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Jonathan Portes

@jdportes.bsky.social

Professor of Economics and Public Policy, King's College London; Senior Fellow, UK in a Changing Europe. Immigration, economics, public policy. Personal views only; usual disclaimers apply. Books: Immigration (Sage), Capitalism (Quercus)

62,588 Followers  |  607 Following  |  4,055 Posts  |  Joined: 01.10.2023  |  2.4399

Latest posts by jdportes.bsky.social on Bluesky

I know statistics are poorly understood and are misused. But facts matter

Between the 1991, 2001, 2011 and 2021 Census *every* ethnic group in the UK has become *less* geographically segregated and *all* groups, majority and minorities, are more likely to interact with people not like them

07.10.2025 18:24 β€” πŸ‘ 376    πŸ” 125    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 5

The politics of migration have shifted so far to the extreme right, the Conservatives and Reform now have a more hardline policy on deporting legal British residents than... the British National Party did in 2005

07.10.2025 13:02 β€” πŸ‘ 52    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

If you don't think that the Overton Window has shifted right in recent years ... here's Reform AND the Tories going beyond what the BNP suggested in 2005.

They want to expel legally permanent British residents.

Frankly I weep every day for what my country has become.

06.10.2025 23:45 β€” πŸ‘ 69    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

Anyone reporting on Conservative proposals on this topic should ask
a) why Lam felt the need to make things up to justify them
b) whether they have made their proposals/claimed their "savings" based on her false claims

07.10.2025 08:10 β€” πŸ‘ 160    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Sunder Katwala on race, patriotism and flag-waving: β€˜The far right is vocal and angry because it is shrinking’ The director of British Future has spent his career trying to find common ground when it comes to race and immigration. He describes his own experience of racism – and why he’s still hopeful for the U...

I spoke to British Future's Sunder Katwala, who was a refreshing antidote to all the far right rhetoric on immigration, flags, etc. Britain is not nearly as divided as extremists suggest, he says, and we're "a generation ahead" when it comes to multiculturalism.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...

07.10.2025 09:14 β€” πŸ‘ 62    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

He doesn't want areas where there is a 'preponderance' of one race over another. My kids school in rural Suffolk had one black family in a school of 1200 pupils. But that's not what he means, is it?

07.10.2025 08:53 β€” πŸ‘ 440    πŸ” 104    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Sun corrects Katie Lam's numerous errors and lies about foreign nationals claiming benefits.

archive.ph/vQ7Tn

07.10.2025 08:08 β€” πŸ‘ 616    πŸ” 271    πŸ’¬ 36    πŸ“Œ 24

Apparently, some progressives still believe working class kids should be told to stay in their lane when it comes to education, long before they're even allowed to drink in pubs.

06.10.2025 15:08 β€” πŸ‘ 125    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 2

The irony here is

A) there probably *are* such schools (if you look at English skills *at entry*/year 1)

B) those schools almost certainly outperform the national average by the time the kids leave!

@samfr.bsky.social

07.10.2025 08:26 β€” πŸ‘ 107    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 1

Katie Lam says there are some schools in London "where 3/4 pupils don't speak English to the standard needed to for education"

Are there? London school results are outperforming everywhere else, partly + migration/diversity effects

[CPS livestreaming this if want to check the quote.It was 915am]

07.10.2025 08:18 β€” πŸ‘ 123    πŸ” 31    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 12

Anyone reporting on Conservative proposals on this topic should ask
a) why Lam felt the need to make things up to justify them
b) whether they have made their proposals/claimed their "savings" based on her false claims

07.10.2025 08:10 β€” πŸ‘ 160    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Post image

The Sun corrects Katie Lam's numerous errors and lies about foreign nationals claiming benefits.

archive.ph/vQ7Tn

07.10.2025 08:08 β€” πŸ‘ 616    πŸ” 271    πŸ’¬ 36    πŸ“Œ 24
Preview
Israel seems more important β€” and less desirable β€” than ever for British Jews Amid rising antisemitism at home, our lifeboat abroad seems less attractive

This is very good from @stephenkb.bsky.social on.ft.com/433rk6P

07.10.2025 07:14 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Because of course in the world according to Robert Jenrick there are only two groups of people - white people and 'other' people who need to integrate.

06.10.2025 20:21 β€” πŸ‘ 176    πŸ” 40    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 4

Great thread. Over-correction has been likely, as many of us have been warning.

07.10.2025 07:09 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

David is slightly unfair. There is a clear difference here.

