Alex Y

GW7: 58 points. 9 BB points is slightly disappointing, but seemed to miss the hauls this week. Semenyo continuing to punish, and looks like double Arsenal defence is way to go. 3 ft to ponder over IB.

GW7. 2ft Salah to Saka, Dewsbury-Hall to Minteh. BB active. Was weighing up keeping Salah, but temptation of attacking Arsenal fixtures was too great. Haaland captain.

We took a look at Salah’s underlying numbers - this season’s outputs are the weakest he’s put up in any 6-game stretch over the past six seasons!

Early days, but one to keep an eye on! 👇

Maybe, need to work out who I'll captain each week, think it is a tricky period for both coming up.

GW6: 82 points.
Mostly thanks to TC Haaland, the brilliant Thiago and Senesi. Probably time to jump off one of Salah or Haaland.

GW6. First transfer of season Paqueta to Reijnders, Salah stays. TC Haaland.

GW5: 54 points
Decent week, BB would’ve been ok in the end, but wasn’t sure, so best to save. Onto GW6, and what to do with Salah’s awkward fixture run.

GW5. Was going to BB, but doubts over Diakite means it’s saved for another time. Salah captain, and transfer rolled.

GW4: 69 points.
Just about scraped with a green arrow on WC thanks to Haaland. Semenyo was the big regret as he keeps doing the points. But hopefully this sets up nicely for GW5 & 6 too…injuries pending.

GW4. Wildcard time! Inspired by the latest fab @solioanalytics.com podcast. Was struggling to find a team with the injuries I liked with just transfers. Hopefully sets things up for next few weeks, plus get to roll 3ft.

At least 2 injuries so far, Perri & Sarr, with Palmer a doubt, plus have 2x Forest defense. Will need to come up with something for FPL team - use 3ft, WC or FH...

David Squires on … Daniel Levy’s greatest hits at Tottenham Hotspur Our cartoonist looks back at a departed hero’s memorable moments after his 25-year reign at Spurs

Here’s this week’s cartoon for @sport.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com/football/pic...

With Ange Postecoglou set to take over at Forest, we went back to look at some DEFCON data from his Spurs spell

His high line + pressing style generally created more DEFCON chances for opponents than for his own players 👇

This is pretty good

GW3: 72 points.
Can barely believe it this week. Palace boys really showed up, Bruno came good (just). Wirtz and Forest guys still struggling, and losing team value left, right and centre. But will wait until after IB to sort.

GW3. Palmer headache as I think I want him after the break, but no real subs to count on if something unexpected happens, but rolling to 3ft should be nice. Not looking forward to this GW. Bruno cap.

GW2: 49 points.
Slow start, thank goodness for Salah, Sarr, Tarko and Dubrakva, not much else going on.

GW2. Roll the transfer, close cap call between Salah and Palmer, but backing the Egyptian.

GW1: 48 points
1 goal and 2 clean sheets between the lot of them says a lot.

GW1. New season, new team, here we go. Good luck all!

It's live, and free for the rest of August.

#FPL #FPLCommunity

Some notes and data from our #FPL pricing pod 🤑

Here's a thread with some tidbits to whet your appetite to give @fplpricey.bsky.social & my show a listen/watch (see pinned post), with my data tables and select comments.

Data is a homebrew using various factors to create an index.

🧵⤵️

{THREAD} Introducing xDC (Expected DEFCON)

- Chance of a defender to get to 10 CBIT in #FPL - RT appreciated

All data from @ffscoutfpl.bsky.social

I will post a few plots with a brief description.

1. DC (DEFCON) points per 90 from 24-25 season vs Expected DEFCON points (2*xDC) per 90

FPL GW38: Top 10K EO vs EV 📈

Hopefully useful for decision making based on risk appetite.

EV data is shared with permission from @fplreview.com's Massive Data Model. Thank you! EO is based on ownership at the end of GW37, so bear in mind popular transfers and potential captaincy.

#FPL GW37
2/3 transfers used - Marmoush to Watkins, Strand Larsen to Wissa
Captain - Watkins
Rank - 250k

David Squires on … Liverpool’s 20th league title and hard-to-please people Our cartoonist on the Dutch manager failing to get the credit he deserves off critics close to home

Here’s this week’s cartoon for @theguardian.com

www.theguardian.com/football/pic...

Box plot visualization showing top 5 Assistant Manager projections for GW31-33. Each gameweek shows 5 teams with their expected points distributions (5-95th and 25-75th percentile ranges plus mean values). GW31 leaders: Brentford and West Ham. GW32 leader: Crystal Palace and Newcastle. GW33 leader: Arsenal. Based on 100k simulations using Elevenify team ratings.

📊 GW31-33: Top Assistant Manager Projections:

GW31: Brentford & West Ham lead (mean ~9.5)
GW32: Palace and Newcastle top the chart (~13 & 12.5 resp.)
GW33: Arsenal are clear (~15.5 points)

Data: 100k sims based on @elevenify.com team ratings

💹 PL GW31 matchups

First look at market projections for the upcoming weekend round of PL fixtures, covering:
🔹 projected goals & clean sheet odds
🔹 teams to target
🔹 #FPL assistant manager projections
🔹 WDL odds

#FPL GW30, this is where I've landed with the WC. AM next week, and plans for Saka in GW32.

💹 PL GW30: final updates ⏰

Final pre-deadline look at market numbers for:
🔹 projected goals and CS odds
🔸 top 40 projected scorers
🔹 WDL odds