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Samarth Gupta

@samarthgupta.bsky.social

Formerly at the Treasury Department, OMB, and Biden campaign/transition. Policy and political writing @ wickedgoodpolicy.com

46 Followers  |  97 Following  |  33 Posts  |  Joined: 16.03.2025  |  2.1478

Latest posts by samarthgupta.bsky.social on Bluesky

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There’s a better approach for Trump to change Putin’s calculus He’s right to recognize that pressuring the Kremlin’s main cash cow is a way to grab Putin’s attention, but his approach is counterproductive and incomplete.

After years of prolonged conflict and unnecessary death, there is a clear need to force Putin’s hand. President Trump’s instinct is right, but his approach is wrong. There’s still time to change course—and an urgent need to.

thehill.com/opinion/inte...

02.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

On military assistance, the President took a good first step in unpausing military assistance that Congress already committed. He should go further and ask Congress to approve additional military assistance for Ukraine, showing Putin that he Russia cannot easily win a war of attrition.

02.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Make Moscow Pay The case for seizing Russian assets to fund Ukraine’s defense.

To provide Ukraine with financial support—without asking our American or European taxpayers to foot the bill—the G7 should seize the $300 billion of frozen Russian sovereign assets and commit them to supporting Ukraine.

www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/make-...

02.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

The second way to change Putin’s calculus is demonstrate that America will back Ukraine financially and militarily.

02.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Opinion | How to Punish Russia, Make Money and End the War

The first thing he needs to do is follow his instinct to hit Russia’s energy revenues, but to do so in a way that doesn’t cause collateral damage to America and the rest of the world. Hubbard and Wolfram’s universal tariff idea is a great way to do so.

www.nytimes.com/2025/03/27/o...

02.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Putin recognizes Trump’s domestic political vulnerabilities–especially after last week’s economic news. Secondary tariffs won’t force Putin to negotiate in good faith; he’ll call Trump’s bluff.

The President should force Putin’s hand by doing two other things instead.

02.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

If India, China, and others stop buying Russian oil, global prices will spike as Russian oil exports account for 7% of global supply.

If these countries keep buying the oil and Trump imposes a 100% tariff them, imports from those countries will become far more expensive.

02.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

If Trump follows through with his plan, prices will ignite in America just as 2/3 of voters disapprove of Trump's handling of inflation. And that’ll happen regardless of what decisions other countries make.

02.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Energy sales are the Kremlin's cash cow; they account for a quarter of its budget. Going after them is a good way to get Putin's attention, but the Trump proposal is an empty threat. If imposed, it'll hurt the U.S. economy and markets, and as we (and Putin) know...TACO.

02.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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There’s a better approach for Trump to change Putin’s calculus He’s right to recognize that pressuring the Kremlin’s main cash cow is a way to grab Putin’s attention, but his approach is counterproductive and incomplete.

Trump has promised to impose "secondary tariffs" next week on Russian energy sales to force Putin's hand.

He's right to try to change Putin’s calculus, but is approach is misguided.

Let's unpack why.
thehill.com/opinion/inte...

02.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Scott, Warren Announce Markup of Landmark Bipartisan Housing Legislation from Banking Committee Members | United States Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs The Official website of The United States Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs

A lot to like:
▫️Sec. 208 - NEPA reforms
▫️Sec. 209 - Innovation Fund for localities to boost supply
▫️Sec. 301 - Modular and prefab units
▫️Sec. 405 - Voucher reform to streamline unit inspections

There's plenty of bipartisan things to move the ball forward.
www.banking.senate.gov/newsroom/min...

25.07.2025 13:52 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

The @evictionlab.bsky.social and @zoningatlas.bsky.social are both indispensable public goods.

In every American town and city, there's now no denying the scale of the housing crisis and a root cause of it.

▪️https://www.zoningatlas.org/
▪️https://evictionlab.org/

22.07.2025 20:47 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

With additional resources, the IRS had:

- lowered call wait times from 28 to 3 minutes
- Improved its level of service from 15% to 88%
- Provided 11,000 more hours of in-person support
- Launched Direct File
- Doubled audit rates on the wealthy and cracked down on e.g., corporate jet loopholes

22.07.2025 14:23 — 👍 16    🔁 8    💬 2    📌 0
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Their Water Taps Ran Dry When Meta Built Next Door

www.nytimes.com/2025/07/14/t...

22.07.2025 01:33 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Abundance Is Necessary But Not Sufficient Housing supply, affordability, and stability

The abundance agenda is absolutely necessary to solve our country's housing crisis, but it's not enough.

We'll likely only have one shot at meaningful federal housing legislation and we have to make sure it meets the full breadth and depth of the problem.

www.wickedgoodpolicy.com/p/abundance-...

18.07.2025 16:27 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 1
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There Is No Place for Us: Working and Homeless in Ameri… Through the unforgettable stories of five Atlanta famil…

We've not only created a system where millions of families are trapped in homelessness, but we've also enabled their pain to become a big pay day for extractive businesses.

