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LeRaffl

@leraffl.bsky.social

Math dude, doing math with BEV market shares https://ts.la/raphael59773

1,065 Followers  |  83 Following  |  1,556 Posts  |  Joined: 30.10.2023  |  2.1137

Latest posts by leraffl.bsky.social on Bluesky

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India (2-Wheelers) - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
8.1% BEV
91.9% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
6.5% BEV
93.5% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

05.10.2025 21:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India (3-Wheelers) - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
61.7% BEV
38.3% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
59.9% BEV
40.1% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

05.10.2025 21:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India (4-Wheelers) - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
5.4% BEV
94.6% ICE (of which 7.6%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
3.7% BEV
96.3% ICE (of which 8.5%p were HEV)

India is accelerating

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

05.10.2025 21:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Singapore market is now basically split into BEV and HEV with HEV falling in market share and BEV climbing.

05.10.2025 11:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore - August 25 - BEV Trajectory
44.2% BEV
3.7% PHEV
52.1% ICE (of which 38.8%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
39.7% BEV
1.1% PHEV
59.3% ICE (of which 43.5%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

05.10.2025 11:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 24    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia (Used) - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
8.5% BEV
3.8% PHEV
87.7% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
7.7% BEV
2.9% PHEV
89.4% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

05.10.2025 08:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
8.4% BEV
13.2% PHEV
78.4% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
7.3% BEV
11.0% PHEV
81.7% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

05.10.2025 08:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Introducing Thresholds Tab
It's essentially several of the tables posted as an image, just nicer. Also there's a custom column so you can make your own ranking for a specific percentage.
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

04.10.2025 17:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

For more context on the Australia numbers please refer to @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au

04.10.2025 10:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Again props to @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au

04.10.2025 09:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ New Zealand - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
3.9% BEV
2.7% PHEV
93.4% ICE (of which 36.8%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
4.2% BEV
3.1% PHEV
92.7% ICE (of which 35.1%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

04.10.2025 09:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Big thanks to @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au for providing me with data again.

04.10.2025 09:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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I thought Australia had accelerated at first, but actually the increase of the last 3 months is quite in line with the non-linear progression so far. Just shows how linearly we humans think.

04.10.2025 09:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
11.7% BEV
4.4% PHEV
83.9% ICE (of which 14.4%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
8.2% BEV
3.8% PHEV
88.0% ICE (of which 15.6%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

04.10.2025 09:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 17    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Trailing 12 months shares of new registrations to be precise. It's what shares the market splits into, hence "market share".

04.10.2025 09:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
5.6% BEV
8.7% PHEV
85.7% ICE (of which 45.2%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
5.2% BEV
5.3% PHEV
89.4% ICE (of which 44.0%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

01.10.2025 16:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 18    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
29.3% BEV
18.3% PHEV
52.4% ICE (of which 20.3%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
22.1% BEV
14.6% PHEV
63.3% ICE (of which 21.9%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

01.10.2025 16:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 35    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
30.9% BEV
17.6% PHEV
51.6% ICE (of which 21.3%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
18.9% BEV
15.1% PHEV
66.0% ICE (of which 23.5%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

01.10.2025 15:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 24    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland (Private) - August 25 - BEV Trajectory

30.8% BEV
20.0% Hybrid
49.3% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
31.9% BEV
19.0% PHEV
49.1% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

30.09.2025 15:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland (Industry) - August 25 - BEV Trajectory

44.7% BEV
24.3% Hybrid
31.0% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
37.7% BEV
23.2% PHEV
39.1% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

30.09.2025 15:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 16    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark (private) - August 25 - BEV Trajectory

85.1% BEV
3.6% PHEV
11.3% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
79.5% BEV
3.2% PHEV
17.3% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

29.09.2025 19:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 32    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark (Industry) - August 25 - BEV Trajectory

44.4% BEV
2.1% PHEV
53.5% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
38.2% BEV
3.5% PHEV
58.2% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

29.09.2025 19:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Is a little different in other markets (at least in the earlier years where they are now)

28.09.2025 11:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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First time I split the market in Norway this detailed

28.09.2025 10:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Hybrids were never meant to exist as anything other than an interim.

28.09.2025 10:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 16    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norway - August 25 - BEV Trajectory

96.9% BEV
1.5% PHEV
1.6% ICE (of which 0.4%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
93.6% BEV
2.1% PHEV
4.3% ICE (of which 2.4%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

28.09.2025 10:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 30    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Thailand - August 25 - BEV Trajectory

20.8% BEV
1.2% PHEV
78.0% ICE (of which 11.7%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
15.9% BEV
2.7% PHEV
81.4% ICE (of which 20.5%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

27.09.2025 18:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 35    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Austria - August 25 - BEV Trajectory

20.1% BEV
11.3% PHEV
68.6% ICE (of which 30.5%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
21.0% BEV
8.8% PHEV
70.2% ICE (of which 28.4%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...

27.09.2025 17:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 26    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We visualize the same thing. Neither of us gets the whole picture, that's the impossibility all visualizations and statistics face, but combined ways to visualize give better insights.

27.09.2025 13:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The trajectory is wiggling. They do that, especially earlier on. That's one of the differences between his visualization and mine. I can adjust the curve to take marker size into account. The drawback on my concept with a line is that it's a line, so it's smoothed out.

27.09.2025 13:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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