Conservatives and Reform plan to forcibly expel large numbers of people who are legal, permanent residents of migrant origin. The BNP proposal is voluntary.

06.10.2025 16:08 β€” πŸ‘ 378    πŸ” 171    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 8

With the government bringing in new restrictions against immigration, many people assume net immigration will nevertheless remain high. However, the evidence actually suggests that immigration will fall dramatically over the coming years and reach lows not seen for decades (pandemic aside). (1/x)

04.10.2025 13:29 β€” πŸ‘ 80    πŸ” 43    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 14
White and yellow text on a dark grey background, together with graphics of candles. The text reads β€œEVERY LIFE, A UNIVERSE. VIGIL AND TESTIMONY READINGS. October 9th. 6pm. Castlehaven Community Park London NW1 8RU. Wear Black”

White and yellow text on a dark grey background, together with graphics of candles. The text reads β€œEVERY LIFE, A UNIVERSE. VIGIL AND TESTIMONY READINGS. October 9th. 6pm. Castlehaven Community Park London NW1 8RU. Wear Black”

EVERY LIFE, A UNIVERSE - Vigil and testimony readings

⏰October 9th, 6pm
πŸ“Castlehaven Community Park, London NW1 8RU

These 2 years have been marked by unimaginable loss: loved ones murdered/held captive, families driven from their homes, people cut off from their communities. (1/3)

01.10.2025 14:12 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Of course we know exactly what Jenrick means, not least because he just told us. 'Integration' to him means dispersal (of small numbers of black faces) among the majority white population 'so they can't congregate, talk foreign languages, drag an area down and generally threaten us'.

It's grim.

07.10.2025 06:33 β€” πŸ‘ 125    πŸ” 22    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
Israel seems more important β€” and less desirable β€” than ever for British Jews Amid rising antisemitism at home, our lifeboat abroad seems less attractive

Is it ok to say an article is confused in a good way? Because that's the feeling I get reading this from @stephenkb.bsky.social on his experience as a UK jew - as he admits the last 2 years are "a period of constant cognitive dissonance". Me too, in slightly different ways www.ft.com/content/14d4...

07.10.2025 06:55 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

So according to Jenrick, 'not integrated' means black/brown faces outnumbering white faces. How very dare they. Nothing to do with whether they're actually integrated – just what they look like.

Absolutely shameful.

He'll probably become Tory leader.

07.10.2025 05:56 β€” πŸ‘ 455    πŸ” 100    πŸ’¬ 38    πŸ“Œ 6
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Join us as we remember, reckon, and stand together in our struggle to resist the ongoing Nakba and fight for freedom, justice and equality for all between the river and the sea.

06.10.2025 17:13 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Leaving aside that renegotiation the WA, let alone this bit, is utter fantasy, virtually everyone with EUSS claiming benefits will be entitled to UK citizenship by the next election. So if you wanted to give them a good reason to apply so that they can vote against you..

06.10.2025 18:03 β€” πŸ‘ 61    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0

No idea what this is supposed to mean. The 50% target doesn't exist and nothing in the Gove reforms said more people had to go to university. It's a demand led system.

06.10.2025 15:12 β€” πŸ‘ 232    πŸ” 36    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 3

You did. And you're right

06.10.2025 16:20 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

David is slightly unfair. There is a clear difference here.

Conservatives and Reform plan to forcibly expel large numbers of people who are legal, permanent residents of migrant origin. The BNP proposal is voluntary.

06.10.2025 16:08 β€” πŸ‘ 378    πŸ” 171    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 8

it is quite striking that their policy on ILR is *literally* almost identical to Reform's (that is, legal permanent residents on ILR who claim benefits or don't earn enough will be kicked out of the country) but a) even the Shadow CX doesn't know this b) nobody cares enough to call them racist..

06.10.2025 15:37 β€” πŸ‘ 45    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

James is correct.

The Tories have simply copied Reform's deportation policy for *legal* permanent residents (of the wrong colour..)

(NB the numbers would not be remotely as large as James says because most of those with ILR do get citizenship).

06.10.2025 09:39 β€” πŸ‘ 71    πŸ” 30    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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Violence a red line in UK society - Jewish friends/communities must be able to live/practise w/out fear. British Jews not responsible for actions of IDF.
Yet @chiefrabbi.bsky.social blurs distinction. Fuel for anti-Semites. Daft. www.jewishnews.co.uk/mirvis-if-yo...
@boardofdeputies.bsky.social

06.10.2025 13:15 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

@jdportes is following 20 prominent accounts