share in 1 year! Incredible!
#energysky

Trump admin orders dirty, expensive coal plant to stay open even longer The Trump administration has extended its order to keep a Michigan coal-fired power plant running until November, well past its planned closure in the spring. It’s the latest move in a push to force d...

Secretary Wright's order to keep just one dirty, old coal plant running will cost captive electricity customers another $100 million.

This order hurts consumers & spews pollution that sickens people.

Emergency justification is phony as Confederate $ bills.
www.yahoo.com/news/article... #energysky

Coal Nationalization

Trump Administration is effectively nationalizing some old coal plants to keep them running, even though their owners wanted to close them, and even though continuing to run them raises rates for consumers. See Michigan example.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article... #energysky

The growth of India's solar & wind is rapid and large, with further acceleration in 2025!

July Solar & Wind Share

2025: 18%
2024: 15%
2023: 14.1%
2022: 12.6%
2021: 12.1%
2020: 9.68%

India's S&W deployments in FY2026 are forecasted to be 35 GW, up from 18.5 GW in FY 2024. #energysky

India installed 18.5 GW in FY 2024 and 28.5 GW in FY 2025 of wind and solar.

FY 2026 began on April 1, 2025.

Skyrocketing solar & wind deployments are a main cause of India's fossil fuel generation declining in 2025. #energysky

Good morning with good news: India's solar & wind additions skyrocketed 123% to 20.1 GW in April to August 2025, compared to 9 GW in same period in 2024.

India added 17.5 GW of solar & 2.6 GW of wind.

India starts its fiscal year on April 1.
www.pv-magazine-india.com/2025/09/30/i... #energysky

Wright Is Wrong! @douglewin.bsky.social

"And 2025 is shaping up to be another year of relatively low wholesale electricity costs in Texas. As the Energy Information Agency has shown, wholesale prices in ERCOT have been far lower than the national average each of the last two summers:"
#energysky

Wright is Wrong!

"Costs in 2024 – Texas’ sixth-hottest summer – were 50% lower than 2023. It was, according to ERCOT and the IMM, one of the lowest-cost years in the history of the Texas market. @douglewin.bsky.social #energysky

According to ERCOT’s Independent Market Monitor, adjusted for inflation, wholesale prices in 2024 were lower than 2020, which was the COVID year. To repeat, not only are prices not up 100% from 4-5 years ago, they are actually lower."
@douglewin.bsky.social

#energysky

"Wright Is Wrong" by @douglewin.bsky.social

On key Texas facts, "the Secretary of Energy is either purposefully misleading or misinformed."

Secretary of Energy Wright said wholesale electricity costs in Texas are up 100% in the last five years."

"That is objectively false." #energysky

Tesla's decline in China continues despite throwing everything at it Tesla’s sales decline in China continues to accelerate, despite the automaker’s efforts to mitigate it, including offering discounts and introducing...

Tesla sales in China fell 8% in Q3 2025.

Q3 2025 is a faster decline than the down ~4% in H1 2025.

China's EV sales are up ~25% in 2025.

Tesla is falling in the world's largest market that is growing rapidly.

electrek.co/2025/10/01/t... #energysky

Trump 2017-2021: Coal fell from 30.3% to 19.1% & fell at fastest rate in 25 years.

Coal's fall began in George W. Bush years, falling from 51.1% to 48.4%.

Coal plunged from 51.7% in 2000 to 14.9% in 2024.

Why?

It cannot compete with wind, solar & gas!

And it kills & sickens people. #energysky

India achieved in 2025, five years early, its 2030 target of having 50% of its installed electricity capacity from non-fossil fuel sources.

Surging wind & solar are leading the way, with contributions from hydro and nuclear.

India is installing record amounts of new clean generation.
#energysky

Good morning with good news: India's fossil fuel generation is having a very bad year in 2025!

Its fossil fuel generation has lost as much as 5 points of market share in 2025 on a monthly basis, compared to the same month in 2024.

Why?

Surging wind, solar, hydro & nuclear production.
#energysky

Yes...capacity factors matter most.

“Instead of supporting domestic production, they’ve effectively aligned with OPEC — using supply tactics to push prices below economic thresholds, kneecapping U.S. producers in the process,”

These oil geniuses donated about $200 million to make this happen. Congratulations!

#energysky.

Shale oil executives criticized Trump’s push for lower oil prices at the same their costs are increasing due to his steel tariffs

“The administration is pushing for $40 per barrel crude oil, and with tariffs on foreign tubular goods, [input] prices are up."
Drilling is going to disappear #energysky

Layoffs come as U.S. crude oil prices have fallen 13% this year due to OPEC+ members rapidly raising supply

"West Texas Intermediate was trading under $63 per barrel Tuesday, below the breakeven price that many shale oil producers in Texas need to drill new wells at a profit."
#energysky

Oil companies slash jobs by the thousands as prices fall, tariffs rise and industry consolidates President Donald Trump promised boom times for oil and gas when he took office in January. Instead, the industry is cutting jobs.

3 biggest U.S. oil companies Exxon, Chevron &
ConocoPhillips announced job cuts in 2025

Exxon is cutting 2,000 positions.

Chevron will cut up to 20% of its workforce through 2026.

Conoco will cut up to 25%.

The industry shed 4,000 jobs through August.
www.cnbc.com/2025/09/30/o... #energysky

It is down. Fossil fuel generation is down about 35%-40% since 2015, even as total electricity demand is up about 15%.

Brazil is the world's 10th largest economy and has 220 million people.

Wind and solar are now powering major shares of the world's most modern and largest economies.

They are winning market share across the globe, because they are cheap and because batteries make them firm. #energysky

Brazil's wind & solar skyrocketed to ~25% of its electricity in 2025 from less than 10% in 2020 and ~7% in 2018.

Solar drives the latest growth, surging from less than 2% in 2018 to ~12% in 2025, with distributed solar
jumping from 1 GW to 40 GW!

Hydro generates ~65%.
#energysky

Big and small solar is increasingly built with battery storage, making solar firm or dispatchable.

Battery storage is plunging in price and skyrocketing in duration, with Australia now deploying 8-hour battery storage systems.

Solar now often lights the dark, thanks to batteries. #energysky

Brazil also has 6 GW of utility-scale solar under construction and 122 GW of large solar in its generation development pipeline.

Solar is powering the clean energy transition, because it can be built anywhere, from rooftops, to land & water.

It can be built big or small, fast & cheap. #energysky