James Wiley

There wasn't a reason posted, but I looked at their rules and see there's no posting for non-peer-reviewed items (which I wasn't aware of as a long-time user). So I'm guessing it got removed for that reason, my mistake.

I posted this to reddit, it received a lot of attention before being removed by mods (?) I guess the uncomfortable realities presented were too much for them.

The Importance of Biological Theory - Biological Theory Biological Theory -

I am happy to share this article, entitled "The importance of Biological Theory". It is my inaugural editorial as the new Editor-in-Chief of @biologicaltheory.bsky.social . In these complex and challenging times, theory is more important now than ever. Enjoy!

doi.org/10.1007/s137...

Scores of reports showing that those with chronic suicidality and a desire for death do die by suicide, just some of them use AI now. I don't dismiss these, but they don't show what people think they show. One could do the relevant research with the funding OpenAI is offering. Why not be productive?

No one has actually done any effective anaylsis to-date to see if the suicide rate has increased with the inception of AI. Before AI, people died by suicide. Now that AI is extremely prevelant, it is easy to blame it for problems that have always existed in our society.

Congrats to Amanda on publishing one of her thesis papers! 🥳
@sarahevictor.bsky.social

📰 Between Urges and Actions: Unpacking Affective Dynamics in NSSI 📰

Get your copy! authors.elsevier.com/c/1m5ih_8RBg...

@abct-ssi-sig.bsky.social @iasr-suicide.bsky.social @suicideresearchsym.bsky.social

Maybe of interest, I've been looking at the other side of the same coin—that suicide rates get censored by increases in other-cause mortality. Suicide rates increase with declining death rates coming out of the flu season, with COVID providing a nice natural experiment:
osf.io/preprints/ps...

The COVID natural experiment suggests something very different. Suicide rates increase with declining death rates coming out of the flu season. When death rates are disrupted, suicide rates are also disrupted:
osf.io/preprints/ps...

Higher suicide rates often coincide with longer life expectancy. On their own, they are not necessarily a sign of societal decline. For instance, the drop in suicide rates during COVID does not imply that the pandemic was a time of joy or prosperity.

www.researchgate.net/publication/...

The NYT article is well balanced. Even researchers who examine the sensitive issue of direct causation in suicide would find too little here to justify placing blame on any single factor. It’s an interesting case, but I don’t expect the lawsuit to be successful.

(PDF) Why do suicide rates increase in the spring and decrease in the fall? Insights from an empirical evaluation of Stengel's social hypothesis on suicide PDF | In 1952, the psychiatrist Erwin Stengel hypothesized that suicide becomes rarer in times when the value of life within a society is lower, when... | Find, read and cite all the research you need...

While PsyArXiv is going through some growing pains, you can find the most up-to-date version of the preprint here:
www.researchgate.net/publication/...

Imagine the IRL version of this. AI body cam on a SWAT officer assesses threat level of a target in a split second and has the officer kill the target before the officer could ever react.
youtu.be/9alJwQG-Wbk?...

You’re Not Weak — You’re Wired to Feel This Way “If every suicidal thought was a small death, how many lives have we already lost — quietly, invisibly, inside our own minds?”

taqiyyazayla.medium.com/youre-not-we...

To be fair, the type of content generated by LLMs also plays a role 😛

bsky.app/profile/jame...

The problem may be worse than it looks. Higher mortality rates suppress suicide rates—likely because deaths from other causes preclude later suicides. Rural areas have higher mortality. So how much higher are suicide rates there, after adjusting for this?

osf.io/preprints/ps...

🌟New publication!🌟

Feasibility and Acceptability of a Brief Intervention for Youth Suicidal Thoughts and Behaviors Among Pediatric Primary Care Providers

It was great to be part of the team on this project. I’m excited about continuing this work! @cmpinciotti.bsky.social

#suicideprevention

Almost exactly one year after starting my lab (!), I'm thrilled to share our first preprint! 🥳 @leilyb.bsky.social @sharinahamm.bsky.social @francesghart.bsky.social

We propose future directions for mathematical, computational, & digital methods to advance suicide research: osf.io/preprints/ps...

The recommended prompts it gave were also gold:

I wonder what they’re suggesting here? ☹

The model seems to be overtrained on erratic online discourse 🤔

I totally broke a ChatGPT guardrail today:

A new piece in @psypost.bsky.social on our recent study published in Adaptive Human Behavior and Physiology. Check it out!

This feels a bit like when your child does something amazing and you feel like you want to take the credit but can't really. My new book Alchemy: An Illustrated History has arrived, and it looks *gorgeous*.

Bird feeders have caused a dramatic evolution of California hummingbirds Beaks have grown longer and larger, and ranges have expanded to follow the feeders

This is amazing. 🪶
www.science.org/content/arti...

It’s kinda wild how psychologists will just keep developing “paradigms” targeting estimands that are less and less plausibly empirically identified, because somehow that’s the epitome of rigorous theorizing (tm)

Can I list Coffee as a co-author?

7/7 In conclusion, accounting for death rates may be necessary before interpreting fluctuations in suicide rates.

Higher temperatures increase suicide rates in the United States and Mexico - Nature Climate Change A 1 °C increase in monthly average temperature is associated with higher suicide rates in the United States and Mexico. Combined with comparable analysis of depressive language in US Twitter updates, ...

6/7 Why care? Consider previous research suggests increasing temperatures drive suicides. I show that time-of-year (proxy for temperature) is not causal of suicide—rather, death rates (which are higher in winter months) drive suicide.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

5/7 I offer an alternative interpretation to Stengel’s theory: that each non-suicide-related death removes a potential suicide from the population. Thus the death rate censors the suicide rate.

4/7 I then test whether the pre-pandemic correlation between death rates and suicide rates can predict the 2020 suicide rates. Results are good: