We thank co-authors @oliviarxiv.bsky.social @hakha.bsky.social DanDan Peng and @jeremyjberg.bsky.social; also @gcbias.bsky.social for guidance and advice in developing this approach.
Finally, big thanks to some very generous colleagues for their feedback; weβd love to get yours as well! [n/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
PGSUS is a demonstration that family-based designs can be useful here: Combining their articulation with the statistical power of population-based designs may pave the way forward in the interpretation and application of genomic predictors. [18/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
β¦given how they integrate many small statistical associations with subtle potential biases. Even now, it feels like we are only scratching the surface! We need tools to better interpret genomic predictors.
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
This preprint is a culmination of over six years of work developing this approach. Following ideas we started developing in Mostafavi, Harpak et al. we became increasingly interested in what is baked into genomic predictors like polygenic scores⦠[16/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
We were also able to see that different approaches for adjustment for population structure in GWASs (e.g., PCs as fixed effect covariates, LMMs) have distinct advantages with respect to mitigation of ancestry-axis-specific and isotropic SAD variance in PGS. [15/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
In some instances, a given PGS appears to be stratified along a major axis of ancestry in one prediction sample but not in another (for example, in comparisons of prediction in samples from different countries, or in ancient DNA vs.~contemporary samples). [14/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
[13/n] We also found evidence of stratification and isotropic inflation in PGSs constructed using the UK Biobank.
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0
Applying PGSUS, we found evidence of stratification in PGSs constructed using large meta-analyses of height and educational attainment. [12/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
In particular, PGSUS can detect stratification along major axes of ancestry as well as SAD variance that is βisotropic'' with respect to axes of ancestry. [11/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Our method, Partitioning Genetic Scores Using Siblings (PGSUS, pronounced ``Pegasus''), breaks down variance components further by axes of genetic ancestry, allowing for a nuanced interpretation of SAD effects.
github.com/harpak-lab/P... [10/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
We leverage a comparison of a PGS of interest based on a standard GWAS with a PGS based on a sibling GWAS---which is largely immune to SAD effects---to quantify the relative contribution of each type of effect to variance in the PGS of interest. [9/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
We developed a method that estimates the proportion of variance in a PGS (in a given sample) that is driven by direct effects, SAD effects, and their covariance. [7/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Our interpretation and application of PGSs may hinge on the relative impact of SAD effects, since they may often be environmentally or culturally mediated. [6/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0
However, because PGSs are constructed from population-level associations, they are influenced by factors other than direct genetic effects, including Stratification, Assortative mating, and Dynastic effects (βSAD effects'').
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... [5/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 4 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0
PGS are often thought of as capturing the direct, causal genetic effect of one's genotype on their phenotype. [4/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0
Following these observations, attention has turned toward the construction of genomic predictors of traits, so-called βpolygenic scoresβ (PGSs). [3/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
An Expanded View of Complex Traits: From Polygenic to Omnigenic
Many complex genetic traits arise from large numbers of variants, each with small
effects. This Perspective argues that risk is ultimately driven by an even larger
number of genes with no direct impac...
GWAS have revealed that the genetic basis of variation for many health conditions and other traits is highly polygenic, and that the joint effect of these variants is often well-captured by a simple linear combination, consistent with longstanding theoretical predictions. [2/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
A Litmus Test for Confounding in Polygenic Scores
Polygenic scores (PGSs) are being rapidly adopted for trait prediction in the clinic and beyond. PGSs are often thought of as capturing the direct genetic effect of one's genotype on their phenotype. ...
Think of a polygenic score you care about. Are direct genetic effects driving variation among people in this predictor? Or perhaps other, confounding factors? We at the @arbelharpak.bsky.social & @docedge.bsky.social Labs developed a method to tackle this question. [1/n]
04.02.2025 18:04 β π 76 π 38 π¬ 2 π 1
[n/n] We thank @gcbias.bsky.social for guidance and advice in developing this approach. We also thank generous colleagues for their input and feedback; weβd love to get yours as well!
