Hugo Ferrinho Lopes

Hugo Ferrinho Lopes

@hferrinholopes.bsky.social

Lecturer at Iscte-IUL & @uminho.bsky.social 🎓 I study how political parties adapt, endure, and fracture under grassroots and youth wing pressure — and how it affects party change, behavior and representation. 🗳️🔄🏛️ 🔗 https://hugoferrinholopes.github.io/

1,930 Followers 1,619 Following 103 Posts Joined Sep 2023
3 days ago
Post image

When you see the proofs, it feels a bit more real ✨

Grassroots Women in the Populist Radical Right (Oxford University Press) will be published online in June 2026 and in print in July 2026.

62 5 3 1
2 days ago
Post image

In Fall 2026, I will join @georgetownuni.bsky.social's Department of Government to teach "Youth and Politics" as the FLAD Visiting Professor. I am honored beyond measure and grateful to FLAD for the trust and support. 🇵🇹🇺🇸

4 1 0 0
2 days ago
0 0 0 0
3 days ago
Post image

Why do social norms work differently when we interact with AI?

In a new paper (N = 1,108), we found that people are less sensitive to prosocial norms when interacting with AI because they are less accurate at predicting AI behavior.

Read the full working paper: osf.io/8fhwg/

15 5 2 0
5 days ago

Many congratulations, Kira. Wishing you all the best!

1 0 1 0
1 week ago
0 0 0 0
1 week ago

Very honored to receive the @ecpr-sep.bsky.social Best Paper Prize. I’m grateful to the jury for reading my work, and to Marco Lisi for suggesting this paper for nomination.

2 0 0 0
2 weeks ago
Post image

People significantly overestimate the social costs of changing their beliefs.

Partisans self censor and suppress dissent to avoid appearing disloyal and facing social punishment.

Reminding them of prior group loyalty can open them to changing their beliefs pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41627338/

22 4 0 0
3 weeks ago
Post image

No @jornalexpresso.bsky.social desta semana há um ensaio meu, da @mafaldapratas.bsky.social, do @joaoc.bsky.social e do @hferrinholopes.bsky.social sobre os efeitos do comboio de tempestades nas residenciais. Tentamos perceber qual foi o impacto no nível de participação e no sentido de voto. (1)

7 1 1 0
3 weeks ago
Post image

Why does mainstream accommodation of far-right and Eurosceptic parties often electorally backfire? In my 3rd dissertation paper, just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social, I argue that voters specifically punish internally divided parties for accommodation: doi.org/10.1080/0140...
1/13 🧵

65 21 2 0
3 weeks ago

Another great episode of this podcast on political behaviour research - this time with @miguelpereira.bsky.social and his important insights on political elites

11 4 0 0
3 weeks ago

This is crazy. It would have taken years! of work:

7 1 0 0
1 month ago
Preview
Cerca de 25% dos militantes do Chega vieram de outros partidos. Maioria era PSD e CDS Um novo estudo sobre o Chega traça um retrato inédito da sua base e mostra que muitos militantes já traziam convicções à espera de representação política.

A @publico.pt feature today highlights my latest paper. Additional info here 👇

www.publico.pt/2026/02/14/p...

0 0 0 0
1 month ago

Many congrats!

1 0 0 0
1 month ago
Post image

Coming out in June.

(when @casmudde.bsky.social & I will be presenting it at the @ces-europe.bsky.social conference in Dublin)

96 19 2 1
1 month ago
Post image

Últimas sondagens publicadas e resultados das eleições presidenciais, 1996-2026 (1ª volta).

8 2 1 0
1 month ago
Preview
Dr. Lopes: Ventura Mobilized ‘Latent Populists,’ but Authoritarian Appeals in Portugal Have Limits - ECPS The qualification of André Ventura, leader of the populist radical right party Chega, for the presidential runoff marks a watershed moment in contemporary

www.populismstudies.org/dr-lopes-ven...

1 0 0 0
1 month ago
Post image

NEW PAPER ALERT! My paper, with @bjornhoyland.bsky.social , on how “policy loss” shapes support for the EU has just been published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Check it out!
1/

120 36 1 6
1 month ago
Preview
Just like me? Testing descriptive attributes as voting heuristics The lack of candidate diversity and the descriptive under-representation of groups such as women and young people in parliaments is a recurring concer…

Very interesting new publication by Leonie Rettig and @lukasisermann.com on descriptive attributes as voting heuristics - specifically age and gender:

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

8 5 0 0
1 month ago
Preview
“Nestas eleições, Ventura tem como objectivo transformar-se no líder da direita” O historiador e cientista político António Costa Pinto traça em conversa com o PÚBLICO as principais conclusões e análises da primeira volta das eleições presidenciais.

A minha análise da primeira volta das eleições presidenciais em Portugal.

3 1 0 0
2 months ago

@acostapinto.bsky.social

0 0 0 0
2 months ago
Post image

There’s a paradox around remote work. Jamie Dimon says it will kill productivity, while startups are hiring for remote roles. Who is right?

With Abhinav Gupta and Elena Simintzi we try to resolve this dispute

Paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Substack: arpitrage.substack.com/p/remote-wor...

79 30 4 8
2 months ago
Preview
Os portugueses e a inteligência artificial O investigador do Instituto de Ciências Sociais analisa a nossa relação com a IA a partir de um inquérito a pessoas com mais de 15 anos

Um ensaio no @jornalexpresso.bsky.social sobre as atitudes dos portugueses em relação à Inteligência Artificial, baseado num inquérito apoiado pela @caixaresearch.bsky.social. expresso.pt/semanario/id...

.

9 3 1 0
2 months ago

Great — congrats!! 👏🏻👏🏻

2 0 1 0
2 months ago
Post image Post image

Given the bad cold that I've had for the past few days (in the midst of the Australian summer 🤦‍♀️), waking up to this email was particularly sweet...

Coming soon in @ejprjournal.bsky.social: our YOUMEM study on gender differences in motivations for joining youth wings of young women and men ✨

21 4 3 3
2 months ago
Preview
Chega: The New Portuguese Far Right In the late 2010s, the Portuguese immunity to the far right came to a sudden end at the 2019 general elections, after the election of Chega’s leader – André Ventura – to the Assembly of the Republic. ...

An excellent collective study of the Portuguese populist radical right.

6 3 0 0
2 months ago
Preview
Latent populists activated? Party membership switching to the radical right Populist radical right (PRR) parties are expanding their grassroots despite widespread membership decline elsewhere. Yet little is known about who joins them and the implications of recruitment fro...

Out today. 50 free copies available here: www.tandfonline.com/eprint/FDB9Z...

3 1 0 0
2 months ago

Merry Christmas!

1 0 1 0
2 months ago

🎄 Now if this isn't the perfect Christmas gift for scholars of elections! A fresh @cses.bsky.social Module 6 Advance Release for you all to analyze and explore!

16 6 0 0