A must read from @brian-goldstone.bsky.social:

www.goodreads.com/book/show/21...

09.07.2025 18:28 — 👍 24    🔁 12    💬 1    📌 0
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We Get the Schools We Pay For Three ways to boost quality and equality in America’s K-12 schools

Federal financing can mimic Medicaid expansion to direct more money toward high-poverty school districts.

That money, in turn, could be used to get better teachers and mimic the Mississippi Miracle.

www.wickedgoodpolicy.com/p/we-get-the...

02.07.2025 21:27 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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5 Hard Truths Democrats Must Face on Education What is the state of America’s K-12 schools, and where we go from here?

Evan Bonsall, former elected official in Marquette, Michigan and current high school social studies teacher, on what Dems have gotten wrong on education and where we can go from here...

Check out Wicked Good Policy's first guest post 🔽

www.wickedgoodpolicy.com/p/5-hard-tru...

18.06.2025 11:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Rep. Melissa Hortman, killed in targeted attack, was a champion for Minnesotan families Hortman worked closely with Gov. Tim Walz to enact policies that prioritized children and expanded protections for abortion and gender-affirming care

When Tim Walz became Kamala Harris's running mate, progressives highlighted policies passed. It could not have been possible without Melissa Hortman.
-Free school breakfast and lunch
-Restoring voting rights for felons
-Paid leave
Great piece by @gracepanetta.bsky.social
19thnews.org/2025/06/rep-...

14.06.2025 20:01 — 👍 11157    🔁 3155    💬 135    📌 90
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Trump’s Right to Fear Celebrity Endorsements Just not how they’re done today

Contrary to what it feels like on a social media news feed, the political power of celebrity endorsements in presidential elections is largely gone. Celebrity influence can still be decisive in politics, but it needs be local and issue-based.

www.wickedgoodpolicy.com/p/trumps-rig...

01.06.2025 20:54 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Technology & Tax Policy Can Curb Gun Violence An idea to move smart-gun technology forward

We can limit gun violence by subsidizing manufacturers and tech companies to build safer technology. We can pay for it by taxing the sales of assault rifles and high-capacity magazines.

The best part? It'd only take 50 votes in the Senate.

www.wickedgoodpolicy.com/p/technology...

18.05.2025 11:53 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The New Al Capone The IRS took down mobsters, now Trump wants it to serve as his.

VP Vance: "If the IRS can go after you because of what you think or what you believe or what you do, we’d no longer live in a free country.”

03.05.2025 15:24 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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It's Time for the Corporate Resistance In just 100 days, we're seeing the risk of irreversible damage to the U.S. economy

There’s still an off ramp from the road Trump is driving down. He'll take it if CEOs demand it. Once the economy regains stable footing, we can return to our regularly scheduled programming on regulation, spending, and taxes.

It's Time for the Corporate Resistance: substack.com/@sg81/p-1616...

30.04.2025 13:13 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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We Need a Department of Benefits Not enough people receive benefits they qualify for

SNAP, Medicaid, the Child Tax Credit, and the Earned Income Tax Credit are lifelines to those most in need. But millions of Americans who qualify for these benefits don't receive them.

Here's an idea to fix that:

26.04.2025 18:27 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Voodoo Economics Meets Voodoo Accounting Don't let tariffs distract you from what Congress is up to

open.substack.com/pub/wickedgo...

12.04.2025 18:42 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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GOP's magic math undermines Trump's tax plan Republicans are wishing away the debt to give tax cuts to the wealthy

If you don’t mow your lawn, the grass doesn’t stop growing. But, Republicans are pretending that's not the case—that the debt won't rise with another round of tax cuts. They'll look away and leave future generations to clean up the mess.

In @salonnewsroom.bsky.social:
www.salon.com/2025/04/07/s...

07.04.2025 13:39 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump's Social Security Magic Trick How the GOP tax plan guts the foundation of Social Security

wickedgoodpolicy.substack.com/p/trumps-soc...

06.04.2025 13:31 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Trump claims he won't cut a penny from Social Security, but it's just a trick we shouldn't fall for.

06.04.2025 13:31 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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Trump’s Social Security sleight of hand: MAGA’s magic trick will make your benefits disappear The president’s promise to make Social Security great again is a charade

In which, I talk about teenagers stealing their parents' booze, Benoit Blanc, and how the President's tax proposal will gut Social Security:

www.salon.com/2025/04/02/t...

02.04.2025 10:05 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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To use Suzanne Mettler's term, we have a "submerged state." Americans don’t hear about the the policies they benefit from, but they do hear a lot about things like “Obama Phones” and their tax dollars going to Ukraine.

Democrats need to find a way to change that.

substack.com/home/post/p-...

30.03.2025 14:31 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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