Qwite

I think cooney out resist libs Helmer from any money too and gets the normie vote helmer and her needs beyond his district

Wise I would wait for a very strong progressive outsider to vote for

lol this is like the perfect circumstances for a progressive firebrand outsider to win

🚨🚨🚨Virginia Supreme Court lays out schedule for redistricting case

Allows the April 21 referendum to go forward with early voting starting March 6

BUT seems to leave open possibility of final ruling after referendum

This goes back to very limited relief lower court granted

It’s open? So unsure who’s gonna be out of their seat, because Beyer and James seems to be clearly in the safe by the legislature

Any comment on what seat helmer will take? Are they putting Suhas and him against each other? If anything it should be Vindman

I want to see Beyer primaried but I might just be out of his district after this lol

Looks like dems in montana have their own osborn. MT Dems should endorse the independent and not field a candidate

2026 Preview: The Long Shadow of the 2025 Elections Podcast Episode · Federal Fallout: The 2025 Virginia Elections · 01/10/2026 · 24m

Federal Fallout pod is back with a new episode

The long shadow of the 2025 Virginia elections in 2026

Redistricting will get a lot of the attention

But Dems are going to do a lot else with their trifecta

3 more constitutional amendments and regular bills too

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The scale of the protests in Iran are absolutely unbelievable. Hard to quantify, but I've seen some speculation that this uprising is more significant than the 2023 protests (themselves the largest challenge to the regime since it came into power in '79.)

(Video from @AmirMiresmaeili on Twitter)

There will be a rematch of the 2021 primary between Elizabeth Bennett-Parker and Mark Levine

Bennett-Parker knocked off Levine in a House of Delegates primary to become a delegate

Now they will face off again in a firehouse primary in SD-39 for a State Senate seat

They’re over adjusting I guess after they missed in a midterm year. If they are letting loose I imagine it so they could regain their legitimacy in presidential years because they can point to an example where they overestimated democrats instead of reps in non presidential years like they have

They’re not losing it in the next two cycles and she’s wrong she doesn’t even see the maps

Idk the political trends in opposition to Trump took time to acclimate to treating all republicans for being pro Trump when they’re usually voted for them massively

Yeah but by bio and electoral history he’s not really a serious recruited candidate by any means

I think swing voters in midterms are gonna be way more partisan now even in a 2018 environment he would lose

I meant he’s a way better candidate than Garcia was anyway

Yeah but that’s downballot lag more than anything. Republicans held smaller statewide offices and dominate it

Arizonas hate of Trump is very much a 2020 onwards mix of political issues and policies/rhetoric Ducey isn’t associated with that and Arizona didn’t see him as part of the new gop because he didn’t start out in it. With Trump in office Nevada voters are gonna reckon with his veto power

Aaron ford is a way better candidate and Nevada isn’t politically Republican as Arizona historically and dem holdouts in bad midterm years has shown their resilience

Yeah but he wasn’t hated and it was stable approvals

I mean this is fairly easily explainable, Arizona was a safe Republican state, 2016 was considered aloof because Trump was a big McCain hater and he pulled off an upset by winning WWC purely swing voters. McSally was a target and a bad candidate, ducey was a well known liked inc w unknown opponent

Mid term swing voters tend not to ticket split considerably anymore besides obvious horrible candidates

BREAKING & BIG: Federal judge BLOCKS Texas from implementing new, gerrymandered maps for 2026 midterms. Judge Jeffrey Brown (TRUMP APPOINTEE) wrote opinion, joined by Judge David Guaderrama (Obama appointee). Judge Jerry Smith (Reagan appointee) dissents.
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What was YouGov cooking?

Their final Virginia poll was underrated

Shout out to Chaz and State Navigate for getting LG, AG, and House of Delegates right as well as top of ticket

YouGov just had Governor

JUST IN: Katie Wilson cuts Bruce Harrell's lead by more than half with today's ballot drop, cutting her deficit from 9908 votes to 4300 votes.

She won today's batch of 55,952 ballots by 10%; that's *more* than she needed to win the outstanding ballots by.

Over 50K ballots left to count in Seattle.

This has not gotten much attention, but it should.

Virginia under Youngkin returned to an insanely harsh system where people convicted of any felony lose their voting rights FOR LIFE.

Dems' win this week mean they'll get to advance a constitutional amendment to end lifetime disenfranchisement.

Delegate Debra Gardner also announces she’s running for State Senate seat being vacated by Ghazala Hashmi

Looks like Delegate v. Delegate contest between her and Mike Jones

Winner would have to resign House seat

So probably going to get another special there

Jared Golden: I won’t seek reelection. Here’s why. "What I could accomplish in this increasingly unproductive Congress pales in comparison to what I could do in that time as a husband, a father and a son."

Democratic Rep. Jared Golden, facing a primary challenge from state Auditor Matt Dunlap, says he won't seek reelection in #ME02

Did this seat get axed? How long will this stay under the old lines till 2026? Because I also heard that local dems will appoint a successor?