04.02.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
[18/n] PGSUS is a demonstration that family-based designs can be useful here: Combining their articulation with the statistical power of population-based designs may pave the way forward in the interpretation and application of genomic predictors.
04.02.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
[17/n] ...given how they integrate many small statistical associations with subtle potential biases. Even now, it feels like we are only scratching the surface! We need tools to better interpret genomic predictors.
04.02.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
[16/n] This preprint is a culmination of over six years of work developing this approach. Following ideas we started developing in Mostafavi, Harpak et al. we became increasingly interested in what is baked into genomic predictors like polygenic scores...
elifesciences.org/articles/483...
04.02.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
[14/n] In some instances, a given PGS appears to be stratified along a major axis of ancestry in one prediction sample but not in another (for example, in comparisons of prediction in samples from different countries, or in ancient DNA vs.~contemporary samples).
04.02.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
[14/n] In some instances, a given PGS appears to be stratified along a major axis of ancestry in one prediction sample but not in another (for example, in comparisons of prediction in samples from different countries, or in ancient DNA vs.~contemporary samples).
04.02.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
[13/n] We also found evidence of stratification and isotropic inflation in PGSs constructed using the UK Biobank.
04.02.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
[12/n] Applying PGSUS, we found evidence of stratification in PGSs constructed using large meta-analyses of height and educational attainment.
04.02.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
[11/n] In particular, PGSUS can detect stratification along major axes of ancestry as well as SAD variance that is βisotropic'' with respect to axes of ancestry.
04.02.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
[10/n] Our method, Partitioning Genetic Scores Using Siblings (PGSUS, pronounced ``Pegasus''), breaks down variance components further by axes of genetic ancestry, allowing for a nuanced interpretation of SAD effects.
github.com/harpak-lab/P...
04.02.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
PhD candidate in the Edge Lab @USC. Working at the intersection of population genetics and forensic genetics. πΉπ³
Linguist, cognitive neuroscientist and wannabe geneticist. Associate Professor at University of Iceland. Views are my own. https://uni.hi.is/rosas and https://english.hi.is/staff/rosas
psych professor, MSU. personality and environments and genes and the tangle all between! Also music opinions! tedmond.net
WashU Postdoc with a UT PhD. Using multivariate genetic methods to study personality, cog aging, and substance use.
humanist, scientist, optimist | assistant professor, Cornell EEB
johnbenning.net
Statistical and population geneticist | Postdoc @ JHU Biology | COYS | Costco enthusiast | aabiddanda.github.io
Professor at KTH, NY Genome Center, SciLifeLab, working on functional genomics and human genetics.
Scientist @ the Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology and Duke University
Origins and consequences of genome mutation; software for genomic discovery.
Prof. and Chair of Human Genetics at U. of Utah.
https://www.genetics.utah.edu/
http://quinlanlab.org
henfluencer - geriatric millennial - #stopasianhate - donβt call me Clem - emotional eaterβ’οΈ- he/him- @chowlab
https://linktr.ee/clementchow
Evolutionary / population geneticist. Interested in introgression, demographic history, selection. Average climber, avid traveller, awesome croqueta cook, mediocre karaoke pal. All views are my own. He/him. Looking for positions!
Postdoc at @StanfordBioethx
Genetics PhD @StanfordMed, BS @UArkansas
elsi / rna-seq / rare disease / multi-omics / chronic illness / x-chromosome
Human genetics & genomics | https://stephaniemyan.github.io/
principal data scientist @ calico life sciences | applied mathematics | statistical and population genetics | genetics and biology of complex traits in mice and humans | humans as model organisms
Asst. Prof. @ UCLA Human Genetics. Statistical geneticist & part of the SSGAC. Mendelian inheritance is the most important natural experiment. alextisyoung.github.io
Associate Research Prof. at USC. Economics/statistical-genetics researcher. Board gamer. (Who wants to play a hand of Hanabi?) he/him/his
paturley.com