Brian Schaffner

in the newest post on the CES blog, Caroline Soler digs in to the question of what is the best approach for identifying Evangelicals in surveys sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

still time to sign up for a 2025 CES module if you're interested!

we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu

What your government can do for you: Exploring Americans’ perceptions of government… by Lucy Morisse-Corsetti

Lucy Morisse-Corsetti asked Americans what they think their government owes them...hint: it's quite a lot. Check out her new post on the @TuftsUniversity Public Opinion Lab blog! tufts-pol.medium.com/what-your-go...

in 2008, Conservative Jews voted similarly to Reform/Reconstructionist Jews but by 2024 there was more than a 20-point gap between those two groups

The word 'civility' has sometimes meant politeness and sometimes meant equality and political freedom.

With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others: peterlevine.ws?p=34156

It’s not just NIMBYism: How partisanship shapes support for affordable housing by Jackson Wetherill

in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Jackson Wetherill explores the intersection of NIMBYism and partisanship when it comes to attitudes towards affordable housing tufts-pol.medium.com/its-not-just...

Panel!

this post uses newly released data from the 2020-2022-2024 CES panel survey, which includes interviews with ~6k Americans we interviewed (and re-interviewed) over the past three election cycles. download it and dig in! dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

Democrats’ losses among Hispanic voters may be larger than they look. Conservative Hispanic Americans are ditching their Hispanic identity, surveys show.

it's not just that Hispanic voters shifted Republican since 2020, it's also the case that some of them no longer even identify as Hispanic! new @goodauth.bsky.social post from me and Caroline Soler
goodauthority.org/news/democra...

Republicans think eggs will be cheaper under Trump, Democrats disagree by Caroline Soler

in a new Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Caroline Soler analyzes data from April asking people how much eggs cost now and how much they will cost in the future. big partisan gaps in perceptions of current prices, even bigger for expectations of future prices
tufts-pol.medium.com/republicans-...

it's been 10 years since the last @pewresearch.org Religious Landscape Study, but the release of a new study gave Caroline Soler a chance to see how the CES stacked up against this benchmark. overall, the surveys produce very similar portraits of religion in America!
sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

another Cooperative Election Study conference in the books! new mountain resort, same great vibes! we had a special time honoring Steve Ansolabehere who is stepping down from his leadership role, 20 years after founding this incredible innovative project that has done so much for the discipline.

Egan: "the CES is currently political scientists’ most comprehensive source of large, representative samples of sexual and gender minorities in the United States."

he humbly fails to note that this is due to his encouragement that we include key items
bit.ly/43Zn7Ss

thanks to @shirokuriwaki.bsky.social, the Cooperative Election Study common content cumulative data file has been updated with all 701,955 respondents we've interviewed since 2006 dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

Trump is supported by men who sell their social status short — As well as those who oversell by Lucy Belknap (class of 2025)

in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab post, Lucy Belknap explores how people's perceptions of their social status often differs from their actual status, and how that disconnect influences support for Trump tufts-pol.medium.com/trump-is-sup...

you are my favorite Spurs beat reporter and have been for years and I really appreciated the way you addressed this on the pod. kudos!

(the follow-up from the two Toms was a bit cringey though...probably should've just moved on after your mea culpa)

Power to the people? How Dobbs failed to deliver on democratic representation.
(@bfschaffner.bsky.social and Caroline Soler)
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/250516-top...

oh man, so sorry i had to miss the conference this year!

Unhelpful dispatches from the #aapor25 recalled vote panel: three separate presentations have now all used this same @goodauth.bsky.social @bfschaffner.bsky.social chart, making the third callback possibly the first time a chart of weighting benchmarks has served as a genuine laugh line

Some Republicans say Trump should run again, and many Democrats say the same about Obama by Noah DeYoung (class of 2025)

newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post: Noah DeYoung ('25) finds that about 20% of Republicans say Trump should run for a third term even if it is unconstitutional...but the same share of Democrats said Obama should do likewise

tufts-pol.medium.com/some-republi...

most notably, our experiment shows that when you ask Americans about their overall mood rather than their mental health, the gap between conservatives and liberals vanishes

Do conservatives really have better mental well-being than liberals? American conservatives tend to rate their mental health more positively than their liberal counterparts. One explanation for this finding is that conservatives may be more likely to justify existing i...

new article just published in @plosone.org with former students Thomas Hershewe, Zoe Kava, and Jael Strell who wanted to interrogate whether conservatives really had better mental well-being than liberals
dx.plos.org/10.1371/jour...

another great year of
Tufts Public Opinion Lab in the books and a great chance to honor graduating seniors. really gonna miss this group!

In American civic life, there is a difference between who shows up and who says they do by Anna O’Sullivan

our newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post features Anna O'Sullivan considering how while male survey respondents often claim to participate more in politics than women, on-the-ground data often shows something different tufts-pol.medium.com/in-american-...

did young voters support Trump in 2024? this is a notoriously difficult group to poll but the major election surveys indicate that Trump lost among all but young white men. tufts-pol.medium.com/have-young-v...

you can scroll the responses here! cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/miplife/

we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu

Steady decline in tariff support over past few months...

Nov '24: 52%
Dec '24: 47%
Jan '25: 46%
Mar '25: 44%
Apr '25: 42%

(% favoring "U.S. placing new tariffs on goods imported from other countries" in CBS News/YouGov polling of U.S. adults)

More from latest poll: www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-tr...

Switching things up: The politics of religious converts by Rolando Ortega (class of 2026)

new Tufts Public Opinion Lab post is up and Rolando Ortega uses @pewresearch.org data to dive into the unique political leanings of religious converts tufts-pol.medium.com/switching-th...