Forecasts of tropical cyclone 05S made by different AI models, as displayed on the ECMWF website.
An interesting / worrying forecast for the South West Indian Ocean, with another tropical cyclone on the way.
@ecmwf.bsky.social IFS: growing likelihood of the cyclone making 2nd landfall in MDG.
AI models: storm staying out in Moz channel, or even landfall in MOZ
charts.ecmwf.int/products/cyc...
08.01.2025 16:24 — 👍 6 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Small islands must be supported to build resilience to tropical cyclones. It is not enough to just improve early warning systems. We must strengthen homes and critical infrastructure to ensure that people have somewhere safe to shelter &essential services like power &water supply remain operational.
16.12.2024 10:01 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The intensity of tropical cyclones in the South West Indian Ocean is increasing, in line with what is expected due to climate change.
Small islands are particularly vulnerable, because a single storm can devastate an entire island.
16.12.2024 10:01 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
The path of #CycloneChido was well forecasted several days ahead, but communities on small islands like Mayotte can't move out of the path of the storm - there's nowhere to go.
16.12.2024 10:01 — 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Super Typhoon Man-yi (Pepito) was the first time we triggered the Philippines Red Cross Early Action Protocol. Previously we've had issues due to poor intensity forecasts 72 hours ahead of landfall, related to rapid intensification.
This time the @ecmwf.bsky.social 9km ensemble did well!
27.11.2024 15:20 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Show Your Stripes
Visualising how the climate has changed for every country across the globe
You can now share the Warming Stripes directly to BlueSky, such as these for my town of Reading:
showyourstripes.info/s/europe/uni...
(Find the graphic you want to share, click the blue options button - the one with three horizontal lines - and select the butterfly!)
27.11.2024 12:47 — 👍 612 🔁 214 💬 31 📌 34
Anticipation Hub on LinkedIn: #anticipatoryaction
A new paper by by Dorothy Heinrich, Liz Stephens and Erin Coughlan de Perez explores unprecedented weather events and the humanitarian risks these pose.…
Great new paper by Climate Centre colleague and Reading PhD student Dorothy Heinrich (+ Erin Coughlan de Perez:
"More than Magnitude: Towards a multidimensional understanding of unprecedented weather to better support disaster management"
doi.org/10.1016/j.wa...
www.linkedin.com/posts/antici...
27.11.2024 12:44 — 👍 10 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 1
WCK immediately prepares & serves fresh, nourishing meals to communities impacted by natural disasters and during humanitarian crises. #ChefsForTheWorld
Learn more: linktr.ee/wckitchen
Climate scientist, juggler. Bikes etc. Blogging at https://www.realclimate.org - data visualization, explainers, and debunking.
The Royal Society is a Fellowship of many of the world's most eminent scientists and is the oldest scientific academy in continuous existence.
We are the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, the world's largest humanitarian network, supporting millions of people in crisis every year.
We help people in 🇨🇦 and around the 🌎 in times of need.
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The official account of the American Red Cross.
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Community guidelines: https://www.icrc.org/en/community-guidelines
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Deputy Director-General & Director of Forecasts @ECMWF - views are my own
Lecturer in Atmospheric Science, University of St Andrews. Large-scale weather & climate variability, prediction & change. FRMetS. simonleewx.com
atmospheric physicist University of Oxford @OxfordAOPP and @ECMWF | predictability of weather and climate | NCAS @AtmosScience
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Lecturer in Geography at York St John University, specialising in hydrology, geomorphology, numerical modelling, and game-based approaches.
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https://linktr.ee/geoskinner
Watershed hydrology and geomorphology prof and Lake Champlain Sea Grant Director here for science, the environment, and life as an academic & mom. Formerly @highlyanne.
Posts are personal and do not represent organizations. Reposts are not endorsements.
Home of the Society on BlueSky.
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