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Chris Henderson

@chris-awk.bsky.social

DI NCAA WoSo @ http://WoSoIndependent.com 2024-26 NWSL Draft Class Stats - https://tinyurl.com/mkkrajva Venmo - chris_awk PayPal - kodiakexpress AT gmail DOT com

988 Followers  |  17 Following  |  2,988 Posts  |  Joined: 06.07.2023  |  1.9174

Latest posts by chris-awk.bsky.social on Bluesky

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ESPN Unveils Expansive 2025 Women’s Collegiate Soccer Schedule Featuring More Than 1,980 Matches Across Platforms ESPN platforms will present more than 1,980 women’s college soccer matches during the 2025 season this fall, including 64 regular-season matchups across ESPNU, SEC Network (SECN), and ACC Network (ACC...

espnpressroom.com/us/press-rel...

ESPN's NCAA WoSo TV schedule is out for the 2025 season.

Two fewer televised games than last year, but we're at least not ignoring opening night this year?

05.08.2025 17:52 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Duke draws with the USL Super League's Carolina Ascent, 0-0, in a preseason contest for both.

05.08.2025 00:57 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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NWSL xG differential & PSxG differential charts through Round 14.

The remaining stat updates will return in a few weeks after I've dug myself out of NCAA WoSo projection hell.

04.08.2025 21:54 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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NWSL - Orlando Pride vs Utah Royals

xG (Post-Shot xG)

1.34 (1.22) - Orlando Pride
0.37 (0.99) - Utah Royals

xG Leader - 0.49 - Prisca Chilufya (ORL)
xA Leader - 0.57 - Simone Jackson (ORL)

04.08.2025 21:50 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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NWSL - Washington Spirit vs Portland Thorns

xG (Post-Shot xG)

2.35 (1.73) - Washington Spirit
0.85 (0.51) - Portland Thorns

xG Leader - 0.85 - Gift Monday (WSH)
xA Leader - 0.71 - Rosemonde Kouassi (WSH)

04.08.2025 21:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

That's all for now. Three down, countless more to go.

Not a great time for me to be getting sick!

04.08.2025 17:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Suspect the OVC will be one of the closer title races this season based on projections.

04.08.2025 17:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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2025 NCAA Women's Soccer Projection #3 - OVC

1. Tennessee Tech
2. Little Rock
3. Lindenwood
4. Southern Indiana
5. Eastern Illinois
6. Morehead State
7. Southeast Missouri State
8. UT Martin
-
9. SIU Edwardsville
10. Western Illinois

04.08.2025 16:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

South Florida look like comfortable favorites.

Consider this a floor for Memphis, as it's kind of hard to judge their very international heavy recruiting class.

04.08.2025 16:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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2025 NCAA Women's Soccer Projection #2 - The American

1. South Florida
2. Rice
3. Memphis
4. Tulsa
5. North Texas
6. UAB
7. East Carolina
8. UTSA
-
9. Florida Atlantic
10. Temple
11. Charlotte

04.08.2025 16:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Liberty is going to be really good in all likelihood!

Flames get about everyone back from a good 2024 team. They've given themselves a handful of shots at big non-conference wins too. So potential at-large threat.

04.08.2025 16:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, you can end up in negatives given the increased penalty structure in these projections.

These aren't really designed for cross-conference comps, so take the Missouri St & Delaware projections with a grain of salt.

04.08.2025 16:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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2025 NCAA Women's Soccer Projection #1 - C-USA

1. Liberty
2. Missouri State
3. New Mexico State
4. Western Kentucky
5. Delaware
6. FIU
-
7. Sam Houston State
8. UTEP
9. Middle Tennessee State
10. Kennesaw State
11. Jacksonville State
12. Louisiana Tech

04.08.2025 16:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The two biggest weaknesses/blindspots in projections right now:

1. The absolute uselessness of recruiting rankings at all but the very top end. As you might imagine, having 99% of players ranked as 3* isn't helpful!

