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Arthur Albuquerque

@aalbuquerque.bsky.social

Brazilian MD. Building models to help people

29 Followers  |  73 Following  |  30 Posts  |  Joined: 21.11.2023  |  2.4286

Latest posts by aalbuquerque.bsky.social on Bluesky


informative prior for tau could help a bit

21.02.2026 22:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

COULD EVERYONE PLEASE STOP USING RANDOM EFFECTS META-ANALYSIS WHEN COMBINING 3 OR 4 TRIALS? AND COULD REVIEWERS STOP DEMANDING IT?

21.02.2026 19:44 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Nephrologists vs. Intensivists: Cumulative ordinal model Nephrologists vs. Intensivists: Cumulative ordinal model - gist:d6b0e3fec5f9a70e86dcc7dcdd7a4c19

code gist.github.com/arthur-albuq...

21.02.2026 15:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Couldn't hold myself, had to fit a #Bayesian cumulative ordinal model to this interesting data:

Canadian intensivists and nephrologists don't seem to disagree much!

20.02.2026 14:01 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Always happy to share Brazilian music! THE best πŸ‡§πŸ‡·

20.02.2026 12:59 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Acenda o farol
YouTube video by Tim Maia - Topic Acenda o farol

this is one has been on hype lately in Brazil. His best bass line! youtu.be/tPp9zkjfj7Q?...

20.02.2026 12:50 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
O Descobridor Dos Sete Mares
YouTube video by Tim Maia - Topic O Descobridor Dos Sete Mares

and this is his funkiest one! youtu.be/PAUlCK8kuGU?...

20.02.2026 12:43 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Gostava Tanto De VocΓͺ
YouTube video by Tim Maia - Topic Gostava Tanto De VocΓͺ

youtu.be/cxSzri346W0?... check the lyrics! love this one

20.02.2026 12:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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Evaluating the risk of ovarian cancer before surgery using the ADNEX model to differentiate between benign, borderline, early and advanced stage invasive, and secondary metastatic tumours: prospective... Objectives To develop a risk prediction model to preoperatively discriminate between benign, borderline, stage I invasive, stage II-IV invasive, and secondary metastatic ovarian tumours. Design Obser...

Tough one. There is a famous clinical prediction model with such an outcome, if that’s of any help: www.bmj.com/content/349/... by @benvancalster.bsky.social

19.02.2026 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Added a statistical analysis tab to explore Bayesian partial pooling visualization (cc @rmcelreath.bsky.social). Added some model explanations too.

Data viz heavily inspired by @benmoran.bsky.social's beautiful bayesfoRest package

14.02.2026 18:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Amazing work. I was particularly interested in visualizations for studies on dexmedetomidine for investigating dosage, timing, risk of bias.

Vibe-coded this app: arthur-albuquerque.github.io/dexmedetomid... Example visualization attached.

code: github.com/arthur-albuq...

I'd love some feedback

13.02.2026 23:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

I will investigate the best approach and do it! thanks again

13.02.2026 23:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I meant for your β€œCreate symlinks” section.

For Roo, I believe the reference directory for skills is

β€’ ~/.roo/skills

13.02.2026 19:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is so cool. Thank you!

Please add suport to Google’s Antigravitiy, Positron Assistant and VScode’s extension Roo Code.

These are more scientific-oriented softwares

13.02.2026 17:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@matthewluney.bsky.social et al really amazing work, congratulations.
Quick Q: you stated that "Moderate certainty evidence indicates that dexmedetomidine is effective". However, CINeMA showed low confidence rating for dexmedetomidine vs. placebo (Table S22).

Why did you reference it as "moderate"?

13.02.2026 11:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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creating a custom_family with a categorical-like response (e.g., Dirichlet-multinomial) Β· Issue #1728 Β· paul-buerkner/brms I've been attempting to create a custom_family for the Dirichlet-multinomial in brms v2.22.0, following the approach set out in the custom family vignette. However, I'm running into difficulties. T...

github.com/paul-buerkne...

13.02.2026 11:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Important research question!

13.02.2026 10:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What do you think about multinomial-dirichlet? It’s been implemented in brms

13.02.2026 10:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Isn’t this formula utility very limited?

11.02.2026 23:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

it’s pretty good, especially for ordinal models. brms is my go-to in general

11.02.2026 01:35 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

is the code available? sounds interesting

11.02.2026 00:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

try Harrell’s rmsb. It has a maximum likelihood method or something alike

11.02.2026 00:25 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Great work, can I have the PDF?

10.02.2026 23:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Loved the final discussion. Can’t wait to someone build a package for workflows πŸ˜‚

05.02.2026 12:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah, like integrating random effects

02.02.2026 13:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Very cool work, Solomon. Do you/McElreath discuss about marginal mean?

02.02.2026 10:42 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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awesome! Newbie Q: what would be the meaning of a conditional mean if it’s not the average? I’d love to read more about it, any suggested references?

31.01.2026 15:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I will explore this model for diagnostic test analysis, let’s see how it works

27.01.2026 12:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Loved it

27.01.2026 09:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Very cool. It should be straightforward to extend sequential monitoring of population metrics to external validation sample size calculations.

I plan doing it for an upcoming project

21.01.2026 00:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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