espnpressroom.com/us/press-rel...
ESPN's NCAA WoSo TV schedule is out for the 2025 season.
Two fewer televised games than last year, but we're at least not ignoring opening night this year?
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DI NCAA WoSo @ http://WoSoIndependent.com 2024-26 NWSL Draft Class Stats - https://tinyurl.com/mkkrajva Venmo - chris_awk PayPal - kodiakexpress AT gmail DOT com
espnpressroom.com/us/press-rel...
ESPN's NCAA WoSo TV schedule is out for the 2025 season.
Two fewer televised games than last year, but we're at least not ignoring opening night this year?
Duke draws with the USL Super League's Carolina Ascent, 0-0, in a preseason contest for both.
05.08.2025 00:57 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0NWSL xG differential & PSxG differential charts through Round 14.
The remaining stat updates will return in a few weeks after I've dug myself out of NCAA WoSo projection hell.
NWSL - Orlando Pride vs Utah Royals
xG (Post-Shot xG)
1.34 (1.22) - Orlando Pride
0.37 (0.99) - Utah Royals
xG Leader - 0.49 - Prisca Chilufya (ORL)
xA Leader - 0.57 - Simone Jackson (ORL)
NWSL - Washington Spirit vs Portland Thorns
xG (Post-Shot xG)
2.35 (1.73) - Washington Spirit
0.85 (0.51) - Portland Thorns
xG Leader - 0.85 - Gift Monday (WSH)
xA Leader - 0.71 - Rosemonde Kouassi (WSH)
That's all for now. Three down, countless more to go.
Not a great time for me to be getting sick!
Suspect the OVC will be one of the closer title races this season based on projections.
04.08.2025 17:00 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 02025 NCAA Women's Soccer Projection #3 - OVC
1. Tennessee Tech
2. Little Rock
3. Lindenwood
4. Southern Indiana
5. Eastern Illinois
6. Morehead State
7. Southeast Missouri State
8. UT Martin
-
9. SIU Edwardsville
10. Western Illinois
South Florida look like comfortable favorites.
Consider this a floor for Memphis, as it's kind of hard to judge their very international heavy recruiting class.
2025 NCAA Women's Soccer Projection #2 - The American
1. South Florida
2. Rice
3. Memphis
4. Tulsa
5. North Texas
6. UAB
7. East Carolina
8. UTSA
-
9. Florida Atlantic
10. Temple
11. Charlotte
Liberty is going to be really good in all likelihood!
Flames get about everyone back from a good 2024 team. They've given themselves a handful of shots at big non-conference wins too. So potential at-large threat.
Yes, you can end up in negatives given the increased penalty structure in these projections.
These aren't really designed for cross-conference comps, so take the Missouri St & Delaware projections with a grain of salt.
2025 NCAA Women's Soccer Projection #1 - C-USA
1. Liberty
2. Missouri State
3. New Mexico State
4. Western Kentucky
5. Delaware
6. FIU
-
7. Sam Houston State
8. UTEP
9. Middle Tennessee State
10. Kennesaw State
11. Jacksonville State
12. Louisiana Tech
The two biggest weaknesses/blindspots in projections right now:
1. The absolute uselessness of recruiting rankings at all but the very top end. As you might imagine, having 99% of players ranked as 3* isn't helpful!
2. Breakout returnees still hard to factor in.
Some of the tweaks since the last time I did these:
*Factoring in 810+ minute returnees instead of just starters
*Rebalanced transfer ratings
*Wider range of values for CoachRank
*Implemented bonuses for roster continuity
OK, it's NCAA WoSo projection time...
First, what goes into these projections? I factor in:
Returning 810+ minute players
Returning top talent
Transfers
CoachRank
Recruiting
And a few other bonus/penalties.
Attendance in Orlando:
7,106
Gosh, what possible reason could WWE have for cancelling the post-show press conference? What could it possibly be?
04.08.2025 02:11 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0NWSL Playoff Magic Numbers After Round 14
Playoff Number
19 - KC
29 - WSH
29 - ORL
30 - SD
31 - SEA
33 - POR
35 - LOU
36 - GFC
Elimination Number
23 - URFC
24 - CHI
29 - HOU
32 - AC
33 - BAY
36 - NC
NWSL - Orlando Pride vs Utah Royals
xG (Post-Shot xG)
1.40 (1.26) - Orlando Pride
0.37 (0.81) - Utah Royals
POTM - Barbra Banda (FotMob & SofaScore)
Attendance - Not Reported
That assist from Simone Jackson π
04.08.2025 00:35 β π 5 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0NWSL - Washington Spirit vs Portland Thorns
xG (Post-Shot xG)
1.83 (2.19) - Washington Spirit
1.12 (0.62) - Portland Thorns
POTM - Croix Bethune (SofaScore & FotMob)
Attendance - 16,007
NWSL - Bay FC vs Houston Dash
xG (Post-Shot xG)
2.33 (2.62) - Bay FC
2.07 (1.21) - Houston Dash
xG Leader - 0.89 - Racheal Kundananji (BAY)
xA Leader - 0.99 - Avery Patterson (HOU)
NWSL - North Carolina Courage vs San Diego Wave
xG (Post-Shot xG)
0.43 (0.62) - North Carolina Courage
1.59 (0.34) - San Diego Wave
xG Leader - 0.81 - Delphine Cascarino (SD)
xA Leader - 0.19 - Kenza Dali (SD)
At the half in Audi:
xG (Post-Shot xG)
1.59 (1.66) - Washington Spirit
0.21 (0.20) - Portland Thorns
2025 NCAA WoSo Roster Chart
Cornell
Figures to be another tough go of it in the Ivy with key defenders and much of the attack having moved on.
NWSL - Bay FC vs Houston Dash
xG (Post-Shot xG)
1.92 (3.43) - Bay FC
1.62 (1.77) - Houston Dash
POTM - Racheal Kundananji (FotMob), Avery Patterson (SofaScore)
Attendance - 15,002
Halftime in the Bay. A tale of finishing...and not.
xG (Post-Shot xG)
0.55 (1.75) - Bay FC
0.41 (0.00) - Houston Dash
A last WWE note...
It seems pretty clear that the plan is for Punk vs Rollins to headline Mania, likely Night Two.
But mannnn it's gonna be something to see them white knuckling it for nine months praying neither of those broken dudes' bodies explodes into a hundred Sonic rings between now & then.
NWSL - North Carolina Courage vs San Diego
xG (Post-Shot xG)
0.17 (0.14) - North Carolina Courage
0.94 (0.90) - San Diego Wave
Speaking of trainwrecks, here's the North Carolina Courage offense.
POTM - Maycee Bell (SofaScore), Casey Murphy (FotMob)
Attendance - 7,109