2. Breakout returnees still hard to factor in.

04.08.2025 16:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Some of the tweaks since the last time I did these:

*Factoring in 810+ minute returnees instead of just starters

*Rebalanced transfer ratings

*Wider range of values for CoachRank

*Implemented bonuses for roster continuity

04.08.2025 16:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

OK, it's NCAA WoSo projection time...

First, what goes into these projections? I factor in:

Returning 810+ minute players
Returning top talent
Transfers
CoachRank
Recruiting

And a few other bonus/penalties.

04.08.2025 16:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Attendance in Orlando:

7,106

04.08.2025 02:50 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Gosh, what possible reason could WWE have for cancelling the post-show press conference? What could it possibly be?

04.08.2025 02:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

NWSL Playoff Magic Numbers After Round 14

Playoff Number

19 - KC
29 - WSH
29 - ORL
30 - SD
31 - SEA
33 - POR
35 - LOU
36 - GFC

Elimination Number

23 - URFC
24 - CHI
29 - HOU
32 - AC
33 - BAY
36 - NC

04.08.2025 01:02 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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NWSL - Orlando Pride vs Utah Royals

xG (Post-Shot xG)

1.40 (1.26) - Orlando Pride
0.37 (0.81) - Utah Royals

POTM - Barbra Banda (FotMob & SofaScore)

Attendance - Not Reported

04.08.2025 01:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

That assist from Simone Jackson πŸ‘€

04.08.2025 00:35 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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NWSL - Washington Spirit vs Portland Thorns

xG (Post-Shot xG)

1.83 (2.19) - Washington Spirit
1.12 (0.62) - Portland Thorns

POTM - Croix Bethune (SofaScore & FotMob)

Attendance - 16,007

03.08.2025 18:54 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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NWSL - Bay FC vs Houston Dash

xG (Post-Shot xG)

2.33 (2.62) - Bay FC
2.07 (1.21) - Houston Dash

xG Leader - 0.89 - Racheal Kundananji (BAY)
xA Leader - 0.99 - Avery Patterson (HOU)

03.08.2025 18:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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NWSL - North Carolina Courage vs San Diego Wave

xG (Post-Shot xG)

0.43 (0.62) - North Carolina Courage
1.59 (0.34) - San Diego Wave

xG Leader - 0.81 - Delphine Cascarino (SD)
xA Leader - 0.19 - Kenza Dali (SD)

03.08.2025 17:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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At the half in Audi:

xG (Post-Shot xG)

1.59 (1.66) - Washington Spirit
0.21 (0.20) - Portland Thorns

03.08.2025 17:46 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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2025 NCAA WoSo Roster Chart

Cornell

Figures to be another tough go of it in the Ivy with key defenders and much of the attack having moved on.

03.08.2025 17:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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NWSL - Bay FC vs Houston Dash

xG (Post-Shot xG)

1.92 (3.43) - Bay FC
1.62 (1.77) - Houston Dash

POTM - Racheal Kundananji (FotMob), Avery Patterson (SofaScore)

Attendance - 15,002

03.08.2025 04:06 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Halftime in the Bay. A tale of finishing...and not.

xG (Post-Shot xG)

0.55 (1.75) - Bay FC
0.41 (0.00) - Houston Dash

03.08.2025 02:58 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A last WWE note...

It seems pretty clear that the plan is for Punk vs Rollins to headline Mania, likely Night Two.

But mannnn it's gonna be something to see them white knuckling it for nine months praying neither of those broken dudes' bodies explodes into a hundred Sonic rings between now & then.

03.08.2025 02:03 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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NWSL - North Carolina Courage vs San Diego

xG (Post-Shot xG)

0.17 (0.14) - North Carolina Courage
0.94 (0.90) - San Diego Wave

Speaking of trainwrecks, here's the North Carolina Courage offense.

POTM - Maycee Bell (SofaScore), Casey Murphy (FotMob)

Attendance - 7,109

03.08.2025 01:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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